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We compute the Bayesian Evidence for models considered in the main analysis of Planck cosmic microwave background data. By utilising carefully-defined nearest-neighbour distances in parameter space, we reuse the Monte Carlo Markov Chains…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-13 Alan Heavens , Yabebal Fantaye , Elena Sellentin , Hans Eggers , Zafiirah Hosenie , Steve Kroon , Arrykrishna Mootoovaloo

Several cosmological observations (e.g., Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), Supernovae Type Ia, and local distance ladder measurements such as Cepheids) have been used to measure the global expansion rate of the Universe, i.e., the Hubble…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-06-05 S. Ilani Loubser , Adebusola B. Alabi , Matt Hilton , Yin-Zhe Ma , Xin Tang , Narges Hatamkhani , Catherine Cress , Rosalind E. Skelton , S. Andile Nkosi

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is an approach for sampling from an approximate posterior distribution in the presence of a computationally intractable likelihood function. A common implementation is based on simulating model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-16 D. Prangle , M. G. B. Blum , G. Popovic , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods have become increasingly prevalent of late, facilitating as they do the analysis of intractable, or challenging, statistical problems. With the initial focus being primarily on the practical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-24 David T. Frazier , Gael M. Martin , Christian P. Robert

It is shown that the Hubble constant can be derived from the standard luminosity function of galaxies as well as from a new luminosity function as deduced from the mass-luminosity relationship for galaxies. An analytical expression for the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-09-20 Lorenzo Zaninetti

Dynamical dark energy has been recently suggested as a promising and physical way to solve the 3.4 sigma tension on the value of the Hubble constant $H_0$ between the direct measurement of Riess et al. (2016) (R16, hereafter) and the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-07-24 Eleonora Di Valentino , Alessandro Melchiorri , Eric V. Linder , Joseph Silk

In this article we focus on Maximum Likelihood estimation (MLE) for the static parameters of hidden Markov models (HMMs). We will consider the case where one cannot or does not want to compute the conditional likelihood density of the…

Computation · Statistics 2012-10-18 Elena Ehrlich , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

A growing number of generative statistical models do not permit the numerical evaluation of their likelihood functions. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has become a popular approach to overcome this issue, in which one simulates…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-10 Espen Bernton , Pierre E. Jacob , Mathieu Gerber , Christian P. Robert

Precise measurements of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) power spectrum are in excellent agreement with the predictions of the standard $\Lambda$CDM cosmological model. However, there is some tension between the value of the Hubble…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-12-07 Tanvi Karwal , Marc Kamionkowski

Methods of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are increasingly used for analysis of complex models. A major challenge for ABC is over-coming the often inherent problem of high rejection rates in the accept/reject methods based on…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-27 Fernando V. Bonassi , Mike West

Recent cosmological surveys and datasets have highlighted a variety of tensions to the concordance model of our universe, $\Lambda$CDM. Of particular interest is the Hubble tension, the $5.5\sigma$ discrepancy between measurements of the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2026-04-01 Luke Weisenbach , Sophie L. Newman , Kieran Graham , Sai S. Dhavala , Benjamin Floyd , Neel Shah , Gemini 3 Flash , The CROCS Collaboration

Bayes linear analysis and approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) are techniques commonly used in the Bayesian analysis of complex models. In this article we connect these ideas by demonstrating that regression-adjustment ABC algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-10 D. J. Nott , Y. Fan , L. Marshall , S. A. Sisson

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has gained popularity in recent years owing to its easy implementation, nice interpretation and good performance. Its advantages are more visible when one encounters complex models where maximum…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-19 Xiaolong Zhong , Malay Ghosh

Max-stable processes are a common choice for modelling spatial extreme data as they arise naturally as the infinite-dimensional generalisation of multivariate extreme value theory. Statistical inference for such models is complicated by the…

Recent improvements in astronomical observations lead to the conclusion that the Hubble constant lies between 60 and 80 Mpc km$^{-1}$ sec$^{-1}$ and the age of the universe between 11 and 14 Gigayears. Taken together with recent…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2007-05-23 H. Pierre Noyes

In many inference problems, the evaluation of complex and costly models is often required. In this context, Bayesian methods have become very popular in several fields over the last years, in order to obtain parameter inversion, model…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Luca Martino , Víctor Elvira , Javier López-Santiago , Gustau Camps-Valls

A key prediction of cosmological theories for the origin and evolution of structure in the Universe is the existence of a `Doppler peak' in the angular power spectrum of cosmic microwave background (CMB) fluctuations. We present new results…

Astrophysics · Physics 2020-11-25 S. Hancock , G. Rocha , A. N. Lasenby , C. M. Gutierrez

In this Letter, we use the latest results from the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI) survey to measure the Hubble constant. Baryon acoustic oscillation (BAO) observations released by the DESI survey, allow us to determine $H_0$…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2024-12-18 Wuzheng Guo , Qiumin Wang , Shuo Cao , Marek Biesiada , Tonghua Liu , Yujie Lian , Xinyue Jiang , Chengsheng Mu , Dadian Cheng

The ability to efficiently infer system parameters is essential in any signal-processing task that requires fast operation. Dealing with quantum systems, a serious challenge arises due to substantial growth of the underlying Hilbert space…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-23 Lewis A. Clark , Jan Kolodynski

This preprint has been reviewed and recommended by Peer Community In Evolutionary Biology (http://dx.doi.org/10.24072/pci.evolbiol.100036). Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) has grown into a standard methodology that manages Bayesian…