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Related papers: Human Mobility Modeling During the COVID-19 Pandem…

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The patterns of human mobility play a key role in the spreading of infectious diseases and thus represent a key ingredient of epidemic modeling and forecasting. Unfortunately, as the Covid-19 pandemic has dramatically highlighted, for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-28 Antonio Desiderio , Giulio Cimini , Gaetano Salina

Commuting is an important part of daily life. With the gradual recovery from COVID-19 and more people returning to work from the office, the transmission of COVID-19 during commuting becomes a concern. Recent emerging mobility services…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 Baichuan Mo , Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao

Social interaction is a fundamental aspect of human behavior and communication. The way individuals position themselves in relation to others, also known as proxemics, conveys social cues and affects the dynamics of social interaction.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-14 Lea Müller , Vickie Ye , Georgios Pavlakos , Michael Black , Angjoo Kanazawa

Classical compartmental models in epidemiology often assume a homogeneous population for simplicity, which neglects the inherent heterogeneity among individuals. This assumption frequently leads to inaccurate predictions when applied to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-09-09 Ning Jiang , Weiqi Chu , Yao Li

The spread of COVID-19 has coincided with the rise of Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), leading to several studies proposing their use to better forecast the evolution of the pandemic. Many such models also include Long Short Term Memory (LSTM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-24 Nathan Sesti , Juan Jose Garau-Luis , Edward Crawley , Bruce Cameron

This paper extends the canonical model of epidemiology, the SIRD model, to allow for time-varying parameters for real-time measurement and prediction of the trajectory of the Covid-19 pandemic. Time variation in model parameters is captured…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-01 Cem Cakmakli , Yasin Simsek

Non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs) play an important role in the early stage control of COVID-19 pandemic. Vaccination is considered to be the inevitable course to stop the spread of SARS-CoV-2. Based on the mechanism, a SVEIR COVID-19…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-08 Bin-Guo Wang , Shunxiang Huang , Yongping Xiong , Ming-Zhen Xin , Jing LI , Jiangqian Zhang , Zhihui Ma

The unprecedented coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is still a worldwide threat to human life since its invasion into the daily lives of the public in the first several months of 2020. Predicting the size of confirmed cases is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-02 Xinyu Wang , Lu Yang , Hong Zhang , Zhouwang Yang , Catherine Liu

In 2020, Brazil was the leading country in COVID-19 cases in Latin America, and capital cities were the most severely affected by the outbreak. Climates vary in Brazil due to the territorial extension of the country, its relief, geography,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Tiago Tiburcio da Silva , Rodrigo Francisquini , Mariá C. V. Nascimento

To manage the COVID-19 epidemic effectively, decision-makers in public health need accurate forecasts of case numbers. A potential near real-time predictor of future case numbers is human mobility; however, research on the predictive power…

Applications · Statistics 2021-06-02 Amray Schwabe , Joel Persson , Stefan Feuerriegel

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic is an unprecedented global public health challenge. In the United States (US), state governments have implemented various non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), such as physical distance…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-15 Shanghong Xie , Wenbo Wang , Qinxia Wang , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

We study how international flights can facilitate the spread of an epidemic to a worldwide scale. We combine an infrastructure network of flight connections with a population density dataset to derive the mobility network, and then we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-26 Hugo Dolan , Riccardo Rastelli

Enhancing 3D and Z-axis positioning accuracy is crucial for effective rescue in indoor emergencies, ensuring safety for emergency responders and at-risk individuals. Additionally, reducing the dependence of a positioning system on fixed…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-15 Gaurav Duggal , R. Michael Buehrer , Harpreet S. Dhillon , Jeffrey H. Reed

In response to the novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19), governments have introduced severe policy measures with substantial effects on human behavior. Here, we perform a large-scale, spatio-temporal analysis of human mobility during the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-08 Joel Persson , Jurriaan F. Parie , Stefan Feuerriegel

Large-scale human mobility data is a key resource in data-driven policy making and across many scientific fields. Most recently, mobility data was extensively used during the COVID-19 pandemic to study the effects of governmental policies…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-24 Frank Schlosser , Vedran Sekara , Dirk Brockmann , Manuel Garcia-Herranz

Accurate prediction of mobile traffic, i.e., network traffic from cellular base stations, is crucial for optimizing network performance and supporting urban development. However, the non-stationary nature of mobile traffic, driven by human…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-30 Zhi Sheng , Daisy Yuan , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

We propose a detailed discrete-time model of COVID-19 epidemics coming in two flavours, mean-field and probabilistic. The main contribution lies in several extensions of the basic model that capture i) user mobility - distinguishing…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-14 M. Akian , L. Ganassali , S. Gaubert , L. Massoulié

We propose an epidemiological model that includes the mobility patterns of the individuals, in the spirit to those considered in (Barmak, 2011, 2016) and (Medus, 2011). We assume that people move around in a city of 120x120 blocks with 300…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-12-08 Fernando E. Cornes , Guillermo A. Frank , Claudio O. Dorso

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Given aggregated mobile device data, the goal is to understand the impact of COVID-19 policy interventions on mobility. This problem is vital due to important societal use cases, such as safely reopening the economy. Challenges include…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-01-19 Arun Sharma , Majid Farhadloo , Yan Li , Aditya Kulkarni , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar