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Zero-inflated models are frequently used to deal with data having many zeros. A commonly used model for over-dispersed data containing zeros is known as the zero-inflated Poisson model. However, to account for the heterogeneity of counts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Ali Abbas , Sajid Ali , Ismail Shah

We consider the analysis of count data in which the observed frequency of zero counts is unusually large, typically with respect to the Poisson distribution. We focus on two alternative modelling approaches: Over-Dispersion (OD) models, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-30 John Haslett , Andrew C. Parnell , John Hinde , Rafael A. Moral

Univariate zero-inflated models are increasingly being used to account for excess zeros in spatio-temporal infectious disease counts. However, the multivariate case is challenging due to the need to account for correlations across space,…

Marginalized models are in great demand by most researchers in the life sciences particularly in clinical trials, epidemiology, health-economics, surveys and many others since they allow generalization of inference to the entire population…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-26 Samuel Iddi , Kwabena Doku-Amponsah

In this study, a two-state Markov switching count-data model is proposed as an alternative to zero-inflated models to account for the preponderance of zeros sometimes observed in transportation count data, such as the number of accidents…

Applications · Statistics 2009-08-02 Nataliya V. Malyshkina , Fred L. Mannering

The occurrence of a claim often impacts not one but multiple insurance coverages provided in the contract. To account for this multivariate feature, we propose a new individual claims reserving model built around the activation of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-16 Marie Michaelides , Mathieu Pigeon , Hélène Cossette

Accuracy and interpretability of a (non-life) insurance pricing model are essential qualities to ensure fair and transparent premiums for policy-holders, that reflect their risk. In recent years, the classification and regression trees…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Yaojun Zhang , Lanpeng Ji , Georgios Aivaliotis , Charles Taylor

The collective risk model differentiates usually between claims frequencies (and their distribution) and claim sizes (and their distribution). For the claims frequencies typically classical discrete distributions are considered, such as…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Dietmar Pfeifer

Count data with excessive zeros are often encountered when modelling infectious disease occurrence. The degree of zero inflation can vary over time due to non-epidemic periods as well as by age group or region. The existing endemic-epidemic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Junyi Lu , Sebastian Meyer

In epidemiological studies, zero-inflated and hurdle models are commonly used to handle excess zeros in reported infectious disease cases. However, they can not model the persistence (changing from presence to presence) and reemergence…

Applications · Statistics 2025-06-12 Mingchi Xu , Dirk Douwes-Schultz , Alexandra M. Schmidt

We propose a dependence-aware predictive modeling framework for multivariate risks stemmed from an insurance contract with bundling features - an important type of policy increasingly offered by major insurance companies. The bundling…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-17 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

We propose one way to regularize the fluctuations generated during inflation, whose infrared (IR) corrections diverge logarithmically. In the case of a single field inflation model, recently, we proposed one solution to the IR divergence…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2010-02-02 Yuko Urakawa , Takahiro Tanaka

Autocalibration is known to be an important requirement for insurance premiums since it guarantees that premium income balances corresponding claims, on average, not only at portfolio level but also inside each group paying similar…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-18 Michel Denuit , Marie Michaelides , Julien Trufin

We propose a new framework for the modelling of count data exhibiting zero inflation (ZI). The main part of this framework includes a new and more general parameterisation for ZI models which naturally includes both over- and…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-03 John Haslett , Andrew Parnell , James Sweeney

Ecological studies involving counts of abundance, presence-absence or occupancy rates often produce data having a substantial proportion of zeros. Furthermore, these types of processes are typically multivariate and only adequately…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-17 Ali Arab , Scott H. Holan , Christopher K. Wikle , Mark L. Wildhaber

The claim experience of the past is a very important information to calculate the fair price of an insurance contract. In a lot of European countries for instance the prices for motor car insurance depend on the number of claims the driver…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-22 Magda Schiegl

The insurance industry, with its large datasets, is a natural place to use big data solutions. However it must be stressed, that significant number of applications for machine learning in insurance industry, like fraud detection or claim…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Sebastian Baran , Przemysław Rola

This paper addresses the identification of insurance models with multidimensional screening where insurees have private information about their risk and risk aversion. The model includes a random damage and the possibility of several…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-18 Gaurab Aryal , Isabelle Perrigne , Quang Vuong

This research deals with the estimation and imputation of missing data in longitudinal models with a Poisson response variable inflated with zeros. A methodology is proposed that is based on the use of maximum likelihood, assuming that data…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 D. S. Martinez-Lobo , O. O. Melo , N. A. Cruz

In many cases, a machine learning model must learn to correctly predict a few data points with particular values of interest in a broader range of data where many target values are zero. Zero-inflated data can be found in diverse scenarios,…