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Related papers: Risk-Adaptive Approaches to Stochastic Optimizatio…

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We introduce a framework for quantifying propagation of uncertainty arising in a dynamic setting. Specifically, we define dynamic uncertainty sets designed explicitly for discrete stochastic processes over a finite time horizon. These…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-05 Marlon Moresco , Mélina Mailhot , Silvana M. Pesenti

It is becoming increasingly apparent that probabilistic approaches can overcome conservatism and computational complexity of the classical worst-case deterministic framework and may lead to designs that are actually safer. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2008-11-01 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

We expose a theoretical hedging optimization framework with variational preferences under convex risk measures. We explore a general dual representation for the composition between risk measures and utilities. We study the properties of the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-11 Marcelo Righi

Optimization of distortion riskmetrics with distributional uncertainty has wide applications in finance and operations research. Distortion riskmetrics include many commonly applied risk measures and deviation measures, which are not…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-25 Silvana Pesenti , Qiuqi Wang , Ruodu Wang

This paper addresses risk awareness of stochastic optimization problems. Nested risk measures appear naturally in this context, as they allow beneficial reformulations for algorithmic treatments. The reformulations presented extend usual…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-02-14 Alois Pichler , Ruben Schlotter

We propose a novel class of convex risk measures, based on the concept of the Fr\'echet mean, designed in order to handle uncertainty which arises from multiple information sources regarding the risk factors of interest. The proposed risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-13 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Athanasios N. Yannacopoulos

We present a framework for constructing multivariate risk measures that is inspired from univariate Optimized Certainty Equivalent (OCE) risk measures. We show that this new class of risk measures verifies the desirable properties such as…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-07 Sarah Kaakai , Anis Matoussi , Achraf Tamtalini

We propose a risk measurement approach for a risk-averse stochastic problem. We provide results that guarantee that our problem has a solution. We characterize and explore the properties of the argmin as a risk measure and the minimum as a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Marcelo Brutti Righi , Fernanda Maria Müller , Marlon Ruoso Moresco

We study dynamic risk measures in a very general framework enabling to model uncertainty and processes with jumps. We previously showed the existence of a canonical equivalence class of probability measures hidden behind a given set of…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-12-30 Jocelyne Bion-Nadal , Magali Kervarec

This paper deals with shape optimization for elastic materials under stochastic loads. It transfers the paradigm of stochastic dominance, which allows for flexible risk aversion via comparison with benchmark random variables, from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Sergio Conti , Martin Rumpf , Rüdiger Schultz , Sascha Tölkes

We study strategic interaction in data-driven games where players face uncertainty about payoff distributions inferred from finite samples. To model calibrated attitudes toward such uncertainty, we formulate distributionally robust games…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Bharat Gangwani , Arunesh Sinha

Higher order risk measures are stochastic optimization problems by design, and for this reason they enjoy valuable properties in optimization under uncertainties. They nicely integrate with stochastic optimization problems, as has been…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-26 Alois Pichler

Our focus is on robust recovery algorithms in statistical linear inverse problem. We consider two recovery routines - the much studied linear estimate originating from Kuks and Olman [42] and polyhedral estimate introduced in [37]. It was…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-14 Yannis Bekri , Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

This paper proposes an algorithm to calculate the maximal probability of unsafety with respect to trajectories of a stochastic process and a hazard set. The unsafe probability estimation problem is cast as a primal-dual pair of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Jared Miller , Matteo Tacchi , Didier Henrion , Mario Sznaier

This paper addresses the issues of conservativeness and computational complexity of probabilistic robustness analysis. We solve both issues by defining a new sampling strategy and robustness measure. The new measure is shown to be much less…

Applications · Statistics 2008-05-12 Xinjia Chen , Kemin Zhou , Jorge L. Aravena

Mathematical models simulate various events under different conditions, enabling an early overview of the system to be implemented in practice, reducing the waste of resources and in less time. In project optimization, these models play a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-11 Gustavo Barbosa Libotte , Fran Sérgio Lobato , Francisco Duarte Moura Neto , Gustavo Mendes Platt

Risk management is particularly concerned with extreme events, but analysing these events is often hindered by the scarcity of data, especially in a multivariate context. This data scarcity complicates risk management efforts. Various tools…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-15 Nisrine Madhar , Juliette Legrand , Maud Thomas

Applying robust optimization often requires selecting an appropriate uncertainty set both in shape and size, a choice that directly affects the trade-off between average-case and worst-case performances. In practice, this calibration is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-28 Hao Hao , Peter Zhang

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

Stochastic dominance serves as a general framework for modeling a broad spectrum of decision preferences under uncertainty, with risk aversion as one notable example, as it naturally captures the intrinsic structure of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Shicong Cen , Jincheng Mei , Hanjun Dai , Dale Schuurmans , Yuejie Chi , Bo Dai