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Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…
Sudden concept drift makes previously trained predictors unreliable, yet deciding when to retrain and what post-drift data size is sufficient is rarely addressed. We propose CALIPER - a detector- and model-agnostic, data-only test that…
The modular decomposition of a graph is a canonical representation of its modules. Algorithms for computing the modular decomposition of directed and undirected graphs differ significantly, with the undirected case being simpler, and…
Contraction analysis considers the distance between two adjacent trajectories. If this distance is contracting, then trajectories have the same long-term behavior. The main advantage of this analysis is that it is independent of the…
There is a relation between the irreversibility of thermodynamic processes as expressed by the breaking of time-reversal symmetry, and the entropy production in such processes. We explain on an elementary mathematical level the relations…
Posterior drift refers to changes in the relationship between responses and covariates while the distributions of the covariates remain unchanged. In this work, we explore functional linear regression under posterior drift with transfer…
We consider discrete-time switching systems composed of a finite family of affine sub-dynamics. First, we recall existing results and present further analysis on the stability problem, the existence and characterization of compact…
The challenge of describing model drift is an open question in unsupervised learning. It can be difficult to evaluate at what point an unsupervised model has deviated beyond what would be expected from a different sample from the same…
Transfer matrix method is a well-known and extensively used tool to compute the reflection and transmission coefficients of electromagnetic waves when interacting with a system of layers parallel to each other. We present here a modified…
Data-dependent metrics are powerful tools for learning the underlying structure of high-dimensional data. This article develops and analyzes a data-dependent metric known as diffusion state distance (DSD), which compares points using a…
In this paper a wave is generated by an initial data whose support is localized at the outside of unknown obstacles and observed in a limited time on a known closed surface or the same position as the support of the initial data. The…
This document reports on a method for detecting and preventing overfitting on data regressions, herein applied to mesh-like data structures. The mesh structure allows for the straightforward computation of the Laplace-operator second-order…
Finite differences have been widely used in mathematical theory as well as in scientific and engineering computations. These concepts are constantly mentioned in calculus. Most frequently-used difference formulas provide excellent…
Probabilistic modeling is cyclical: we specify a model, infer its posterior, and evaluate its performance. Evaluation drives the cycle, as we revise our model based on how it performs. This requires a metric. Traditionally, predictive…
We study delay-independent stability in nonlinear models with a distributed delay which have a positive equilibrium. Such models frequently occur in population dynamics and other applications. In particular, we construct a relevant…
Undirected graphs are often used to describe high dimensional distributions. Under sparsity conditions, the graph can be estimated using $\ell_1$ penalization methods. However, current methods assume that the data are independent and…
While many real-world data streams imply that they change frequently in a nonstationary way, most of deep learning methods optimize neural networks on training data, and this leads to severe performance degradation when dataset shift…
The problem of quickest change detection is studied, where there is an additional constraint on the cost of observations used before the change point and where the post-change distribution is composite. Minimax formulations are proposed for…
Pretrained Transformers achieve remarkable performance when training and test data are from the same distribution. However, in real-world scenarios, the model often faces out-of-distribution (OOD) instances that can cause severe semantic…
To quantify the fundamental evolution of time-varying networks, and detect abnormal behavior, one needs a notion of temporal difference that captures significant organizational changes between two successive instants. In this work, we…