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Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC for short) is a family of computational techniques which offer an almost automated solution in situations where evaluation of the posterior likelihood is computationally prohibitive, or whenever…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Gérard Biau , Frédéric Cérou , Arnaud Guyader

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a widely used inference method in Bayesian statistics to bypass the point-wise computation of the likelihood. In this paper we develop theoretical bounds for the distance between the statistics used…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-03 James Ridgway

1. Challenging calibration of complex models can be approached by using prior knowledge on the parameters. However, the natural choice of Bayesian inference can be computationally heavy when relying on Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-27 Charlotte Baey , Henrik G. Smith , Maj Rundlöf , Ola Olsson , Yann Clough , Ullrika Sahlin

A maximum likelihood methodology for a general class of models is presented, using an approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) approach. The typical target of ABC methods are models with intractable likelihoods, and we combine an ABC-MCMC…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-16 Umberto Picchini , Rachele Anderson

Considerable progress has been made in determining the Hubble constant over the past two decades. We discuss the cosmological context and importance of an accurate measurement of the Hubble constant, and focus on six high-precision…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-18 Wendy L. Freedman , Barry F. Madore

The determination of the Hubble constant has been a central goal in observational astrophysics for nearly 100 years. Extraordinary progress has occurred in recent years on two fronts: the cosmic distance ladder measurements at low redshift…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2014-10-14 C. L. Bennett , D. Larson , J. L. Weiland , G. Hinshaw

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) is a set of techniques for Bayesian inference when the likelihood is intractable but sampling from the model is possible. This work presents a simple yet effective ABC algorithm based on the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-01 Yanzhi Chen , Michael U. Gutmann

The cosmic microwave background (CMB) offers a unique window into the early universe, providing insights into cosmological parameters like the Hubble constant. Recent precise measurements of the CMB by experiments like Planck seem to point…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-26 Pablo Lemos , Paul Shah

Selecting between different dependency structures of hidden Markov random field can be very challenging, due to the intractable normalizing constant in the likelihood. We answer this question with approximate Bayesian computation (ABC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Julien Stoehr , Pierre Pudlo , Lionel Cucala

The Hubble constant ($H_0$), which represents the expansion rate of the Universe, is one of the most important cosmological parameters. The recent measurements of $H_0$ using the distance ladder methods such as Type Ia Supernovae (SNe Ia)…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-14 Rahul Kumar Thakur , Shashikant Gupta , Rahul Nigam , PK Thiruvikraman

In the following article we consider approximate Bayesian parameter inference for observation driven time series models. Such statistical models appear in a wide variety of applications, including econometrics and applied mathematics. This…

Computation · Statistics 2013-04-01 Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas , Elena Ehrlich

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a statistical learning technique to calibrate and select models by comparing observed data to simulated data. This technique bypasses the use of the likelihood and requires only the ability to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-04 Pierre-Olivier Goffard , Patrick J. Laub

We present an approach for automatic extraction of measured values from the astrophysical literature, using the Hubble constant for our pilot study. Our rules-based model -- a classical technique in natural language processing -- has…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-01-08 Tom Crossland , Pontus Stenetorp , Sebastian Riedel , Daisuke Kawata , Thomas D. Kitching , Rupert A. C. Croft

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a useful class of methods for Bayesian inference when the likelihood function is computationally intractable. In practice, the basic ABC algorithm may be inefficient in the presence of discrepancy…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Stefano Cabras , Maria Eugenia Castellanos Nueda , Erlis Ruli

Model selection in the presence of intractable likelihoods remains a central challenge in Bayesian inference. Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) provides a flexible likelihood-free framework, but its use for model choice is known to be…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-03 Clara Grazian

I review the current state of determinations of the Hubble constant, which gives the length scale of the Universe by relating the expansion velocity of objects to their distance. There are two broad categories of measurements. The first…

Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-13 Neal Jackson

Local measurements of the Hubble constant ($H_0$) based on Cepheids e Type Ia supernova differ by $\approx 5 \sigma$ from the estimated value of $H_0$ from Planck CMB observations under $\Lambda$CDM assumptions. In order to better…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2023-07-07 Carlos Bengaly , Maria Aldinez Dantas , Luciano Casarini , Jailson Alcaniz

ABC (approximate Bayesian computation) is a general approach for dealing with models with an intractable likelihood. In this work, we derive ABC algorithms based on QMC (quasi- Monte Carlo) sequences. We show that the resulting ABC…

Computation · Statistics 2018-05-08 Alexander Buchholz , Nicolas Chopin

An accurate determination of the Hubble constant remains a puzzle in observational cosmology. The possibility of a new physics has emerged with a significant tension between the current expansion rate of our Universe measured from the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-11-01 R. F. L. Holanda , G. Pordeus-da-Silva , S. H. Pereira

The bias in the determination of the Hubble parameter and the Hubble constant in the modern Universe is discussed. It could appear due to statistical processing of data on galaxies redshifts and estimated distances based on some statistical…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-22 S. L. Parnovsky