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We analyse the prediction error of principal component regression (PCR) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding squared risk. Under mild assumptions, we show that PCR performs as well as the oracle method obtained by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-17 Martin Wahl

We study principal components regression (PCR) in an asymptotic high-dimensional regression setting, where the number of data points is proportional to the dimension. We derive exact limiting formulas for the estimation and prediction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Alden Green , Elad Romanov

We propose a new method for statistical inference in generalized linear models. In the overparameterized regime, Principal Component Regression (PCR) reduces variance by projecting high-dimensional data to a low-dimensional principal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-27 Yixuan Florence Wu , Yilun Zhu , Lei Cao , Naichen Shi

The first order behavior of multivariate heavy-tailed random vectors above large radial thresholds is ruled by a limit measure in a regular variation framework. For a high dimensional vector, a reasonable assumption is that the support of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-27 Holger Drees , Anne Sabourin

Principal component regression (PCR) is a popular technique for fixed-design error-in-variables regression, a generalization of the linear regression setting in which the observed covariates are corrupted with random noise. We provide the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Anish Agarwal , Keegan Harris , Justin Whitehouse , Zhiwei Steven Wu

This paper establishes bounds on the predictive performance of empirical risk minimization for principal component regression. Our analysis is nonparametric, in the sense that the relation between the prediction target and the predictors is…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-18 Christian Brownlees , Guðmundur Stefán Guðmundsson , Yaping Wang

Principal Components Regression (PCR) is a traditional tool for dimension reduction in linear regression that has been both criticized and defended. One concern about PCR is that obtaining the leading principal components tends to be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-10 Martin Slawski

We analyze principal component regression (PCR) in a high-dimensional error-in-variables setting with fixed design. Under suitable conditions, we show that PCR consistently identifies the unique model with minimum $\ell_2$-norm. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-08-28 Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen

In this paper, we investigate the impact of high-dimensional Principal Component (PC) adjustments on inferring the effects of variables on outcomes, with a focus on applications in genetic association studies where PC adjustment is commonly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-30 Sohom Bhattacharya , Rounak Dey , Rajarshi Mukherjee

We analyse the reconstruction error of principal component analysis (PCA) and prove non-asymptotic upper bounds for the corresponding excess risk. These bounds unify and improve existing upper bounds from the literature. In particular, they…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-01 Markus Reiß , Martin Wahl

This paper proposes a new method and algorithm for predicting multivariate responses in a regression setting. Research into classification of High Dimension Low Sample Size (HDLSS) data, in particular microarray data, has made considerable…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-28 Inge Koch , Kanta Naito

Principal component regression (PCR) is a useful method for regularizing linear regression. Although conceptually simple, straightforward implementations of PCR have high computational costs and so are inappropriate when learning with large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-03-08 Liron Mor-Yosef , Haim Avron

A number of settings arise in which it is of interest to predict Principal Component (PC) scores for new observations using data from an initial sample. In this paper, we demonstrate that naive approaches to PC score prediction can be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-11-14 Seunggeun Lee , Fei Zou , Fred A. Wright

Principal component regression results in lack of fit when important dimensions are omitted, which cannot be assessed from the eigenvalues. I show that the PC-regression estimator can also suffer from increased variance relative to ordinary…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-30 Bert van der Veen

Principal component regression (PCR) is a simple, but powerful and ubiquitously utilized method. Its effectiveness is well established when the covariates exhibit low-rank structure. However, its ability to handle settings with noisy,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-20 Anish Agarwal , Devavrat Shah , Dennis Shen , Dogyoon Song

Principal component analysis is an important pattern recognition and dimensionality reduction tool in many applications. Principal components are computed as eigenvectors of a maximum likelihood covariance $\widehat{\Sigma}$ that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-30 Raphael Hauser , Raul Kangro , Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger

A high-dimensional $r$-factor model for an $n$-dimensional vector time series is characterised by the presence of a large eigengap (increasing with $n$) between the $r$-th and the $(r+1)$-th largest eigenvalues of the covariance matrix.…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Matteo Barigozzi , Haeran Cho

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure: the first stage performs principal component analysis (PCA) and the second stage constructs a regression model whose explanatory variables are replaced by principal components…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Shuichi Kawano

Given a data matrix $\mathbf{A} \in \mathbb{R}^{n \times d}$, principal component projection (PCP) and principal component regression (PCR), i.e. projection and regression restricted to the top-eigenspace of $\mathbf{A}$, are fundamental…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Yujia Jin , Aaron Sidford

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a very successful dimensionality reduction technique, widely used in predictive modeling. A key factor in its widespread use in this domain is the fact that the projection of a dataset onto its first…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-19 Xianghui Luo , Robert J. Durrant
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