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Translating the relevance of preclinical models ($\textit{in vitro}$, animal models, or organoids) to their relevance in humans presents an important challenge during drug development. The rising abundance of single-cell genomic data from…

There is wide interest in studying how the distribution of a continuous response changes with a predictor. We are motivated by environmental applications in which the predictor is the dose of an exposure and the response is a health…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 Antonio Canale , Daniele Durante , David Dunson

Gene-gene interactions are often regarded as playing significant roles in influencing variabilities of complex traits. Although much research has been devoted to this area, to date a comprehensive statistical model that addresses the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-18 Durba Bhattacharya , Sourabh Bhattacharya

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

High-throughput genetic and epigenetic data are often screened for associations with an observed phenotype. For example, one may wish to test hundreds of thousands of genetic variants, or DNA methylation sites, for an association with…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-20 Eric F. Lock , David B. Dunson

This paper considers the problem of Bayesian optimization for systems with safety-critical constraints, where both the objective function and the constraints are unknown, but can be observed by querying the system. In safety-critical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-06 Dinesh Krishnamoorthy , Francis J. Doyle

The effects of treatments may differ between persons with different characteristics. Addressing such treatment heterogeneity is crucial to investigate whether patients with specific characteristics are likely to benefit from a new…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-29 Xynthia Kavelaars , Joris Mulder , Maurits Kaptein

Tuning control policies manually to meet high-level objectives is often time-consuming. Bayesian optimization provides a data-efficient framework for automating this process using numerical evaluations of an objective function. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Lukas Theiner , Maik Pfefferkorn , Yongpeng Zhao , Sebastian Hirt , Rolf Findeisen

Various AI models are increasingly being considered as part of clinical decision-support tools. However, the trustworthiness of such models is rarely considered. Clinicians are more likely to use a model if they can understand and trust its…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Evangelia Kyrimi , Somayyeh Mossadegh , Nigel Tai , William Marsh

Dose-response models express the effect of different dose or exposure levels on a specific outcome. In meta-analysis, where aggregated-level data is available, dose-response evidence is synthesized using either one-stage or two-stage models…

We propose a Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) approach to causal inference using observational data consisting of outcome, treatment, and a set of confounders. The conditional distribution of the outcome given treatment and confounders is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Yongseok Hur , Joonhyuk Jung , Juhee Lee

Genetic risk prediction is an important component of individualized medicine, but prediction accuracies remain low for many complex diseases. A fundamental limitation is the sample sizes of the studies on which the prediction algorithms are…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-20 Sihai Dave Zhao

Understanding and interpreting how machine learning (ML) models make decisions have been a big challenge. While recent research has proposed various technical approaches to provide some clues as to how an ML model makes individual…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-09 Wenbo Guo , Sui Huang , Yunzhe Tao , Xinyu Xing , Lin Lin

The problem of optimal dosage estimation arises in diverse scientific domains, from pharmacology and toxicology to aquaculture and environmental studies. Statistical modeling of nonlinear dose-response relationships is essential to quantify…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Aliaksandr Hubin , Åshild Krogdahl , Guro Løkka , Trond M. Kortner

We consider Bayesian optimization of an expensive-to-evaluate black-box objective function, where we also have access to cheaper approximations of the objective. In general, such approximations arise in applications such as reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Matthias Poloczek , Jialei Wang , Peter I. Frazier

Phase I clinical trials are designed to test the safety (non-toxicity) of drugs and find the maximum tolerated dose (MTD). This task becomes significantly more challenging when multiple-drug dose-combinations (DC) are involved, due to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-27 Hyun-Suk Lee , Cong Shen , William Zame , Jang-Won Lee , Mihaela van der Schaar

Adaptive enrichment trials aim to identify and recruit participants most likely to benefit from treatment based on evolving biomarker evidence, with the goal of informing individualized treatment recommendations. Bayesian methods are well…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-11 Lara Maleyeff , Shirin Golchi , Erica E. M. Moodie

We present a Bayesian methodology for infinite as well as finite dimensional parameter identification for partial differential equation models. The Bayesian framework provides a rigorous mathematical framework for incorporating prior…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-17 Eduard Campillo-Funollet , Chandrasekhar Venkataraman , Anotida Madzvamuse

In model-based clustering, the Galaxy data set is often used as a benchmark data set to study the performance of different modeling approaches. Aitkin (2001) compares maximum likelihood and Bayesian analyses of the Galaxy data set and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-08-17 Bettina Grün , Gertraud Malsiner-Walli , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter

Bayesian predictive probabilities are commonly used for interim monitoring of clinical trials through efficacy and futility stopping rules. Despite their usefulness, calculation of predictive probabilities, particularly in pre-experiment…

Applications · Statistics 2024-06-18 Joe Marion , Liz Lorenzi , Cora Allen-Savietta , Scott Berry , Kert Viele