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We introduce some new generalized stochastic orderings (in the spirit of relative ageing) which compare probability distributions with the exponential distribution. These orderings are useful to understand the phenomenon of positive ageing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-10-21 Nil Kamal Hazra , Asok K. Nanda

A family of non-equilibrium statistical operators (NSO) is introduced which differ by the system lifetime distribution over which the quasi-equilibrium (relevant) distribution is averaged. This changes the form of the source in the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-03-31 V. V. Ryazanov

The Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) operator is a traditional and commonly used criterion for aggregating discrete values of uncertain quantities. In this paper, it is shown that the discrete OWA naturally extends to the continuous case by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Werner Baak , Marc Goerigk , Adam Kasperski , Paweł Zieliński

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

In randomized controlled trials, ordinal outcomes typically improve statistical efficiency over binary outcomes. The treatment effect on an ordinal outcome is usually described by the odds ratio from a proportional odds model, but this…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-01 Lindsey E. Turner , Carolyn T. Bramante , Thomas A. Murray

A common theme underlying many problems in statistics and economics involves the determination of a systematic method of selecting a joint distribution consistent with a specified list of categorical marginals, some of which have an ordinal…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-10-08 Christopher P. Chambers , Yusufcan Masatlioglu , Ruodu Wang

Real-life machine learning problems exhibit distributional shifts in the data from one time to another or from one place to another. This behavior is beyond the scope of the traditional empirical risk minimization paradigm, which assumes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Timothy DeLise

A typical random effects meta-analysis of odds-ratios assumes binomially distributed numbers of events in a treatment and control group and requires the proportion of deaths to be extracted from published papers. This data is often not…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-10-13 Shemra Rizzo , Robert E. Weiss

The inference of conditional distributions is a fundamental problem in statistics, essential for prediction, uncertainty quantification, and probabilistic modeling. A wide range of methodologies have been developed for this task. This…

Inferring the value of a property of a large stochastic system is a difficult task when the number of samples is insufficient to reliably estimate the probability distribution. The Bayesian estimator of the property of interest requires the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-01-26 Damián G. Hernández , Inés Samengo

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

Model selection aims to identify a sufficiently well performing model that is possibly simpler than the most complex model among a pool of candidates. However, the decision-making process itself can inadvertently introduce non-negligible…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-08 Yann McLatchie , Aki Vehtari

In this paper, a novel non-parametric method for estimation of expectation and maximum value of the variance function is proposed for recurrent events where intensity of event occurrence changes with the occurrence of each higher order…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-18 Sudipta Bhattacharya

In this paper, we proposed a new lifetime distribution namely generalized weighted Lindley (GLW) distribution. The GLW distribution is a useful generalization of the weighted Lindley distribution, which accommodates increasing, decreasing,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-20 P. L. Ramos , F. Louzada

In this paper, we introduce a new approach to generate flexible parametric families of distributions. These models arise on competitive and complementary risks scenario, in which the lifetime associated with a particular risk is not…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-22 Pedro L. Ramos , Dipak K. Dey , Francisco Louzada , Victor H. Lachos

A new unimodal distribution family indexed by the mode and three other parameters is derived from a mixture of a Gumbel distribution for the maximum and a Gumbel distribution for the minimum. Properties of the proposed distribution are…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Qingyang Liu , Xianzheng Huang , Haiming Zhou

We discuss nonparametric estimators of the distribution of the incubation time of a disease. The classical approach in these models is to use parametric families like Weibull, log-normal or gamma in the estimation procedure. We analyze…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Piet Groeneboom

We consider the problem of state estimation in general state-space models using variational inference. For a generic variational family defined using the same backward decomposition as the actual joint smoothing distribution, we establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Mathis Chagneux , Élisabeth Gassiat , Pierre Gloaguen , Sylvain Le Corff

We introduce a double/debiased machine learning estimator for the impulse response function in settings where a time series of interest is subjected to multiple discrete treatments, assigned over time, which can have a causal effect on…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-17 Daniele Ballinari , Alexander Wehrli

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee