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Accurate precipitation forecasting is a vital challenge of societal importance. Though data-driven approaches have emerged as a widely used solution, solely relying on data-driven approaches has limitations in modeling the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Yujin Tang , Jiaming Zhou , Xiang Pan , Zeying Gong , Junwei Liang

This paper presents a physics-constrained neural differential equation framework for parameterization, and employs it to model the time evolution of seasonal snow depth given hydrometeorological forcings. When trained on data from multiple…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-13 Andrew Charbonneau , Katherine Deck , Tapio Schneider

Accurate prediction of the freezing level is essential for hydrometeorological forecasting systems, with direct implications for runoff generation and reservoir management. In this study, we develop a deep learning based postprocessing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-08-28 Vesta Afzali Gorooh , Agniv Sengupta , Shawn Roj , Rachel Weihs , Brian Kawzenuk , Luca Delle Monache , F. Martin Ralph

Neural weather models have shown immense potential as inexpensive and accurate alternatives to physics-based models. However, most models trained to perform weather forecasting do not quantify the uncertainty associated with their…

We discuss an approach to probabilistic forecasting based on two chained machine-learning steps: a dimensional reduction step that learns a reduction map of predictor information to a low-dimensional space in a manner designed to preserve…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-28 Nick Rittler , Carlo Graziani , Jiali Wang , Rao Kotamarthi

Traditionally, data analysis and theory have been viewed as separate disciplines, each feeding into fundamentally different types of models. Modern deep learning technology is beginning to unify these two disciplines and will produce a new…

Computational fluid dynamics (CFD) is a powerful tool for modeling turbulent flow and is commonly used for urban microclimate simulations. However, traditional CFD methods are computationally intensive, requiring substantial hardware…

We introduce an ensemble learning post-processing methodology for probabilistic hydrological modelling. This methodology generates numerous point predictions by applying a single hydrological model, yet with different parameter values drawn…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-07 Georgia Papacharalampous , Demetris Koutsoyiannis , Alberto Montanari

Physics-informed neural network architectures have emerged as a powerful tool for developing flexible PDE solvers which easily assimilate data, but face challenges related to the PDE discretization underpinning them. By instead adapting a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-12-11 Ravi G. Patel , Indu Manickam , Nathaniel A. Trask , Mitchell A. Wood , Myoungkyu Lee , Ignacio Tomas , Eric C. Cyr

Accurate and efficient temperature prediction is critical for optimizing the preheating process of PET preforms in industrial microwave systems prior to blow molding. We propose a novel deep learning framework for generalized temperature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Ahmad Alsheikh , Andreas Fischer

To tackle the global climate challenge, it urgently needs to develop a collaborative platform for comprehensive weather forecasting on large-scale meteorological data. Despite urgency, heterogeneous meteorological sensors across countries…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Shengchao Chen , Guodong Long , Tao Shen , Jing Jiang

A purposely built deep learning algorithm for the Verification of Earth-System ParametERisation (VESPER) is used to assess recent upgrades of the global physiographic datasets underpinning the quality of the Integrated Forecasting System…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Tom Kimpson , Margarita Choulga , Matthew Chantry , Gianpaolo Balsamo , Souhail Boussetta , Peter Dueben , Tim Palmer

Among the most relevant processes in the Earth system for human habitability are quasi-periodic, ocean-driven multi-year events whose dynamics are currently incompletely characterized by physical models, and hence poorly predictable. This…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-08-09 Matthew Bonas , Christopher K. Wikle , Stefano Castruccio

Deep-learning (DL) weather prediction models offer some notable advantages over traditional physics-based models, including auto-differentiability and low computational cost, enabling detailed diagnostics of forecast errors. Using our…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-07-23 Uros Perkan , Ziga Zaplotnik , Gregor Skok

Climate models are complicated software systems that approximate atmospheric and oceanic fluid mechanics at a coarse spatial resolution. Typical climate forecasts only explicitly resolve processes larger than 100 km and approximate any…

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

Weather forecasting is usually solved through numerical weather prediction (NWP), which can sometimes lead to unsatisfactory performance due to inappropriate setting of the initial states. In this paper, we design a data-driven method…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Bin Wang , Jie Lu , Zheng Yan , Huaishao Luo , Tianrui Li , Yu Zheng , Guangquan Zhang

The increasing installation rate of wind power poses great challenges to the global power system. In order to ensure the reliable operation of the power system, it is necessary to accurately forecast the wind speed and power of the wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Yang Yang , Jin Lang , Jian Wu , Yanyan Zhang , Xiang Zhao

With several advantages and as an alternative to predict physics field, machine learning methods can be classified into two distinct types: data-driven relying on training data and physics-driven using physics law. Choosing heat conduction…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-05-19 Hao Ma , Xiangyu Hu , Yuxuan Zhang , Nils Thuerey , Oskar J. Haidn

Paleoclimatic measurements serve to understand Earth System processes and evaluate climate model performances. However, their spatial coverage is generally sparse and unevenly distributed across the globe. Statistical interpolation methods…