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This paper presents FDNet: a Focal Decomposed Network for efficient, robust and practical time series forecasting. We break away from conventional deep time series forecasting formulas which obtain prediction results from universal feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-21 Li Shen , Yuning Wei , Yangzhu Wang , Huaxin Qiu

Recently, many deep-learning techniques have been applied to various weather-related prediction tasks, including precipitation nowcasting (i.e., predicting precipitation levels and locations in the near future). Most existing…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-10-25 Jihoon Ko , Kyuhan Lee , Hyunjin Hwang , Kijung Shin

Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Due to insufficient local area information, numerical weather prediction (NWP) may yield biases for specific areas. Previous studies correct biases mainly by employing handcrafted features or applying data-driven methods intuitively,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Binqing Wu , Weiqi Chen , Wengwei Wang , Bingqing Peng , Liang Sun , Ling Chen

The impacts of climate change are felt by most critical systems, such as infrastructure, ecological systems, and power-plants. However, contemporary Earth System Models (ESM) are run at spatial resolutions too coarse for assessing effects…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-03-10 Thomas Vandal , Evan Kodra , Sangram Ganguly , Andrew Michaelis , Ramakrishna Nemani , Auroop R Ganguly

Drifting icebergs in the polar oceans play a key role in the Earth's climate system, impacting freshwater fluxes into the ocean and regional ecosystems while also posing a challenge to polar navigation. However, accurately forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Rohan Putatunda , Sanjay Purushotham , Ratnaksha Lele , Vandana P. Janeja

Many scientific prediction problems have spatiotemporal data- and modeling-related challenges in handling complex variations in space and time using only sparse and unevenly distributed observations. This paper presents a novel deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Yijun Lin , Yao-Yi Chiang , Meredith Franklin , Sandrah P. Eckel , José Luis Ambite

While spatio-temporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) excel at modeling recurring traffic patterns, their reliability plummets during non-recurring events like accidents. This failure occurs because GNNs are fundamentally correlational models,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Luyao Niu , Zepu Wang , Shuyi Guan , Yang Liu , Peng Sun

Spatio-temporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Xiaobei Zou , Luolin Xiong , Yang Tang , Jürgen Kurths

Cloud cover is crucial information for many applications such as planning land observation missions from space. It remains however a challenging variable to forecast, and Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models suffer from significant…

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Deep learning has seen increasing applications in time series in recent years. For time series anomaly detection scenarios, such as in finance, Internet of Things, data center operations, etc., time series usually show very flexible…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Cheng Ge , Xi Chen , Ming Wang , Jin Wang

FourCastNeXt is an optimization of FourCastNet - a global machine learning weather forecasting model - that performs with a comparable level of accuracy and can be trained using around 5% of the original FourCastNet computational…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-22 Edison Guo , Maruf Ahmed , Yue Sun , Rui Yang , Harrison Cook , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Ben Evans

Cloud phase profiles are critical for numerical weather prediction (NWP), as they directly affect radiative transfer and precipitation processes. In this study, we present a benchmark dataset and a baseline framework for transforming…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Chi Yang , Fu Wang , Xiaofei Yang , Hao Huang , Weijia Cao , Xiaowen Chu

Accurate prediction of wind power is essential for the grid integration of this intermittent renewable source and aiding grid planners in forecasting available wind capacity. Spatial differences lead to discrepancies in climatological data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Md Saiful Islam Sajol , Md Shazid Islam , A S M Jahid Hasan , Md Saydur Rahman , Jubair Yusuf

We present Compressible Atmospheric Model-Network (CAM-NET), an AI model designed to predict neutral atmospheric variables from the Earth's surface to the ionosphere with high accuracy and computational efficiency. Accurate modeling of the…

Space Physics · Physics 2025-07-03 Jiahui Hu , Wenjun Dong

Instance normalization (IN) is widely used in non-stationary multivariate time series forecasting to reduce distribution shifts and highlight common patterns across samples. However, IN can over-smooth instance-specific structural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Hao Li , Lu Zhang , Liu Chong , Yankai Chen , Pengyang Wang , Yingjie Zhou

Pedestrian trajectory modelling in an urban complex is challenging because pedestrians can have many possible destinations, such as shops, escalators, and attractions. Moreover, weather and time-of-day may affect pedestrian behavior. In…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-30 Ho Chun Wu , Esther Hoi Shan Lau , Paul Yuen , Kevin Hung , John Kwok Tai Chui , Andrew Kwok Fai Lui

Most state-of-the-art approaches for weather and climate modeling are based on physics-informed numerical models of the atmosphere. These approaches aim to model the non-linear dynamics and complex interactions between multiple variables,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Tung Nguyen , Johannes Brandstetter , Ashish Kapoor , Jayesh K. Gupta , Aditya Grover

Accurate network traffic forecasting is essential for Internet Service Providers (ISP) to optimize resources, enhance user experience, and mitigate anomalies. This study evaluates state-of-the-art deep learning models on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Josef Koumar , Timotej Smoleň , Kamil Jeřábek , Tomáš Čejka
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