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Causal disentanglement aims to uncover a representation of data using latent variables that are interrelated through a causal model. Such a representation is identifiable if the latent model that explains the data is unique. In this paper,…

Footprint analysis, also known as the study of Influence areas, is a first order method for solving inverse atmospheric dispersion problems. We revisit the concept of footprints giving a rigorous definition of the concept (denoted posterior…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-09-19 Niklas Brännström , Leif Å Persson

In this work, we present a method to generate a configurational level fingerprint for polymers using the Bead-Spring-Model. Unlike some of the previous fingerprinting approaches that employ monomer-level information where atomistic…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2023-11-28 Ishan Kumar , Prateek K Jha

We show an essentially tight bound on the number of adaptively chosen statistical queries that a computationally efficient algorithm can answer accurately given $n$ samples from an unknown distribution. A statistical query asks for the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2015-02-23 Thomas Steinke , Jonathan Ullman

Regional high-resolution climate projections are crucial for many applications, such as agriculture, hydrology, and natural hazard risk assessment. Dynamical downscaling, the state-of-the-art method to produce localized future climate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-10-03 Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Zhong Yi Wan , Leonardo Zepeda-Núñez , Tapio Schneider , John Anderson , Fei Sha

Data-driven emulators are increasingly being used to learn and emulate physics-based simulations, reducing computational expense and run time. Here, we present a structured way to improve the quality of these high-dimensional emulated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Nawid Keshtmand , Elena Fillola , Jeffrey Nicholas Clark , Raul Santos-Rodriguez , Matthew Rigby

In a broad and fundamental type of ''inverse problems'' in science, one infers a spatially distributed physical attribute based on observations of processes that are controlled by the spatial attribute in question. The data-generating field…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-09 Zepu Zhang

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

Local decision rules are commonly understood to be more explainable, due to the local nature of the patterns involved. With numerical optimization methods such as gradient boosting, ensembles of local decision rules can gain good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-27 Xin Du , Subramanian Ramamoorthy , Wouter Duivesteijn , Jin Tian , Mykola Pechenizkiy

Domain adaptation (DA) enables knowledge transfer from a labeled source domain to an unlabeled target domain by reducing the cross-domain distribution discrepancy. Most prior DA approaches leverage complicated and powerful deep neural…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Shuang Li , Jinming Zhang , Wenxuan Ma , Chi Harold Liu , Wei Li

With billions of people facing moderate or severe food insecurity, the resilience of the global food supply will be of increasing concern due to the effects of climate change and geopolitical events. In this paper we describe a framework to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-12 David Willmes , Nick Krall , James Tanis , Zachary Terner , Fernando Tavares , Chris Miller , Joe Haberlin , Matt Crichton , Alexander Schlichting

Electricity is difficult to store, except at prohibitive cost, and therefore the balance between generation and load must be maintained at all times. Electricity is traditionally managed by anticipating demand and intermittent production…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-26 Julie Keisler , Margaux Bregere

Datasets with extreme observations and/or heavy-tailed error distributions are commonly encountered and should be analyzed with careful consideration of these features from a statistical perspective. Small deviations from an assumed model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

Given the importance of public support for policy change and implementation, public policymakers and researchers have attempted to understand the factors associated with this support for climate change mitigation policy. In this article, we…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2020-03-24 Romit Maulik , Junghwa Choi , Wesley Wehde , Prasanna Balaprakash

Learning behavioral patterns from observational data has been a de-facto approach to motion forecasting. Yet, the current paradigm suffers from two shortcomings: brittle under distribution shifts and inefficient for knowledge transfer. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-06 Yuejiang Liu , Riccardo Cadei , Jonas Schweizer , Sherwin Bahmani , Alexandre Alahi

We introduce an anomaly detection method for multivariate time series data with the aim of identifying critical periods and features influencing extreme climate events like snowmelt in the Arctic. This method leverages the Variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Tolulope Ale , Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel , Vandana P. Janeja

Data-driven models are increasingly adopted in critical scientific fields like weather forecasting and fluid dynamics. These methods can fail on out-of-distribution (OOD) data, but detecting such failures in regression tasks is an open…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Bogdan Raonić , Siddhartha Mishra , Samuel Lanthaler

Advances in deep learning methods for weather forecasting are creating opportunities to computationally explore the potential for steering or control of extreme weather trajectories for societal risk reduction. We present initial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-22 Moyan Liu , Qin Huang , Upmanu Lall

Rapidly growing wildfires have recently devastated societal assets, exposing a critical need for early warning systems to expedite relief efforts. Smoke detection using camera-based Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) offers a promising solution…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Ryo Ide , Lei Yang

Anomaly detection plays a crucial role in quality control for industrial applications. However, ensuring robustness under unseen domain shifts such as lighting variations or sensor drift remains a significant challenge. Existing methods…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-20 Jingyi Liao , Xun Xu , Yongyi Su , Rong-Cheng Tu , Yifan Liu , Dacheng Tao , Xulei Yang