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Health-policy planning requires evidence on the burden that epidemics place on healthcare systems. Multiple, often dependent, datasets provide a noisy and fragmented signal from the unobserved epidemic process including transmission and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-11 Alice Corbella , Anne M Presanis , Paul J Birrell , Daniela De Angelis

Customer feedback can be an important signal for improving commercial machine translation systems. One solution for fixing specific translation errors is to remove the related erroneous training instances followed by re-training of the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Tsz Kin Lam , Eva Hasler , Felix Hieber

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis methods have been developed for understanding the influence of model inputs relative to events which characterize the failure of a system (e.g., a threshold exceedance of the model output). In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Marouane Il Idrissi , Vincent Chabridon , Bertrand Iooss

Regression prediction plays a crucial role in practical applications and strongly relies on data annotation. However, due to prohibitive annotation costs or domain-specific constraints, labeled data in the target domain is often scarce,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-25 Bingbing Wang , Jiaqi Wang , Yu Tang

Influence maximization is the problem of finding the set of nodes of a network that maximizes the size of the outbreak of a spreading process occurring on the network. Solutions to this problem are important for strategic decisions in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-10-23 Sirag Erkol , Claudio Castellano , Filippo Radicchi

There is intense interest in applying machine learning to problems of causal inference in fields such as healthcare, economics and education. In particular, individual-level causal inference has important applications such as precision…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-17 Uri Shalit , Fredrik D. Johansson , David Sontag

Probabilistic dependency graphs (PDGs) are a flexible class of probabilistic graphical models, subsuming Bayesian Networks and Factor Graphs. They can also capture inconsistent beliefs, and provide a way of measuring the degree of this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Oliver E. Richardson , Joseph Y. Halpern , Christopher De Sa

Accurate estimation of counterfactual outcomes in high-dimensional data is crucial for decision-making and understanding causal relationships and intervention outcomes in various domains, including healthcare, economics, and social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Jiageng Zhu , Hanchen Xie , Jiazhi Li , Wael Abd-Almageed

Recent advances in probabilistic modelling have led to a large number of simulation-based inference algorithms which do not require numerical evaluation of likelihoods. However, a public benchmark with appropriate performance metrics for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-12 Jan-Matthis Lueckmann , Jan Boelts , David S. Greenberg , Pedro J. Gonçalves , Jakob H. Macke

Variational representations of divergences and distances between high-dimensional probability distributions offer significant theoretical insights and practical advantages in numerous research areas. Recently, they have gained popularity in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-25 Jeremiah Birrell , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

This paper demonstrates a method for using belief-network algorithms to solve influence diagram problems. In particular, both exact and approximation belief-network algorithms may be applied to solve influence-diagram problems. More…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-10 Gregory F. Cooper

We introduce an epistemic information measure between two data streams, that we term $influence$. Closely related to transfer entropy, the measure must be estimated by epistemic agents with finite memory resources via sampling accessible…

Improving the quality of training samples is crucial for improving the reliability and performance of ML models. In this paper, we conduct a comparative evaluation of influence-based signals for debugging training data. These signals can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Nikolaos Myrtakis , Ioannis Tsamardinos , Vassilis Christophides

Multiple regression has been the go-to method for data analysis for generations of scholars due to its transparency, interpretability, and desirable theoretical properties. However, the method's simplicity precludes the discovery of complex…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-02 Marc Ratkovic , Dustin Tingley

With the rapid adoption of machine learning systems in sensitive applications, there is an increasing need to make black-box models explainable. Often we want to identify an influential group of training samples in a particular test…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Samyadeep Basu , Xuchen You , Soheil Feizi

We develop a data-driven information-theoretic framework for sharp partial identification of causal effects under unmeasured confounding. Existing approaches often rely on restrictive assumptions, such as bounded or discrete outcomes;…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Yonghan Jung , Bogyeong Kang

Diffusion models, a powerful and universal generative AI technology, have achieved tremendous success in computer vision, audio, reinforcement learning, and computational biology. In these applications, diffusion models provide flexible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Minshuo Chen , Song Mei , Jianqing Fan , Mengdi Wang

Identifying influential nodes that can jointly trigger the maximum influence spread in networks is a fundamental problem in many applications such as viral marketing, online advertising, and disease control. Most existing studies assume…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Junzhou Zhao , Shuo Shang , Pinghui Wang , John C. S. Lui , Xiangliang Zhang

Interpersonal influence estimation from empirical data is a central challenge in the study of social structures and dynamics. Opinion dynamics theory is a young interdisciplinary science that studies opinion formation in social networks and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-27 Chiara Ravazzi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Constantino Lagoa , Anton V. Proskurnikov

In the field of reinforcement learning there has been recent progress towards safety and high-confidence bounds on policy performance. However, to our knowledge, no practical methods exist for determining high-confidence policy performance…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Daniel S. Brown , Scott Niekum
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