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Microgrids and, in general, active distribution networks require ultra-short-term prediction, i.e., for sub-second time scales, for specific control decisions. Conventional forecasting methodologies are not effective at such time scales. To…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-20 Plouton Grammatikos , Fabrizio Sossan , Jean-Yves Le Boudec , Mario Paolone

Neural networks have proven successful at learning from complex data distributions by acting as universal function approximators. However, they are often overconfident in their predictions, which leads to inaccurate and miscalibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 Jeffrey Willette , Juho Lee , Sung Ju Hwang

A fundamental problem in modern supervised learning is computing reliable conditional prediction intervals in high-dimensional settings: existing methods often rely on restrictive modelling assumptions, do not scale as predictor dimension…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Daniel Salnikov , Dan Leonte , Kevin Michalewicz

In machine learning, model calibration and predictive inference are essential for producing reliable predictions and quantifying uncertainty to support decision-making. Recognizing the complementary roles of point and interval predictions,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-01 Lars van der Laan , Ahmed M. Alaa

Vital signs, such as heart rate and blood pressure, are critical indicators of patient health and are widely used in clinical monitoring and decision-making. While deep learning models have shown promise in forecasting these signals, their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-18 Li Rong Wang , Thomas C. Henderson , Yew Soon Ong , Yih Yng Ng , Xiuyi Fan

How to develop slim and accurate deep neural networks has become crucial for real- world applications, especially for those employed in embedded systems. Though previous work along this research line has shown some promising results, most…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-10-02 Xin Dong , Shangyu Chen , Sinno Jialin Pan

This paper introduces two methods for estimating reliable prediction intervals for local linear least-squares regressions, named Bounded Oscillation Prediction Intervals (BOPI). It also proposes a new measure for comparing interval…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-13 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Masoud Ebadi Kivaj

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) are mesh-free approaches for the numerical approximation of partial differential equations, where a neural network is trained by minimizing a loss function derived from the governing equations and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-03 Medard Govoeyi , Thomas Richter

Prediction-Powered Inference (PPI) is a powerful framework for enhancing statistical estimates by combining limited gold-standard data with machine learning (ML) predictions. While prior work has demonstrated PPI's benefits for individual…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-10 Sida Li , Nikolaos Ignatiadis

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Despite attractive theoretical guarantees and practical successes, Predictive Interval (PI) given by Conformal Prediction (CP) may not reflect the uncertainty of a given model. This limitation arises from CP methods using a constant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Salim I. Amoukou , Nicolas J. B Brunel

Implicit generative models have the capability to learn arbitrary complex data distributions. On the downside, training requires telling apart real data from artificially-generated ones using adversarial discriminators, leading to unstable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-27 José Manuel de Frutos , Pablo M. Olmos , Manuel A. Vázquez , Joaquín Míguez

Today's deep learning methods focus on how to design the most appropriate objective functions so that the prediction results of the model can be closest to the ground truth. Meanwhile, an appropriate architecture that can facilitate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-01 Chien-Yao Wang , I-Hau Yeh , Hong-Yuan Mark Liao

Probabilistic models often use neural networks to control their predictive uncertainty. However, when making out-of-distribution (OOD)} predictions, the often-uncontrollable extrapolation properties of neural networks yield poor uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Pierre Segonne , Yevgen Zainchkovskyy , Søren Hauberg

We present an approach to adaptively utilize deep neural networks in order to reduce the evaluation time on new examples without loss of accuracy. Rather than attempting to redesign or approximate existing networks, we propose two schemes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-20 Tolga Bolukbasi , Joseph Wang , Ofer Dekel , Venkatesh Saligrama

Motivated by the observation that humans can learn patterns from two given images at one time, we propose a dual pattern learning network architecture in this paper. Unlike conventional networks, the proposed architecture has two input…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Haimin Zhang , Min Xu

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have become ubiquitous thanks to their remarkable ability to model complex patterns across various domains such as computer vision, speech recognition, robotics, etc. While large DNN models are often more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Omkar Shende , Gayathri Ananthanarayanan , Marcello Traiola

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz

Deep neural networks (DNN) has received increasing attention in machine learning applications in the last several years. Recently, a non-asymptotic error bound has been developed to measure the performance of the fully connected DNN…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-15 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis
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