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We define extrapolation as any type of statistical inference on a conditional function (e.g., a conditional expectation or conditional quantile) evaluated outside of the support of the conditioning variable. This type of extrapolation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Niklas Pfister , Peter Bühlmann

Using a metric related to the returns correlation, a method is proposed to reconstruct an economic space from the market data. A reduced subspace, associated to the systematic structure of the market, is identified and its dimension related…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-16 R. Vilela Mendes , Tanya Araújo , Francisco Louçã

We employ the machinery of smooth scaling and coarse-graining of observables, developed recently by us in the context of so-called fluctuation operators (inspired by prior work of Verbeure et al) to make a rigorous renormalisation group…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Manfred Requardt

Reliability analysis is a sub-field of uncertainty quantification that assesses the probability of a system performing as intended under various uncertainties. Traditionally, this analysis relies on deterministic models, where experiments…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-19 Anderson V. Pires , Maliki Moustapha , Stefano Marelli , Bruno Sudret

This paper develops an algorithm to reconstruct large weighted firm-to-firm networks using information about the size of the firms and sectoral input-output flows. Our algorithm is based on a four-step procedure. We first generate a matrix…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-03 Ashwin Bhattathiripad , Vipin P Veetil

Given a gamma population with known shape parameter $\alpha$, we develop a general theory for estimating a function $g(\cdot)$ of the scale parameter $\beta$ with bounded variance. We begin by defining a sequential sampling procedure with…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Jun Hu , Ibtihal Alanazi , Zhe Wang

Sequential scaling is a prominent inference-time scaling paradigm, yet its performance improvements are typically modest and not well understood, largely due to the prevalence of heuristic, non-principled approaches that obscure clear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Youkang Wang , Jian Wang , Rubing Chen , Tianyi Zeng , Xiao-Yong Wei , Qing Li

Conventional predictive modeling of parametric relationships in manufacturing processes is limited by the subjectivity of human expertise and intuition on the one hand and by the cost and time of experimental data generation on the other…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-26 Kiarash Naghavi Khanghah , Anandkumar Patel , Rajiv Malhotra , Hongyi Xu

We reconstruct a product-level input-output network based on firm-level import-export data of Italian firms. We show that the network has a statistically significant, yet nuanced trophic structure, which is evident at the product level but…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-05-05 Massimiliano Fessina , Andrea Tacchella , Andrea Zaccaria

Modern macroeconomic theories were unable to foresee the last Great Recession and could neither predict its prolonged duration nor the recovery rate. They are based on supply-demand equilibria that do not exist during recessionary shocks.…

General Economics · Economics 2019-06-19 Peter Klimek , Sebastian Poledna , Stefan Thurner

In the preceding paper we presented empirical results describing the growth of publicly-traded United States manufacturing firms within the years 1974--1993. Our results suggest that the data can be described by a scaling approach. Here, we…

We develop a theoretical framework to investigate the link between rising scale economies and stagnating productivity. Our model features heterogeneous firms, imperfect competition, and firm selection. We demonstrate that scale economies…

General Economics · Economics 2026-02-04 Joel Kariel , Anthony Savagar

Input-Output analysis describes the dependence of production, demand and trade between sectors and regions and allows to understand the propagation of economic shocks through economic networks. A central challenge in practical applications…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-04-21 Chengyuan Han , Johannes Többen , Wilhelm Kuckshinrichs , Malte Schröder , Dirk Witthaut

A longstanding puzzle in urban science is whether there's an intrinsic match between human populations and the mass of their built environments. Previous findings have revealed various urban properties scaling nonlinearly with population,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-11 Kangning Huang , Mingzhen Lu

There are problems with defining the thermodynamic limit of systems with long-range interactions; as a result, the thermodynamic behavior of these types of systems is anomalous. In the present work, we review some concepts from both…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 L. A. del Pino , P. Troncoso , S. Curilef

Modern data sets, such as those in healthcare and e-commerce, are often derived from many individuals or systems but have insufficient data from each source alone to separately estimate individual, often high-dimensional, model parameters.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-14 Maryann Rui , Thibaut Horel , Munther Dahleh

Recently researchers have been studying various conditions as swampland criteria in cosmological implications. They have studied many inflation models with different swampland conditions. Occasionally these conjectures are modified and lead…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-02-14 S. Noori Gashti , J. Sadeghi , B. Pourhassan

Hierarchical panel data models have recently garnered significant attention. This study contributes to the relevant literature by introducing a novel three-dimensional (3D) hierarchical panel data model, which integrates panel regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-13 Guohua Feng , Jiti Gao , Fei Liu , Bin Peng

The lambda calculus since more than half a century is a model and foundation of functional programming languages. However, lambda expressions can be evaluated with different reduction strategies and thus, there is no fixed cost model nor…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Tomasz Drab

We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-29 John Goddard , Enrico Onali