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Several approaches have been proposed to forecast day-ahead locational marginal price (daLMP) in deregulated energy markets. The rise of deep learning has motivated its use in energy price forecasts but most deep learning approaches fail to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-14 Dipanwita Saha , Felipe Lopez

Electricity markets currently fail to incorporate preferences of buyers, treating polluting and renewable energy sources as having equal social benefit under a system of uniform clearing prices. Meanwhile, renewable energy is prone to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-30 Emilie Jong , Samuel Chevalier , Spyros Chatzivasileiadis , Shie Mannor

At present, electricity markets largely ignore the fact that renewable power producers impose significant externalities on non-renewable energy producers. This is because consumers are generally guaranteed electricity within certain load…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-28 Ashkan Zeinalzadeh , Indraneel Chakraborty , Vijay Gupta

Although recent studies have shown that electricity systems with shares of wind and solar above 80% can be affordable, economists have raised concerns about market integration. Correlated generation from variable renewable sources depresses…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-14 T. Brown , L. Reichenberg

The exponential growth of renewable energy capacity has brought much uncertainty to electricity prices and to electricity generation. To address this challenge, the energy exchanges have been developing further trading possibilities,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-24 Michał Narajewski

Electricity price forecasting has become a critical tool for decision-making in energy markets, particularly as the increasing penetration of renewable energy introduces greater volatility and uncertainty. Historically, research in this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-11 Ciaran O'Connor , Mohamed Bahloul , Steven Prestwich , Andrea Visentin

Traditional electric energy markets do not explicitly model generator contingencies. To improve the representation of resources and to enhance the modeling of uncertainty, existing markets are moving in the direction of including generator…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-08 N. G. Singhal , J. Kwon , K. W. Hedman

This paper studies the impact of wind generation on market prices and system costs in the UK between 2013 and 2014. The wider effects and implications of wind generation is of direct relevance and importance to policy makers, as well as the…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-16 Lisa MH Hall , Alastair Buckley , Jose Mawyin

Wholesale electricity markets are increasingly integrated via high voltage interconnectors, and inter-regional trade in electricity is growing. To model this, we consider a spatial equilibrium model of price formation, where constraints on…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-04-24 Michael Stanley Smith , Thomas S. Shively

Adopting a zonal structure of electricity market requires specification of zones' borders. One of the approaches to identify zones is based on clustering of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP). The purpose of the paper is twofold: (i) we…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2013-10-21 Karol Wawrzyniak , Grzegorz Orynczak , Michal Klos , Aneta Goska , Marcin Jakubek

We present modeling and analysis of day-ahead spatio-temporal energy markets in which each competitive aggregator aims at making the highest profit by managing a complex mixture of different energy resources, such as conventional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Takayuki Ishizaki , Masakazu Koike , Nobuyuki Yamaguchi , Yuzuru Ueda , Jun-ichi Imura

An optimal scheduling model for a microgrid participating in the electricity distribution market in interaction with a Distribution Market Operator (DMO) is proposed in this paper. The DMO administers the established electricity market in…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-11-15 Sina Parhizi , Amin Khodaei , Mohammad Shahidehpour

Modern market management systems continue to evolve due to the intentions to improve system security and reliability. This evolvement has been leading to a transition of market auction models from a deterministic structure with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-22 Mohammad Ghaljehei , Mojdeh Khorsand

This paper proposes a novel method for demand forecasting in a pricing context. Here, modeling the causal relationship between price as an input variable to demand is crucial because retailers aim to set prices in a (profit) optimal manner…

Electricity is typically traded in day-ahead auctions because many power system decisions, such as unit commitment, must be made in advance. However, when wind and solar generators sell power one day ahead, they face uncertainty about their…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-16 Thomas Hübner

This paper introduces a computationally efficient comparative approach to classical pricing rules for day-ahead electricity markets, namely Convex Hull Pricing, IP Pricing and European-like market rules, in a Power Exchange setting with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-03 Mehdi Madani , Carlos Ruiz , Sauleh Siddiqui , Mathieu Van Vyve

In this paper we present a regression based model for day-ahead electricity spot prices. We estimate the considered linear regression model by the lasso estimation method. The lasso approach allows for many possible parameters in the model,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Florian Ziel

The availability of historical data related to electricity day-ahead prices and to the underlying price formation process is limited. In addition, the electricity market in Europe is facing a rapid transformation, which limits the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-06-27 Raffaele Sgarlato

Statistical mechanics provides a useful analog for understanding the behavior of complex adaptive systems, including electric power markets and the power systems they intend to govern. Market-based control is founded on the conjecture that…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David P. Chassin

In 2022, energy prices skyrocketed across Europe, with average day-ahead spot market prices in Germany 2.43 times higher than the previous year, hinting at future trends. At the same time, electricity infrastructure is expected to be…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-04-30 Judith Stute , Sabine Pelka , Matthias Kühnbach , Marian Klobasa
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