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Simulating and predicting the water level/stage in river systems is essential for flood warnings, hydraulic operations, and flood mitigations. Physics-based detailed hydrological and hydraulic computational tools, such as HEC-RAS, MIKE, and…

Extreme events over large spatial domains may exhibit highly heterogeneous tail dependence characteristics, yet most existing spatial extremes models yield only one dependence class over the entire spatial domain. To accurately characterize…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-14 Muyang Shi , Likun Zhang , Mark D. Risser , Benjamin A. Shaby

We present a data-efficient, multiscale framework for predicting the density profiles of confined fluids at the nanoscale. While accurate density estimates require prohibitively long timescales that are inaccessible by ab initio molecular…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-09-11 Bugra Yalcin , Ishan Nadkarni , Jinu Jeong , Chenxing Liang , Narayana R. Aluru

Precipitation governs Earth's hydroclimate, and its daily spatiotemporal fluctuations have major socioeconomic effects. Advances in Numerical weather prediction (NWP) have been measured by the improvement of forecasts for various physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-11-14 Manmeet Singh , Vaisakh S B , Nachiketa Acharya , Aditya Grover , Suryachandra A Rao , Bipin Kumar , Zong-Liang Yang , Dev Niyogi

Motivated by oceanographic observational datasets, we propose a probabilistic neural network (PNN) model for calculating turbulent energy dissipation rates from vertical columns of velocity and density gradients in density stratified…

Motivated by the analysis of extreme rainfall data, we introduce a general Bayesian hierarchical model for estimating the probability distribution of extreme values of intermittent random sequences, a common problem in geophysical and…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-26 Enrico Zorzetto , Antonio Canale , Marco Marani

Turbulence Models represent the workhorse for simulations used in engineering design and analysis. Despite their low computational cost and robustness, these models suffer from substantial predictive uncertainty, most of which is epistemic.…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Minghan Chu , Weicheng Qian

While deep learning has shown tremendous success in a wide range of domains, it remains a grand challenge to incorporate physical principles in a systematic manner to the design, training, and inference of such models. In this paper, we aim…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 Rui Wang , Karthik Kashinath , Mustafa Mustafa , Adrian Albert , Rose Yu

Accurate precipitation estimation is critical for flood forecasting, water resource management, and disaster preparedness. Satellite products provide global hourly coverage but contain systematic biases; ground-based gauges are accurate at…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Shunya Nagashima , Takumi Bannai , Shuitsu Koyama , Tomoya Mitsui , Shuntaro Suzuki

In the present work we assess the capabilities of neural networks to predict temporally evolving turbulent flows. In particular, we use the nine-equation shear flow model by Moehlis et al. [New J. Phys. 6, 56 (2004)] to generate training…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2019-05-10 P. A. Srinivasan , L. Guastoni , H. Azizpour , P. Schlatter , R. Vinuesa

Stream-flow forecasting for small rivers has always been of great importance, yet comparatively challenging due to the special features of rivers with smaller volume. Artificial Intelligence (AI) methods have been employed in this area for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-17 Youchuan Hu , Le Yan , Tingting Hang , Jun Feng

Simulation of fluid flow in porous media has many applications, from the micro-scale (cell membranes, filters, rocks) to macro-scale (groundwater, hydrocarbon reservoirs, and geothermal) and beyond. Direct simulation of flow in porous media…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-04-27 Ying Da Wang , Traiwit Chung , Ryan T. Armstrong , Peyman Mostaghimi

Over the past few decades, the hydrology community has witnessed notable advancements in streamflow prediction, particularly with the introduction of cutting-edge machine-learning algorithms. Recurrent neural networks, especially Long…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Sinan Rasiya Koya , Tirthankar Roy

Flow cytometry is a valuable technique that measures the optical properties of particles at a single-cell resolution. When deployed in the ocean, flow cytometry allows oceanographers to study different types of photosynthetic microbes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Ethan Pawl , François Ribalet , Paul A. Parker , Sangwon Hyun

Precipitation nowcasting is a critical spatio-temporal prediction task for society to prevent severe damage owing to extreme weather events. Despite the advances in this field, the complex and stochastic nature of this task still poses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-25 Shi Quan Foo , Chi-Ho Wong , Zhihan Gao , Dit-Yan Yeung , Ka-Hing Wong , Wai-Kin Wong

The Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) is a critical climate phenomenon, fundamentally impacting the agriculture, economy, and water security of over a billion people. Traditional long-range forecasting, whether statistical or dynamical, has…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Parashjyoti Borah , Sanghamitra Sarkar , Ranjan Phukan

A key objective in spatial statistics is to simulate from the distribution of a spatial process at a selection of unobserved locations conditional on observations (i.e., a predictive distribution) to enable spatial prediction and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-17 Julia Walchessen , Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Raphaël Huser , Mikael Kuusela

Tailings ponds are places for storing industrial waste. Once the tailings pond collapses, the villages nearby will be destroyed and the harmful chemicals will cause serious environmental pollution. There is an urgent need for a reliable…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-11 Jun Yang , Qing Li , Yixuan Sun

Hydroelectric power generation is a critical component of the global energy matrix, particularly in countries like Brazil, where it represents the majority of the energy supply. However, its strong dependence on river discharges, which are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-19 Julio Alberto Silva Dias

We introduce a novel forecasting model for crop yields that explicitly accounts for spatio-temporal dependence and the influence of extreme weather and climatic events. Our approach combines Bayesian Structural Time Series for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Marie Michaelides , Mélina Mailhot , Yongkun Li