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Link prediction aims to reveal missing edges in a graph. We address this task with a Gaussian process that is transformed using simplified graph convolutions to better leverage the inductive bias of the domain. To scale the Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Felix L. Opolka , Pietro Liò

Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-07 Matthew J. Urry , Peter Sollich

We propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric method to learn translation-invariant relationships on non-Euclidean domains. The resulting graph convolutional Gaussian processes can be applied to problems in machine learning for which the input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-15 Ian Walker , Ben Glocker

We develop parametric classes of covariance functions on linear networks and their extension to graphs with Euclidean edges, i.e., graphs with edges viewed as line segments or more general sets with a coordinate system allowing us to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-03 Ethan Anderes , Jesper Møller , Jakob G. Rasmussen

The stringent regulatory requirements on nitrogen oxides (NOx) emissions from diesel compression ignition engines require accurate and reliable models for real time monitoring and diagnostics. Although traditional methods such as physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Shrenik Zinage , Ilias Bilionis , Peter Meckl

We study learning problems in which the conditional distribution of the output given the input varies as a function of additional task variables. In varying-coefficient models with Gaussian process priors, a Gaussian process generates the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-10-15 Matthias Bussas , Christoph Sawade , Tobias Scheffer , Niels Landwehr

The current analysis of wireless networks whose transceivers are confined to streets is largely based on Poissonian models, such as Poisson line processes and Poisson line Cox processes. We demonstrate important scenarios where a model with…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-06-14 Mohammad Taha Shah , Gourab Ghatak , Souradip Sanyal , Martin Haenggi

Statistical inference for highly multivariate point pattern data is challenging due to complex models with large numbers of parameters. In this paper, we develop numerically stable and efficient parameter estimation and model selection…

Learning time-series models is useful for many applications, such as simulation and forecasting. In this study, we consider the problem of actively learning time-series models while taking given safety constraints into account. For…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-12 Christoph Zimmer , Mona Meister , Duy Nguyen-Tuong

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

Bayesian learning using Gaussian processes provides a foundational framework for making decisions in a manner that balances what is known with what could be learned by gathering data. In this dissertation, we develop techniques for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-29 Alexander Terenin

Purely data driven approaches for machine learning present difficulties when data is scarce relative to the complexity of the model or when the model is forced to extrapolate. On the other hand, purely mechanistic approaches need to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-16 Mauricio A. Álvarez , David Luengo , Neil D. Lawrence

The log Gaussian Cox process is a flexible class of point pattern models for capturing spatial and spatio-temporal dependence for point patterns. Model fitting requires approximation of stochastic integrals which is implemented through…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-04 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan E. Gelfand

In this paper we first describe the class of log-Gaussian Cox processes (LGCPs) as models for spatial and spatio-temporal point process data. We discuss inference, with a particular focus on the computational challenges of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-12-24 Peter J. Diggle , Paula Moraga , Barry Rowlingson , Benjamin M. Taylor

In this paper we consider point processes specified on directed linear networks, i.e. linear networks with associated directions. We adapt the so-called conditional intensity function used for specifying point processes on the time line to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 Jakob G. Rasmussen , Heidi S. Christensen

We introduce a class of spatial stochastic processes in the max-domain of attraction of familiar max-stable processes. The new class is based on Cox processes and comprises models with short range dependence. We show that statistical…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-12-15 Martin Dirrler , Martin Schlather , Kirstin Strokorb

Hawkes processes are point process models that have been used to capture self-excitatory behavior in social interactions, neural activity, earthquakes and viral epidemics. They can model the occurrence of the times and locations of events.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-24 Xenia Miscouridou , Samir Bhatt , George Mohler , Seth Flaxman , Swapnil Mishra

In this paper, we introduce the notion of Gaussian processes indexed by probability density functions for extending the Mat\'ern family of covariance functions. We use some tools from information geometry to improve the efficiency and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-09 A. Fradi , Y. Feunteun , C. Samir , M. Baklouti , F. Bachoc , J-M. Loubes

Random point patterns are ubiquitous in nature, and statistical models such as point processes, i.e., algorithms that generate stochastic collections of points, are commonly used to simulate and interpret them. We propose an application of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 Soran Jahangiri , Juan Miguel Arrazola , Nicolás Quesada , Nathan Killoran

Graphical models are commonly used to represent conditional dependence relationships between variables. There are multiple methods available for exploring them from high-dimensional data, but almost all of them rely on the assumption that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-22 Tianxi Li , Cheng Qian , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu