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Modeling dynamical systems, both for control purposes and to make predictions about their behavior, is ubiquitous in science and engineering. Predictive state representations (PSRs) are a recently introduced class of models for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Satinder Singh , Michael James , Matthew Rudary

We address the problem of learning the parameters of a mean square stable switched linear systems (SLS) with unknown latent space dimension, or \textit{order}, from its noisy input--output data. In particular, we focus on learning a good…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-06 Tuhin Sarkar , Alexander Rakhlin , Munther A. Dahleh

State-space models (SSMs) offer a powerful framework for dynamical system analysis, wherein the temporal dynamics of the system are assumed to be captured through the evolution of the latent states, which govern the values of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-17 Jiahe Lin , George Michailidis

The objective of this paper is to investigate how noisy and incomplete observations can be integrated in the process of building a reduced-order model. This problematic arises in many scientific domains where there exists a need for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-18 Patrick Héas , Cédric Herzet

Establishing appropriate mathematical models for complex systems in natural phenomena not only helps deepen our understanding of nature but can also be used for state estimation and prediction. However, the extreme complexity of natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-27 Cheng Fang , Jinqiao Duan

Data-driven modelling and scientific machine learning have been responsible for significant advances in determining suitable models to describe data. Within dynamical systems, neural ordinary differential equations (ODEs), where the system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-08 Gevik Grigorian , Sandip V. George , Simon Arridge

Real-world dynamical systems often consist of multiple stochastic subsystems that interact with each other. Modeling and forecasting the behavior of such dynamics are generally not easy, due to the inherent hardness in understanding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-14 Fan Yang , Ling Chen , Fan Zhou , Yusong Gao , Wei Cao

In safety-critical Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), accurate trajectory prediction provides vital guidance for downstream planning and control, yet although deep learning models achieve high-fidelity forecasts on validation data, their…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Tongfei Guo , Lili Su

Modeling complex dynamical systems under varying conditions is computationally intensive, often rendering high-fidelity simulations intractable. Although reduced-order models (ROMs) offer a promising solution, current methods often struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Andrew F. Ilersich , Kevin Course , Prasanth B. Nair

Intensive longitudinal (IL) data are increasingly prevalent in psychological science, coinciding with technological advancements that make it simple to deploy study designs such as daily diary and ecological momentary assessments. IL data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Teague R. Henry , Lindley R. Slipetz , Ami Falk , Jiaxing Qiu , Meng Chen

With a specific emphasis on control design objectives, achieving accurate system modeling with limited complexity is crucial in parametric system identification. The recently introduced deep structured state-space models (SSM), which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Marco Forgione , Manas Mejari , Dario Piga

This paper introduces novel deep dynamical models designed to represent continuous-time sequences. Our approach employs a neural emission model to generate each data point in the time series through a non-linear transformation of a latent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Sheng Cheng , Deqian Kong , Jianwen Xie , Kookjin Lee , Ying Nian Wu , Yezhou Yang

The class of observation-driven models (ODMs) includes many models of non-linear time series which, in a fashion similar to, yet different from, hidden Markov models (HMMs), involve hidden variables. Interestingly, in contrast to most HMMs,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-06-10 Tepmony Sim , Randal Douc , François Roueff

Sequential data often originates from diverse domains across which statistical regularities and domain specifics exist. To specifically learn cross-domain sequence representations, we introduce disentangled state space models (DSSM) -- a…

Over the past few years, research on deep graph learning has shifted from static graphs to temporal graphs in response to real-world complex systems that exhibit dynamic behaviors. In practice, temporal graphs are formalized as an ordered…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jintang Li , Ruofan Wu , Xinzhou Jin , Boqun Ma , Liang Chen , Zibin Zheng

We consider the problem of performing parameter and state inference in a state-space model (SSM) parametrized by a static parameter $\theta$. A popular idea to address this problem consists of incorporating $\theta$ in the state of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-10 Yuan Chen , Mathieu Gerber , Christophe Andrieu , Randal Douc

Partial Differential Equations (PDEs) with high dimensionality are commonly encountered in computational physics and engineering. However, finding solutions for these PDEs can be computationally expensive, making model-order reduction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Sebastian Kaltenbach , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis , Petros Koumoutsakos

Many real-world dynamical systems can be described as State-Space Models (SSMs). In this formulation, each observation is emitted by a latent state, which follows first-order Markovian dynamics. A Probabilistic Deep SSM (ProDSSM)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-18 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

Discrete latent space models have recently achieved performance on par with their continuous counterparts in deep variational inference. While they still face various implementation challenges, these models offer the opportunity for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-08-22 Max Cohen , Maurice Charbit , Sylvain Le Corff

Experiments, in particular on biological systems, typically probe lower-dimensional observables which are projections of high-dimensional dynamics. In order to infer consistent models capturing the relevant dynamics of the system, it is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-18 Xizhu Zhao , Dmitrii E. Makarov , Aljaž Godec
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