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Related papers: Valuing Pharmaceutical Drug Innovations

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We present a novel methodology to determine the fundamental value of firms in the social-networking sector based on two ingredients: (i) revenues and profits are inherently linked to its user basis through a direct channel that has no…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-26 Peter Cauwels , Didier Sornette

The potential outcomes framework serves as a fundamental tool for quantifying causal effects. The average dose-response function (also called the effect curve), denoted as (\mu(t)), is typically of interest when dealing with a continuous…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Juraj Bodik

We present a local spread model of disease transmission on a regular network and compare different control options ranging from treating the whole population to local control in a well-defined neighborhood of an infectious individual.…

Biological Physics · Physics 2015-05-30 Katarzyna Oles , Ewa Gudowska-Nowak , Adam Kleczkowski

More than 200 generic drugs approved by the U.S. Food and Drug Administration for non-cancer indications have shown promise for treating cancer. Due to their long history of safe patient use, low cost, and widespread availability,…

Warfarin dosing remains challenging due to narrow therapeutic index and highly individual variability. Incorrect warfarin dosing is associated with devastating adverse events. Remarkable efforts have been made to develop the machine…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-09-14 Zhiyuan Ma , Ping Wang , Zehui Gao , Ruobing Wang , Koroush Khalighi

Data valuation is an essential task in a data marketplace. It aims at fairly compensating data owners for their contribution. There is increasing recognition in the machine learning community that the Shapley value -- a foundational…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-02-20 Zhihua Tian , Jian Liu , Jingyu Li , Xinle Cao , Ruoxi Jia , Jun Kong , Mengdi Liu , Kui Ren

How do you value companies which have IPOed recently? How do you compare them amongst their peers? Valuing companies using a linear extrapolation of their revenues and profits leads to an ingenious method to benchmark stocks against each…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-11 Andreas A. Aigner , Walter Schrabmair

Background: The problem of predicting whether a drug combination of arbitrary orders is likely to induce adverse drug reactions is considered in this manuscript. Methods: Novel kernels over drug combinations of arbitrary orders are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Wen-Hao Chiang , Li Shen , Lang Li , Xia Ning

Generally, open innovation is a lucrative research topic within industries relying on innovation, such as the pharmaceutical industry, which are also known as knowledge-intensive industries. However, the dynamics of drug pipelines within a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-03-11 Hiromitsu Goto , Wataru Souma , Mari Jibu , Yuichi Ikeda

Phase I early-phase clinical studies aim at investigating the safety and the underlying dose-toxicity relationship of a drug or combination. While little may still be known about the compound's properties, it is crucial to consider…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-13 Christian Röver , Moreno Ursino , Tim Friede , Sarah Zohar

Motivation: Emerging drug-drug interaction (DDI) prediction is crucial for new drugs but is hindered by distribution changes between known and new drugs in real-world scenarios. Current evaluation often neglects these changes, relying on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-17 Zhenqian Shen , Mingyang Zhou , Yongqi Zhang , Quanming Yao

Pharmaceutical markets for life-saving therapies combine monopoly power with insurance coverage. We build a tractable sequential game in which a patent-holder chooses the drug price, a profit-maximising insurer sets its premium, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-09-22 Delia Coculescu , Maximilian Janisch , Thomas Lehéricy

Over the past decade, most technology companies and a growing number of conventional firms have adopted online experimentation (or A/B testing) into their product development process. Initially, A/B testing was deployed as a static…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-04 Jialiang Mao , Iavor Bojinov

We review the utility-based valuation method for pricing derivative securities in incomplete markets. In particular, we review the practical approach to the utility-based pricing by the means of computing the first order expansion of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-03-31 David German

Domain-aware machine learning (ML) models have been increasingly adopted for accelerating small molecule therapeutic design in the recent years. These models have been enabled by significant advancement in state-of-the-art artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Rajendra P. Joshi , Neeraj Kumar

Problem definition: Mining for heterogeneous responses to an intervention is a crucial step for data-driven operations, for instance to personalize treatment or pricing. We investigate how to estimate price sensitivity from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Jean Pauphilet

Predicting future values at risk (fVaR) is an important problem in finance. They arise in the modelling of future initial margin requirements for counterparty credit risk and future market risk VaR. One is also interested in derived…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-27 Narayan Ganesan , Bernhard Hientzsch

Many pharmaceutical companies face concerns with the maintenance of desired revenue levels. Sales forecasts for the current portfolio of products and projects may indicate a decline in revenue as the marketed products approach patent…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-21 Stig Johan Wiklund , Magnus Ytterstad , Frank Miller

"How much is my data worth?" is an increasingly common question posed by organizations and individuals alike. An answer to this question could allow, for instance, fairly distributing profits among multiple data contributors and determining…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-07 Ruoxi Jia , David Dao , Boxin Wang , Frances Ann Hubis , Nick Hynes , Nezihe Merve Gurel , Bo Li , Ce Zhang , Dawn Song , Costas Spanos

Defect prediction can be a powerful tool to guide the use of quality assurance resources. However, while lots of research covered methods for defect prediction as well as methodological aspects of defect prediction research, the actual cost…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-12-16 Steffen Herbold