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This article establishes an asymptotic theory for volatility estimation in an infinite-dimensional setting. We consider mild solutions of semilinear stochastic partial differential equations and derive a stable central limit theorem for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-14 Fred Espen Benth , Dennis Schroers , Almut E. D. Veraart

In this paper, we obtain asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the implied volatility associated with a European call pricing function. We show that these formulas imply Lee's moment formulas for the implied volatility and the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-06-03 A. Gulisashvili

We construct a statistical indicator for the detection of short-term asset price bubbles based on the information content of bid and ask market quotes for plain vanilla put and call options. Our construction makes use of the martingale…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-17 Petteri Piiroinen , Lassi Roininen , Tobias Schoden , Martin Simon

Jumps and market microstructure noise are stylized features of high-frequency financial data. It is well known that they introduce bias in the estimation of volatility (including integrated and spot volatilities) of assets, and many methods…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-20 Qiang Liu , Zhi Liu

We consider a multidimensional Ito semimartingale regularly sampled on [0,t] at high frequency 1/\Delta_n, with \Delta_n going to zero. The goal of this paper is to provide an estimator for the integral over [0,t] of a given function of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-11 Jean Jacod , Mathieu Rosenbaum

This paper is concerned with investigating the asymptotic behavior of the gradients of solutions to a class of elliptic systems with general boundary data, especially covering the Lam\'{e} systems, in a narrow region. The novelty of this…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-04-15 Zhiwen Zhao

Using distribution theory we present the moment asymptotic expansion of continuous wavelet transform in different distributional spaces for large and small values of dilation parameter $a$. We also obtain asymptotic expansions for certain…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2014-05-02 R S Pathak , Ashish Pathak

We construct estimators for the parameters of a parabolic SPDE with one spatial dimension based on discrete observations of a solution in time and space on a bounded domain. We establish central limit theorems for a high-frequency…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-23 Markus Bibinger , Patrick Bossert

Using Malliavin Calculus techniques, we derive closed-form expressions for the at-the-money behaviour of the forward implied volatility, its skew and its curvature, in general Markovian stochastic volatility models with continuous paths.

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-01 Elisa Alos , Antoine Jacquier , Jorge Leon

We consider the pricing of derivatives written on the discretely sampled realized variance of an underlying security. In the literature, the realized variance is usually approximated by its continuous-time limit, the quadratic variation of…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-24 Martin Keller-Ressel , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

Modelling qualitative uncertainty in formal argumentation is essential both for practical applications and theoretical understanding. Yet, most of the existing works focus on \textit{abstract} models for arguing with uncertainty. Following…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Carlo Proietti , Antonio Yuste-Ginel

We introduce wavelet-based methodology for estimation of realized variance allowing its measurement in the time-frequency domain. Using smooth wavelets and Maximum Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, we allow for the decomposition of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-20 Jozef Barunik , Lukas Vacha

In this paper, a unified framework for representing uncertain information based on the notion of an interval structure is proposed. It is shown that the lower and upper approximations of the rough-set model, the lower and upper bounds of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Michael S. K. M. Wong , L. S. Wang , Y. Y. Yao

We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model which is a popular stochastic volatility model that is widely used in financial practice. Our time discretization is a variant of the Euler-Maruyama scheme. We study its…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-18 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

In this document we achieve exact and asymptotic enumeration of words, compositions over a finite group, and/or integer compositions characterized by local restrictions and, separately, subsequence pattern avoidance. We also count…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-04-19 Andrew MacFie

We derive a nonparametric higher-order asymptotic expansion for small-time changes of conditional characteristic functions of It\^o semimartingale increments. The asymptotics setup is of joint type: both the length of the time interval of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-12 Carsten H. Chong , Viktor Todorov

The design of embedded control systems is mainly done with model-based tools such as Matlab/Simulink. Numerical simulation is the central technique of development and verification of such tools. Floating-point arithmetic, that is well-known…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2015-05-18 Alexandre Chapoutot

It is well known that the asymptotic variance of sample quantiles can be reduced under heterogeneity relative to the i.i.d. setting. However, asymptotically correct confidence intervals for quantiles are not yet available. We propose a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 John H. J. Einmahl , Yi He

We propose a simple, intuitive alternative method of deriving the rule for connecting asymptotic wave function amplitudes to scattering probabilities. This is illustrated using the standard example of a 1-D particle reflecting or…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-09 Travis Norsen

We present compelling empirical evidence for a new interpretation of the Forward Rate Curve (FRC) term structure. We find that the average FRC follows a square-root law, with a prefactor related to the spot volatility, suggesting a…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Andrew Matacz , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud
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