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We study the spatio-temporal features of extremal sub-daily precipitation data over the Piave river basin in northeast Italy using a rich database of observed hourly rainfall. Empirical evidence suggests that both the marginal and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Dáire Healy , Ilaria Prosdocimi , Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos

This paper presents a new precipitation dataset that is daily, has a spatial resolution of one degree on a quasi-global scale, and spans more than 42 years, using machine learning techniques. The ultimate goal of this dataset is to provide…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-17 Hiroshi G. Takahashi

In this diagnostic study we analyze changes of rainfall seasonality and dry spells by the end of the twenty-first century under the most extreme IPCC5 emission scenario (RCP8.5) as projected by twenty-four coupled climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-03-23 Salvatore Pascale , Valerio Lucarini , Xue Feng , Amilcare Porporato , Shabeh ul Hasson

Precipitation is dependent on a myriad of atmospheric conditions. In this paper, we study how certain atmospheric parameters impact the occurrence of rainfall. We propose a data-driven, machine-learning based methodology to detect…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-08 Shilpa Manandhar , Soumyabrata Dev , Yee Hui Lee , Yu Song Meng , Stefan Winkler

Atmospheric Extreme Events (EEs) cause severe damages to human societies and ecosystems. The frequency and intensity of EEs and other associated events are increasing in the current climate change and global warming risk. The accurate…

Relevant comprehension of flood hazards has emerged as a crucial necessity, especially as the severity and the occurrence of flood events intensify with climate changes. Flood simulation and forecast capability have been greatly improved…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-18 Thanh Huy Nguyen , Anthéa Delmotte , Christophe Fatras , Peter Kettig , Andrea Piacentini , Sophie Ricci

Rain precipitation prediction is a challenging task as it depends on weather and meteorological features which vary from location to location. As a result, a prediction model that performs well at one location does not perform well at other…

Computing the return times of extreme events and assessing the impact of climate change on such return times is fundamental to extreme event attribution studies. However, the rarity of such events in the observational record makes this task…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-03 Clément Le Priol , Joy M. Monteiro , Freddy Bouchet

Anthropogenic climate change (ACC) is altering the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. Attributing individual extreme events (EEs) to ACC is becoming crucial to assess the risks of climate change. Traditional attribution…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-30 Bernat Jiménez-Esteve , David Barriopedro , Juan Emmanuel Johnson , Ricardo Garcia-Herrera

Motivated by the EVA2025 data challenge, where we participated as the team DesiBoys, we propose a regression strategy within the framework of regular variation to estimate the occurrences and intensities of high precipitation extremes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Rishikesh Yadav , Arnab Hazra

Robust sensing and perception in adverse weather conditions remain one of the biggest challenges for realizing reliable autonomous vehicle mobility services. Prior work has established that rainfall rate is a useful measure for the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-04-26 Robin Karlsson , David Robert Wong , Kazunari Kawabata , Simon Thompson , Naoki Sakai

Precipitation is one of the most important meteorological variables for defining the climate dynamics, but the spatial patterns of precipitation have not been fully investigated yet. The complex network theory, which provides a robust tool…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-08-22 Stefania Scarsoglio , Francesco Laio , Luca Ridolfi

Cyclone rapid intensification is the rapid increase in cyclone wind intensity, exceeding a threshold of 30 knots, within 24 hours. Rapid intensification is considered an extreme event during a cyclone, and its occurrence is relatively rare,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Vamshika Sutar , Amandeep Singh , Rohitash Chandra

Accurate estimation of daily rainfall return levels associated with large return periods is needed for a number of hydrological planning purposes, including protective infrastructure, dams, and retention basins. This is especially relevant…

Flooding is one of the most destructive and costly natural disasters, and climate changes would further increase risks globally. This work presents a novel multimodal machine learning approach for multi-year global flood risk prediction,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Cynthia Zeng , Dimitris Bertsimas

Precipitation plays a critical role in the Earth's hydrological cycle, directly affecting ecosystems, agriculture, and water resource management. Accurate precipitation estimation and prediction are crucial for understanding climate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Zhenyu Yu , Hanqing Chen , Mohd Yamani Idna Idris , Pei Wang

The Mediterranean is strongly affected by Extreme Precipitation Events (EPEs), sometimes leading to negative impacts on society, economy, and the environment. Understanding such natural hazards and their drivers is essential to mitigate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-16 Nikolaos Mastrantonas , Pedro Herrera-Lormendez , Linus Magnusson , Florian Pappenberger , Jörg Matschullat

Our planet is facing increasingly frequent extreme events, which pose major risks to human lives and ecosystems. Recent advances in machine learning (ML), especially with foundation models (FMs) trained on extensive datasets, excel in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-14 Shan Zhao , Zhitong Xiong , Jie Zhao , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Accurately tracking the global distribution and evolution of precipitation is essential for both research and operational meteorology. Satellite observations remain the only means of achieving consistent, global-scale precipitation…

Then detection and identification of extreme weather events in large-scale climate simulations is an important problem for risk management, informing governmental policy decisions and advancing our basic understanding of the climate system.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-28 Evan Racah , Christopher Beckham , Tegan Maharaj , Samira Ebrahimi Kahou , Prabhat , Christopher Pal