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We study continuous-time portfolio choice with nonlinear payoffs under smooth ambiguity and Bayesian learning. We develop a general framework for dynamic, non-concave asset allocation that accommodates nonlinear payoffs, broad utility…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-10 Emanuele Borgonovo , An Chen , Massimo Marinacci , Shihao Zhu

Controllable Markov chains describe the dynamics of sequential decision making tasks and are the central component in optimal control and reinforcement learning. In this work, we give the general form of an optimal policy for learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-24 Peter N. Loxley

In a fixed time horizon, appropriately executing a large amount of a particular asset -- meaning a considerable portion of the volume traded within this frame -- is challenging. Especially for illiquid or even highly liquid but also highly…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-15 David Evangelista , Yuri Thamsten

We consider a continuous-time financial market with an asset whose price is modeled by a linear stochastic differential equation with drift and volatility switching driven by a uniformly ergodic jump Markov process with a countable state…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Vitaliy Golomoziy , Kamil Kladivko , Yuliya Mishura

We consider the mean--variance portfolio optimization problem under the game theoretic framework and without risk-free assets. The problem is solved semi-explicitly by applying the extended Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman equation. Although the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-17 Chi Kin Lam , Yuhong Xu , Guosheng Yin

In this paper, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm to compute the value function and the optimal controls of continuous time stochastic control problems. The algorithm relies on successive approximations using linear-quadratic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Dylan Possamaï , Ludovic Tangpi

Given two random realized returns on an investment, which is to be preferred? This is a fundamental problem in finance that has no definitive solution except in the case one investment always returns more than the other. In 1952 Markowitz…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-09-24 Keith A. Lewis

We present some hardness results on finding the optimal policy for the static formulation of distributionally robust Markov decision processes. We construct problem instances such that when the considered policy class is Markovian and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-08 Yan Li

We show that for several variations of partially observable Markov decision processes, polynomial-time algorithms for finding control policies are unlikely to or simply don't have guarantees of finding policies within a constant factor or a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2011-06-02 J. Goldsmith , C. Lusena , M. Mundhenk

Under non-exponential discounting, we develop a dynamic theory for stopping problems in continuous time. Our framework covers discount functions that induce decreasing impatience. Due to the inherent time inconsistency, we look for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-13 Yu-Jui Huang , Adrien Nguyen-Huu

We study the optimal timing of derivative purchases in incomplete markets. In our model, an investor attempts to maximize the spread between her model price and the offered market price through optimally timing her purchase. Both the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-12 Tim Leung , Michael Ludkovski

A Markov decision problem is called reversible if the stationary controlled Markov chain is reversible under every stationary Markovian strategy. A natural application in which such problems arise is in the control of Metropolis-Hastings…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-13 Venkat Anantharam

While investment funds publicly disclose their objectives in broad terms, their managers optimize for complex combinations of competing goals that go beyond simple risk-return trade-offs. Traditional approaches attempt to model this through…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-31 Maarten P. Scholl , Mahmoud Mahfouz , Anisoara Calinescu , J. Doyne Farmer

We study time-inconsistent recursive stochastic control problems, i.e., for which the Bellman principle of optimality does not hold. For this class of problems classical optimal controls may fail to exist, or to be relevant in practice, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-14 Elisa Mastrogiacomo , Marco Tarsia

We study mean field portfolio games under Epstein-Zin preferences, which naturally encompass the classical time-additive power utility as a special case. In a general non-Markovian framework, we establish a uniqueness result by proving a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Guanxing Fu , Ulrich Horst

In this paper, we study a class of discrete-time mean-field games under the infinite-horizon risk-sensitive discounted-cost optimality criterion. Risk-sensitivity is introduced for each agent (player) via an exponential utility function. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-08 Naci Saldi , Tamer Basar , Maxim Raginsky

This paper investigates methods for estimating the optimal stochastic control policy for a Markov Decision Process with unknown transition dynamics and an unknown reward function. This form of model-free reinforcement learning comprises…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-06 Brandon Trabucco , Albert Qu , Simon Li , Ganeshkumar Ashokavardhanan

We consider a Markovian stochastic control problem with model uncertainty. The controller (intelligent player) observes only the state, and, therefore, uses feed-back (closed-loop) strategies. The adverse player (nature) who does not have a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-04-09 Mihai Sîrbu

Discounted algorithms often encounter evaluation errors due to their reliance on short-term estimations, which can impede their efficacy in addressing simple, short-term tasks and impose undesired temporal discounts (\(\gamma\)).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-02 Nitsan Soffair , Gilad Katz

Although maximizing median and quantiles is intuitively appealing and has an axiomatic foundation, it is difficult to study the optimal portfolio strategy due to the discontinuity and time inconsistency in the objective function. We use the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-31 Xue Dong He , Zhaoli Jiang , Steven Kou
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