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Bayesian model updating based on Gaussian Process (GP) models has received attention in recent years, which incorporates kernel-based GPs to provide enhanced fidelity response predictions. Although most kernel functions provide high fitting…

Marginalising over families of Gaussian Process kernels produces flexible model classes with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. Existing approaches require likelihood evaluations of many kernels, rendering them prohibitively expensive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-16 Saad Hamid , Sebastian Schulze , Michael A. Osborne , Stephen J. Roberts

Many problems arising in applications result in the need to probe a probability distribution for functions. Examples include Bayesian nonparametric statistics and conditioned diffusion processes. Standard MCMC algorithms typically become…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-20 S. L. Cotter , G. O. Roberts , A. M. Stuart , D. White

Mixtures of Gaussian process experts is a class of models that can simultaneously address two of the key limitations inherent in standard Gaussian processes: scalability and predictive performance. In particular, models that use Dirichlet…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Yuji Saikai , Khue-Dung Dang

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) over graphs arises in a number of safety-critical applications in network science. The Gaussian process (GP), as a classical Bayesian framework for UQ, has been developed to handle graph-structured data by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-08 Jinwen Xu , Qin Lu , Georgios B. Giannakis

Despite a large corpus of recent work on scaling up Gaussian processes, a stubborn trade-off between computational speed, prediction and uncertainty quantification accuracy, and customizability persists. This is because the vast majority of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Marcus M. Noack , Mark D. Risser , Hengrui Luo , Vardaan Tekriwal , Ronald J. Pandolfi

We propose a parameter efficient Bayesian layer for hierarchical convolutional Gaussian Processes that incorporates Gaussian Processes operating in Wasserstein-2 space to reliably propagate uncertainty. This directly replaces convolving…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-29 Sebastian G. Popescu , David J. Sharp , James H. Cole , Konstantinos Kamnitsas , Ben Glocker

This work introduces a novel probabilistic deep learning technique called deep Gaussian mixture ensembles (DGMEs), which enables accurate quantification of both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. By assuming the data generating process…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-13 Yousef El-Laham , Niccolò Dalmasso , Elizabeth Fons , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Gaussian Processes (GP) are widely used for probabilistic modeling and inference for nonparametric regression. However, their computational complexity scales cubicly with the sample size rendering them unfeasible for large data sets. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-11 Amine Hadji , Tammo Hesselink , Botond Szabó

The kernel function and its hyperparameters are the central model selection choice in a Gaussian proces (Rasmussen and Williams, 2006). Typically, the hyperparameters of the kernel are chosen by maximising the marginal likelihood, an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-07 Vidhi Lalchand , Wessel P. Bruinsma , David R. Burt , Carl E. Rasmussen

New manufacturing techniques such as 3D printing have recently enabled the creation of previously infeasible chemical reactor designs. Optimizing the geometry of the next generation of chemical reactors is important to understand the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Tom Savage , Nausheen Basha , Omar Matar , Ehecatl Antonio Del-Rio Chanona

In this work, we propose a novel generative model for mapping inputs to structured, high-dimensional outputs using structured conditional normalizing flows and Gaussian process regression. The model is motivated by the need to characterize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Natalie Klein , Nishant Panda , Patrick Gasda , Diane Oyen

Combining Gaussian processes with the expressive power of deep neural networks is commonly done nowadays through deep kernel learning (DKL). Unfortunately, due to the kernel optimization process, this often results in losing their Bayesian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Idan Achituve , Gal Chechik , Ethan Fetaya

Optimization methods are essential in solving complex problems across various domains. In this research paper, we introduce a novel optimization method called Gaussian Crunching Search (GCS). Inspired by the behaviour of particles in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Benny Wong

For applications as varied as Bayesian neural networks, determinantal point processes, elliptical graphical models, and kernel learning for Gaussian processes (GPs), one must compute a log determinant of an $n \times n$ positive definite…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-10 Kun Dong , David Eriksson , Hannes Nickisch , David Bindel , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

Gaussian processes (GP) are a widely used model for regression problems in supervised machine learning. Implementation of GP regression typically requires $O(n^3)$ logic gates. We show that the quantum linear systems algorithm [Harrow et…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2019-05-29 Zhikuan Zhao , Jack K. Fitzsimons , Joseph F. Fitzsimons

Optimization strategies driven by machine learning, such as Bayesian optimization, are being explored across experimental sciences as an efficient alternative to traditional design of experiment. When combined with automated laboratory…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-18 Riley J. Hickman , Matteo Aldeghi , Florian Häse , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

In biomanufacturing, developing an accurate model to simulate the complex dynamics of bioprocesses is an important yet challenging task. This is partially due to the uncertainty associated with bioprocesses, high data acquisition cost, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Yuan Sun , Winton Nathan-Roberts , Tien Dung Pham , Ellen Otte , Uwe Aickelin

Characterizing quantum processes is indispensable for the implementation of any task in quantum information processing. In this paper, we develop an efficient method to fully characterize arbitrary Gaussian processes in continuous-variable…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-05 Logan W. Grove , Pratik J. Barge , Kevin Valson Jacob