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Machine learning models will often fail when deployed in an environment with a data distribution that is different than the training distribution. When multiple environments are available during training, many methods exist that learn…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Alan Q. Wang , Minh Nguyen , Mert R. Sabuncu

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

This paper proposes a fast and scalable method for uncertainty quantification of machine learning models' predictions. First, we show the principled way to measure the uncertainty of predictions for a classifier based on Nadaraya-Watson's…

This study proposes a debiasing method for smooth nonparametric estimators. While machine learning techniques such as random forests and neural networks have demonstrated strong predictive performance, their theoretical properties remain…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-19 Masahiro Kato

Precise asymptotics have revealed many surprises in high-dimensional regression. These advances, however, have not extended to perhaps the simplest estimator: direct Nadaraya-Watson (NW) kernel smoothing. Here, we describe how one can use…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-01-23 Jacob A. Zavatone-Veth , Cengiz Pehlevan

We develop a rigorous statistical theory of multi-head attention (MHA) as an ensemble of Nadaraya-Watson (NW) kernel regression estimators. Building on the algebraic identity between single-head softmax attention and the NW estimator, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-21 Ernest Fokoué

A new approach called NAF (the Neural Attention Forest) for solving regression and classification tasks under tabular training data is proposed. The main idea behind the proposed NAF model is to introduce the attention mechanism into the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-13 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin , Alexey A. Lukashin , Vladimir A. Muliukha

Data sampling is an effective method to improve the training speed of neural networks, with recent results demonstrating that it can even break the neural scaling laws. These results critically rely on high-quality scores to estimate the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-23 Shabnam Daghaghi , Benjamin Coleman , Benito Geordie , Anshumali Shrivastava

Recent advances in deep learning have achieved impressive gains in classification accuracy on a variety of types of data, including images and text. Despite these gains, however, concerns have been raised about the calibration, robustness,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Dallas Card , Michael Zhang , Noah A. Smith

Interpretability is an important aspect of the trustworthiness of a model's predictions. Transformer's predictions are widely explained by the attention weights, i.e., a probability distribution generated at its self-attention unit (head).…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Rishabh Bhardwaj , Navonil Majumder , Soujanya Poria , Eduard Hovy

Machine learning algorithms often assume that training samples are independent. When data points are connected by a network, the induced dependency between samples is both a challenge, reducing effective sample size, and an opportunity to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-22 Tiffany M. Tang , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

This paper deals with a nonparametric Nadaraya-Watson (NW) estimator of the transition density function computed from independent continuous observations of a diffusion process. A risk bound is established on this estimator. The paper also…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-28 Nicolas Marie , Ousmane Sacko

Reweighting a distribution to minimize a distance to a target distribution is a powerful and flexible strategy for estimating a wide range of causal effects, but can be challenging in practice because optimal weights typically depend on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-16 Oscar Clivio , Avi Feller , Chris Holmes

Explaining recommendations enables users to understand whether recommended items are relevant to their needs and has been shown to increase their trust in the system. More generally, if designing explainable machine learning models is key…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-27 Darius Afchar , Romain Hennequin

While both classical and neural network classifiers can achieve high accuracy, they fall short on offering uncertainty bounds on their predictions, making them unfit for safety-critical applications. Existing kernel-based classifiers that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-10 Shreeram Murali , Cristian R. Rojas , Dominik Baumann

Given a graph with a subset of labeled nodes, we are interested in the quality of the averaging estimator which for an unlabeled node predicts the average of the observations of its labeled neighbors. We rigorously study concentration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-05 M. Gjorgjevski

A new method for estimating the conditional average treatment effect is proposed in the paper. It is called TNW-CATE (the Trainable Nadaraya-Watson regression for CATE) and based on the assumption that the number of controls is rather large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-20 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Stanislav R. Kirpichenko , Lev V. Utkin

In this paper, we propose a Network-Weighted Functional Regression (NWFR) model, an extension of Spatially Weighted Functional Regression (SWFR) to functional data defined on network-structured settings. To asses predictive uncertainity, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Elvira Romano , Antonio Irpino , Claire Miller

Recent years have seen a growing interest in methods for predicting an unknown variable of interest, such as a subject's diagnosis, from medical images depicting its anatomical-functional effects. Methods based on discriminative modeling…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-10-14 Chiara Mauri , Stefano Cerri , Oula Puonti , Mark Mühlau , Koen Van Leemput

The interpretability of neural networks (NNs) is a challenging but essential topic for transparency in the decision-making process using machine learning. One of the reasons for the lack of interpretability is random weight initialization,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-01 Shohei Kubota , Hideaki Hayashi , Tomohiro Hayase , Seiichi Uchida
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