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Gaussian processes (GPs) are a Bayesian machine learning approach widely used to construct surrogate models for the uncertainty quantification of computer simulation codes in industrial applications. It provides both a mean predictor and an…

Complex-valued Gaussian processes are commonly used in Bayesian frequency-domain system identification as prior models for regression. If each realization of such a process were an $H_\infty$ function with probability one, then the same…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-19 Alex Devonport , Peter Seiler , Murat Arcak

Selecting the best alternative from a finite set represents a broad class of pure exploration problems. Traditional approaches to pure exploration have predominantly relied on Gaussian or sub-Gaussian assumptions on the performance…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-01 Zaile Li , Weiwei Fan , L. Jeff Hong

Many functions have approximately-known upper and/or lower bounds, potentially aiding the modeling of such functions. In this paper, we introduce Gaussian process models for functions where such bounds are (approximately) known. More…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-20 Vu Nguyen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Michael A. Osborne

We propose a general method to carry out a valid Bayesian analysis of a finite-dimensional `targeted' parameter in the presence of a finite-dimensional nuisance parameter. We apply our methods to causal inference based on estimating…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Magid Sabbagh , David A. Stephens

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible distributions over functions that enable high-level assumptions about unknown functions to be encoded in a parsimonious, flexible and general way. Although elegant, the application of GPs is limited by…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-06 Thang D. Bui , Josiah Yan , Richard E. Turner

Scalable Gaussian process (GP) inference is essential for sequential decision-making tasks, yet improving GP scalability remains a challenging problem with many open avenues of research. This paper focuses on iterative GPs, where iterative…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Alan Yufei Dong , Jihao Andreas Lin , José Miguel Hernández-Lobato

This paper presents a novel information value function that can be used in online sensor planning to monitor a spatial phenomenon in which the spatial phenomenon is modeled by nonparametric Gaussian processes. The information value function…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2014-06-13 Hongchuan Wei , Wenjie Lu , Silvia Ferrari

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

Abstract In Extreme Value methodology the choice of threshold plays an important role in efficient modelling of observations exceeding the threshold. The threshold must be chosen high enough to ensure an unbiased extreme value index but…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Andréhette Verster , Lizanne Raubenheimer

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a mature and widely-used component of the ML toolbox. One of their desirable qualities is automatic hyperparameter selection, which allows for training without user intervention. However, in many realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Sebastian W. Ober , Artem Artemev , Marcel Wagenländer , Rudolfs Grobins , Mark van der Wilk

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

Inter-domain Gaussian processes (GPs) allow for high flexibility and low computational cost when performing approximate inference in GP models. They are particularly suitable for modeling data exhibiting global structure but are limited to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Tim G. J. Rudner , Dino Sejdinovic , Yarin Gal

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this paper, we consider a selective inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

Current causal discovery approaches require restrictive model assumptions in the absence of interventional data to ensure structure identifiability. These assumptions often do not hold in real-world applications leading to a loss of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Anish Dhir , Ruby Sedgwick , Avinash Kori , Ben Glocker , Mark van der Wilk

We propose an iterative method to safely learn the unmodeled dynamics of a nonlinear system using Bayesian Gaussian process (GP) models with polynomial kernel functions. The method maintains safety by ensuring that the system state stays…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-03 Alex Devonport , He Yin , Murat Arcak

Sparse variational Gaussian processes (GPs) construct tractable posterior approximations to GP models. At the core of these methods is the assumption that the true posterior distribution over training function values ${\bf f}$ and inducing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Michalis K. Titsias

Gaussian process (GP) bandits provide a powerful framework for performing blackbox optimization of unknown functions. The characteristics of the unknown function depend heavily on the assumed GP prior. Most work in the literature assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Jack Sandberg , Morteza Haghir Chehreghani

Gaussian processes retain the linear model either as a special case, or in the limit. We show how this relationship can be exploited when the data are at least partially linear. However from the perspective of the Bayesian posterior, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-07-13 Robert B. Gramacy , Herbert K. H. Lee

Modern day engineering problems are ubiquitously characterized by sophisticated computer codes that map parameters or inputs to an underlying physical process. In other situations, experimental setups are used to model the physical process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Raphael Gautier , Piyush Pandita , Sayan Ghosh , Dimitri Mavris