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We discuss Bayesian model uncertainty analysis and forecasting in sequential dynamic modeling of multivariate time series. The perspective is that of a decision-maker with a specific forecasting objective that guides thinking about relevant…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-07 Isaac Lavine , Michael Lindon , Mike West

This paper proposes an adaptive lattice-based motion planning solution to address the problem of generating feasible trajectories for systems, represented by a linearly parameterizable non-linear model operating within a cluttered…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Abhishek Dhar , Sarthak Mishra , Spandan Roy , Daniel Axehill

The Adaptive Smoothing Method (ASM) is a data-driven approach for traffic state estimation. It interpolates unobserved traffic quantities by smoothing measurements along spatio-temporal directions defined by characteristic traffic wave…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-14 Chuhan Yang , Bilal Thonnam Thodi , Saif Eddin Jabari

The ability to forecast a set of likely yet diverse possible future behaviors of an agent (e.g., future trajectories of a pedestrian) is essential for safety-critical perception systems (e.g., autonomous vehicles). In particular, a set of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-12-24 Ye Yuan , Kris Kitani

Improved communication systems, shrinking battery sizes and the price drop of tracking devices have led to an increasing availability of trajectory tracking data. These data are often analyzed to understand animal behavior. In this work, we…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-12 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Clara Grazian , Sara Mancinelli , Enrico Bibbona

Safe UAV navigation is challenging due to the complex environment structures, dynamic obstacles, and uncertainties from measurement noises and unpredictable moving obstacle behaviors. Although plenty of recent works achieve safe navigation…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-15 Zhefan Xu , Di Deng , Yiping Dong , Kenji Shimada

Variational inference is a powerful tool for approximate inference, and it has been recently applied for representation learning with deep generative models. We develop the variational Gaussian process (VGP), a Bayesian nonparametric…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Dustin Tran , Rajesh Ranganath , David M. Blei

We consider the problem of an autonomous agent equipped with multiple sensors, each with different sensing precision and energy costs. The agent's goal is to explore the environment and gather information subject to its resource constraints…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Joshua Ott , Edward Balaban , Mykel Kochenderfer

Recent advancements in self-driving car technologies have enabled them to navigate autonomously through various environments. However, one of the critical challenges in autonomous vehicle operation is trajectory planning, especially in…

Probabilistic time series forecasting is crucial for quantifying future uncertainty, with significant applications in fields such as energy and finance. However, existing methods often rely on computationally expensive sampling or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Lei Liu , Tengyuan Liu , Hongwei Zhao , Jiahui Huang , Ruibo Guo , Bin Li

Motion trajectory planning is one crucial aspect for automated vehicles, as it governs the own future behavior in a dynamically changing environment. A good utilization of a vehicle's characteristics requires the consideration of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-31 Franz Gritschneder , Knut Graichen , Klaus Dietmayer

Autonomous systems, like vehicles or robots, require reliable, accurate, fast, resource-efficient, scalable, and low-latency trajectory predictions to get initial knowledge about future locations and movements of surrounding objects for…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-11 Manuel Hetzel , Hannes Reichert , Konrad Doll , Bernhard Sick

This work presents an efficient framework to generate a motion plan of a robot with high degrees of freedom (e.g., a humanoid robot). High-dimensionality of the robot configuration space often leads to difficulties in utilizing the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-08-02 Jung-Su Ha , Hyeok-Joo Chae , Han-Lim Choi

Trajectory planning is crucial for the safe driving of autonomous vehicles in highway traffic flow. Currently, some advanced trajectory planning methods utilize spatio-temporal voxels to construct feasible regions and then convert…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Zhiqiang Jian , Songyi Zhang , Lingfeng Sun , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka , Nanning Zheng

Context plays a significant role in the generation of motion for dynamic agents in interactive environments. This work proposes a modular method that utilises a learned model of the environment for motion prediction. This modularity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Todor Davchev , Michael Burke , Subramanian Ramamoorthy

Mixture models with Gamma and or inverse-Gamma distributed mixture components are useful for medical image tissue segmentation or as post-hoc models for regression coefficients obtained from linear regression within a Generalised Linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 A. Llera , D. Vidaurre , R. H. R. Pruim , C. F. Beckmann

Coordination recognition and subtle pattern prediction of future trajectories play a significant role when modeling interactive behaviors of multiple agents. Due to the essential property of uncertainty in the future evolution,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-05-03 Jiachen Li , Hengbo Ma , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

In this paper, an uncertain Multi-objective Multi-item Solid Transportation Problem (MMSTP) based on uncertainty theory is presented. In the model, transportation costs, supplies, demands and conveyances parameters are taken to be uncertain…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Hasan Dalman

Human motion prediction is a stochastic process: Given an observed sequence of poses, multiple future motions are plausible. Existing approaches to modeling this stochasticity typically combine a random noise vector with information about…

Many Multi-Object Tracking (MOT) approaches exploit motion information to associate all the detected objects across frames. However, many methods that rely on filtering-based algorithms, such as the Kalman Filter, often work well in linear…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-28 Xudong Han , Nobuyuki Oishi , Yueying Tian , Elif Ucurum , Rupert Young , Chris Chatwin , Philip Birch