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This paper establishes the optimal sub-Gaussian variance proxy for truncated Gaussian and truncated exponential random variables. The proofs rely on first characterizing the optimal variance proxy as the unique solution to a set of two…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-27 Mathias Barreto , Olivier Marchal , Julyan Arbel

Data assimilation (DA) provides a general framework for estimation in dynamical systems based on the concepts of Bayesian inference. This constitutes a common basis for the different linear and nonlinear filtering and smoothing techniques…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-08 Tarek Diaa-Eldeen , Marcus Krogh Nielsen , Carl Fredrik Berg , Morten Hovd , John Bagterp Jørgensen

Estimating boundary curves has many applications such as economics, climate science, and medicine. Bayesian trend filtering has been developed as one of locally adaptive smoothing methods to estimate the non-stationary trend of data. This…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-13 Takahiro Onizuka , Fumiya Iwashige , Shintaro Hashimoto

The four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4D-Var) has emerged as an important methodology, widely used in numerical weather prediction, oceanographic modeling, and climate forecasting. Classical unconstrained gradient-based…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-10-08 Bowen Li , Bin Shi

Temporal difference (TD) methods constitute a class of methods for learning predictions in multi-step prediction problems, parameterized by a recency factor lambda. Currently the most important application of these methods is to temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2008-02-03 P. Cichosz

The Bayesian approach to inverse problems is widely used in practice to infer unknown parameters from noisy observations. In this framework, the ensemble Kalman inversion has been successfully applied for the quantification of uncertainties…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-15 Neil K. Chada , Claudia Schillings , Simon Weissmann

Variational Bayesian inference and (collapsed) Gibbs sampling are the two important classes of inference algorithms for Bayesian networks. Both have their advantages and disadvantages: collapsed Gibbs sampling is unbiased but is also…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-18 Max Welling , Yee Whye Teh , Hilbert Kappen

We consider a modification of the covariance function in Gaussian processes to correctly account for known linear constraints. By modelling the target function as a transformation of an underlying function, the constraints are explicitly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-09-20 Carl Jidling , Niklas Wahlström , Adrian Wills , Thomas B. Schön

We analyze a structure-preserving model order reduction technique for delay and stochastic delay equations based on the balanced truncation method and provide a system theoretic interpretation. Transferring error bounds based on Hankel…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-28 Simon Becker , Lorenz Richter

The periodization of a stationary Gaussian random field on a sufficiently large torus comprising the spatial domain of interest is the basis of various efficient computational methods, such as the classical circulant embedding technique…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Markus Bachmayr , Ivan G. Graham , Van Kien Nguyen , Robert Scheichl

Dataset distillation compresses large datasets into compact synthetic ones to reduce storage and computational costs. Among various approaches, distribution matching (DM)-based methods have attracted attention for their high efficiency.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-03 Fengli Ran , Xiao Pu , Bo Liu , Xiuli Bi , Bin Xiao

For many years, strongly and weakly constrained approaches were the only options to deal with errors in four-dimensional variational data assimilation (4DVar), with the aim of balancing the degrees of freedom and model constraints. Strong…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 Xiangjun Tian , Hongqin Zhang , Zhe Jin , Min Zhao , Yilong Wang , Yinhai Luo , Ziqing Zhang , Yanyan Tan

This paper proposes two practical implementations of Four-Dimensional Variational (4D-Var) Ensemble Kalman Filter (4D-EnKF) methods for non-linear data assimilation. Our formulations' main idea is to avoid the intrinsic need for adjoint…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-05 Elias Nin-Ruiz , Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez

The truncated plurigaussian model is often used to simulate the spatial distribution of random categorical variables such as geological facies. The problems addressed in this paper are the estimation of parameters of the truncation map for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-07 Alina Astrakova , Dean S. Oliver , Christian Lantuéjoul

The aim in model order reduction is to approximate an input-output map described by a large-scale dynamical system with a low-dimensional and cheaper-to-evaluate reduced order model. While high fidelity can be achieved by a variety of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Björn Liljegren-Sailer

Supervised learning under measurement constraints is a common challenge in statistical and machine learning. In many applications, despite extensive design points, acquiring responses for all points is often impractical due to resource…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Lin Wang

While existing mathematical descriptions can accurately account for phenomena at microscopic scales (e.g. molecular dynamics), these are often high-dimensional, stochastic and their applicability over macroscopic time scales of physical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-08 P. S. Koutsourelakis , Elias Bilionis

We provide faster algorithms for the problem of Gaussian summation, which occurs in many machine learning methods. We develop two new extensions - an O(Dp) Taylor expansion for the Gaussian kernel with rigorous error bounds and a new error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Dongryeol Lee , Alexander G. Gray

We study linear models under heavy-tailed priors from a probabilistic viewpoint. Instead of computing a single sparse most probable (MAP) solution as in standard deterministic approaches, the focus in the Bayesian compressed sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2014-03-05 George Papandreou , Alan Yuille

This paper adopts a Bayesian nonparametric mixture model where the mixing distribution belongs to the wide class of normalized homogeneous completely random measures. We propose a truncation method for the mixing distribution by discarding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-17 Raffaele Argiento , Ilaria Bianchini , Alessandra Guglielmi