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Gaussian process regression is a powerful Bayesian nonlinear regression method. Recent research has enabled the capture of many types of observations using non-Gaussian likelihoods. To deal with various tasks in spatial modeling, we benefit…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-26 Yuta Shikuri

Multi-task/Multi-output learning seeks to exploit correlation among tasks to enhance performance over learning or solving each task independently. In this paper, we investigate this problem in the context of Gaussian Processes (GPs) and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-10 Weitong Ruan , Eric L. Miller

In this paper we investigate a link between state- space models and Gaussian Processes (GP) for time series modeling and forecasting. In particular, several widely used state- space models are transformed into continuous time form and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-27 Alexander Grigorievskiy , Juha Karhunen

We present an R package bssm for Bayesian non-linear/non-Gaussian state space modelling. Unlike the existing packages, bssm allows for easy-to-use approximate inference based on Gaussian approximations such as the Laplace approximation and…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-13 Jouni Helske , Matti Vihola

A Gaussian process is proposed as a model for the posterior distribution of the local predictive ability of a model or expert, conditional on a vector of covariates, from historical predictions in the form of log predictive scores. Assuming…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Oscar Oelrich , Mattias Villani

A recent novel extension of multi-output Gaussian processes handles heterogeneous outputs assuming that each output has its own likelihood function. It uses a vector-valued Gaussian process prior to jointly model all likelihoods' parameters…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-15 Juan-José Giraldo , Mauricio A. Álvarez

We introduce stochastic variational inference for Gaussian process models. This enables the application of Gaussian process (GP) models to data sets containing millions of data points. We show how GPs can be vari- ationally decomposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-09-27 James Hensman , Nicolo Fusi , Neil D. Lawrence

Gaussian processes (GP) are a versatile tool in machine learning and computational science. We here consider the case of multi-output Gaussian processes (MOGP) and present low-rank approaches for efficiently computing the posterior mean of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Sebastian Esche , Martin Stoll

We propose a probabilistic model for inferring the multivariate function from multiple areal data sets with various granularities. Here, the areal data are observed not at location points but at regions. Existing regression-based models can…

Established techniques for simulation and prediction with Gaussian process (GP) dynamics often implicitly make use of an independence assumption on successive function evaluations of the dynamics model. This can result in significant error…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-05 Lukas Hewing , Elena Arcari , Lukas P. Fröhlich , Melanie N. Zeilinger

State space models (SSM) have been widely applied for the analysis and visualization of large sequential datasets. Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a very popular particle-based method to sample latent states from intractable posteriors.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-07 Duo Xu

In this contribution we deal with the problem of learning an undirected graph which encodes the conditional dependence relationship between variables of a complex system, given a set of observations of this system. This is a very central…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-26 Daniela De Canditiis , Armando Guardasole

The analysis of complex computer simulations, often involving functional data, presents unique statistical challenges. Conventional regression methods, such as function-on-function regression, typically associate functional outcomes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-11 R. Jacob Andros , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Devin Francom , Donatella Pasqualini

Embedding non-restrictive prior knowledge, such as energy conservation laws, into learning methods is a key motive to construct physically consistent dynamics models from limited data, relevant for, e.g., model-based control. Recent work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Robin E. Herrmann , Niklas Wahlström , Thomas B. Schön , Thomas Seel

Gaussian processes are Bayesian non-parametric models used in many areas. In this work, we propose a Non-stationary Heteroscedastic Gaussian process model which can be learned with gradient-based techniques. We demonstrate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-26 Zeel B Patel , Nipun Batra , Kevin Murphy

In this paper, we present a kernel-based, multi-task Gaussian Process (GP) model for approximating the underlying function of an individual's mobility state using a time-inhomogeneous Markov Process with two states: moves and pauses. Our…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-22 Ekin Ugurel

Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric generative models that provide interpretability of hyperparameters, admit closed-form expressions for training and inference, and are able to accurately represent uncertainty. To model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-21 Gonzalo Rios , Felipe Tobar

Standard GPs offer a flexible modelling tool for well-behaved processes. However, deviations from Gaussianity are expected to appear in real world datasets, with structural outliers and shocks routinely observed. In these cases GPs can fail…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-08 Yaman Kındap , Simon Godsill

The paper deals with the problem of output regulation of nonlinear systems by presenting a learning-based adaptive internal model-based design strategy. We borrow from the adaptive internal model design technique recently proposed in [1]…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-27 Lorenzo Gentilini , Michelangelo Bin , Lorenzo Marconi

In learning from demonstrations, it is often desirable to adapt the behavior of the robot as a function of the variability retrieved from human demonstrations and the (un)certainty encoded in different parts of the task. In this paper, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-10-14 Noémie Jaquier , David Ginsbourger , Sylvain Calinon