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Predictions and forecasts of machine learning models should take the form of probability distributions, aiming to increase the quantity of information communicated to end users. Although applications of probabilistic prediction and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-19 Hristos Tyralis , Georgia Papacharalampous

Supply chain network is critical to serving customers, so the most common practices are to determine the number, location, and capacity of facilities. But at the same time, uncertainties and risks must be taken into account in order to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-01-19 Khadija Ait Mamoun , Lamia Hammadi , Abdessamad El Ballouti , Eduardo Souza De Cursi

Signal integrity analysis often involves the development of design guidelines through manual manipulation of circuit parameters and judicious interpretation of results. Such an approach can result in significant effort and sub-optimal…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-25 Pat J. Zabinski , Ben R. Buhrow , Barry K. Gilbert , Erik S. Daniel

This paper argues the need for research to realize uncertainty-aware artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI\&ML) systems for decision support by describing a number of motivating scenarios. Furthermore, the paper defines…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-09-24 Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Murat Sensoy , Alun Preece , Paul Sullivan

In environments with increasing uncertainty, such as smart grid applications based on renewable energy, planning can benefit from incorporating forecasts about the uncertainty and from systematically evaluating the utility of the forecast…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-16 Konstantinos Gatsis , Ufuk Topcu , George J. Pappas

The ultimate goal of all optimization methods is to solve real-world problems. For a successful project execution, knowledge about optimization and the application has to be pooled. As it is too inefficient to highly train one person in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-19 Simon Wessing

Our goal is to build robust optimization problems for making decisions based on complex data from the past. In robust optimization (RO) generally, the goal is to create a policy for decision-making that is robust to our uncertainty about…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-07-07 Theja Tulabandhula , Cynthia Rudin

In robust optimization one seeks to make a decision under uncertainty, where the goal is to find the solution with the best worst-case performance. The set of possible realizations of the uncertain data is described by a so-called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-25 Immanuel Bomze , Markus Gabl

This paper is concerned with a simulation study for a stochastic production network model, where the capacities of machines may change randomly. We introduce performance measures motivated by risk measures from finance leading to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

AI has been dealing with uncertainty to have highly accurate results. This becomes even worse with reasonably small data sets or a variation in the data sets. This has far-reaching effects on decision-making, forecasting and learning…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Keivan Shariatmadar

Robust optimization has been established as a leading methodology to approach decision problems under uncertainty. To derive a robust optimization model, a central ingredient is to identify a suitable model for uncertainty, which is called…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-10 Marc Goerigk , Jannis Kurtz

In the past decades, most work in the area of data analysis and machine learning was focused on optimizing predictive models and getting better results than what was possible with existing models. To what extent the metrics with which such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-06 Nicolas Dewolf

Robust optimization(RO) is an important tool for handling optimization problem with uncertainty. The main objective of RO is to solve optimization problems due to uncertainty associated with constraints satisfying all realizations of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-02 Parthasarathi Mondal , Akshay Kumar Ojha

Improving algorithms via predictions is a very active research topic in recent years. This paper initiates the systematic study of mechanism design in this model. In a number of well-studied mechanism design settings, we make use of…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Chenyang Xu , Pinyan Lu

A common problem in the optimization of structures is the handling of uncertainties in the parameters. If the parameters appear in the constraints, the uncertainties can lead to an infinite number of constraints. Usually the constraints…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-05-01 Daniel P. Mohr , Ina Stein , Thomas Matzies , Christina A. Knapek

Robust optimization is a young and emerging field of research having received a considerable increase of interest over the last decade. In this paper, we argue that the the algorithm engineering methodology fits very well to the field of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-12 Marc Goerigk , Anita Schöbel

Forecasting and optimisation are two major fields of operations research that are widely used in practice. These methods have contributed to each other growth in several ways. However, the nature of the relationship between these two fields…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Mahdi Abolghasemi

Bayesian optimization is a coherent, ubiquitous approach to decision-making under uncertainty, with applications including multi-arm bandits, active learning, and black-box optimization. Bayesian optimization selects decisions (i.e.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-13 Samuel Stanton , Wesley Maddox , Andrew Gordon Wilson

Engineering design involves demanding models encompassing many decision variables and uncontrollable parameters. In addition, unavoidable aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties can be very impactful and add further complexity. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-27 Enrico Ampellio , Blazhe Gjorgiev , Giovanni Sansavini

One of the primary drivers for self-adaptation is ensuring that systems achieve their goals regardless of the uncertainties they face during operation. Nevertheless, the concept of uncertainty in self-adaptive systems is still…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-03-05 Sara M. Hezavehi , Danny Weyns , Paris Avgeriou , Radu Calinescu , Raffaela Mirandola , Diego Perez-Palacin