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A Bayesian view of data interpretation suggests that a visualization user should update their existing beliefs about a parameter's value in accordance with the amount of information about the parameter value captured by the new…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Yea-Seul Kim , Paula Kayongo , Madeleine Grunde-McLaughlin , Jessica Hullman

Molecular dynamics is a valuable tool to probe biological processes at the atomistic level - a resolution often elusive to experiments. However, the credibility of molecular models is limited by the accuracy of the underlying force field,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-11-10 Vojtech Kostal , Brennon L. Shanks , Pavel Jungwirth , Hector Martinez-Seara

Background: Many mathematical models have now been employed across every area of systems biology. These models increasingly involve large numbers of unknown parameters, have complex structure which can result in substantial evaluation time…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2018-01-15 Ian Vernon , Junli Liu , Michael Goldstein , James Rowe , Jen Topping , Keith Lindsey

We introduce a general framework that extends Bayesian inference by allowing the researcher to explicitly encode confidence in each source of uncertainty within the model. This mechanism provides a new handle for model design and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-06 Rafael Mouallem Rosa , Julyan Arbel , Hien Duy Nguyen

Integrating data from multiple heterogeneous sources has become increasingly popular to achieve a large sample size and diverse study population. This paper reviews development in causal inference methods that combines multiple datasets…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Xu Shi , Ziyang Pan , Wang Miao

Investigators often use multi-source data (e.g., multi-center trials, meta-analyses of randomized trials, pooled analyses of observational cohorts) to learn about the effects of interventions in subgroups of some well-defined target…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-06 Guanbo Wang , Alexander Levis , Jon Steingrimsson , Issa Dahabreh

Integrative modeling of macromolecular assemblies allows for structural characterization of large assemblies that are recalcitrant to direct experimental observation. A Bayesian inference approach facilitates combining data from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-13 Shreyas Arvindekar , Kartik Majila , Shruthi Viswanath

We propose a Bayesian approach for both medical inquiry and disease inference, the two major phases in differential diagnosis. Unlike previous work that simulates data from given probabilities and uses ML algorithms on them, we directly use…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Hong Guan , Chitta Baral

Implementing Bayesian inference is often computationally challenging in applications involving complex models, and sometimes calculating the likelihood itself is difficult. Synthetic likelihood is one approach for carrying out inference…

Computation · Statistics 2021-03-15 David T. Frazier , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi , Robert Kohn

The transmission dynamics of an epidemic are rarely homogeneous. Super-spreading events and super-spreading individuals are two types of heterogeneous transmissibility. Inference of super-spreading is commonly carried out on secondary case…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-23 Hannah Craddock , Simon EF Spencer , Xavier Didelot

Replication studies are essential for assessing the credibility of claims from original studies. A critical aspect of designing replication studies is determining their sample size; a too small sample size may lead to inconclusive studies…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-14 Samuel Pawel , Guido Consonni , Leonhard Held

Bayesian optimization is a popular tool for data-efficient optimization of expensive objective functions. In real-life applications like engineering design, the designer often wants to take multiple objectives as well as input uncertainty…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-28 J. Qing , I. Couckuyt , T. Dhaene

An essential component of therapeutic drug/biomarker monitoring (TDM) is to combine patient data with prior knowledge for model-based predictions of therapy outcomes. Current Bayesian forecasting tools typically rely only on the most…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-09-23 Corinna Maier , Niklas Hartung , Jana de Wiljes , Charlotte Kloft , Wilhelm Huisinga

The counterfactual distribution models the effect of the treatment in the untreated group. While most of the work focuses on the expected values of the treatment effect, one may be interested in the whole counterfactual distribution or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-04 Diego Martinez-Taboada , Dino Sejdinovic

Machine learning strategies like multi-task learning, meta-learning, and transfer learning enable efficient adaptation of machine learning models to specific applications in healthcare, such as prediction of various diseases, by leveraging…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-31 Sophie Wharrie , Lisa Eick , Lotta Mäkinen , Andrea Ganna , Samuel Kaski , FinnGen

The recently developed semi-parametric generalized linear model (SPGLM) offers more flexibility as compared to the classical GLM by including the baseline or reference distribution of the response as an additional parameter in the model.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-09 Entejar Alam , Peter Müller , Paul J. Rathouz

Biopharmaceutical manufacturing is a rapidly growing industry with impact in virtually all branches of medicines. Biomanufacturing processes require close monitoring and control, in the presence of complex bioprocess dynamics with many…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Hua Zheng , Wei Xie , Ilya O. Ryzhov , Dongming Xie

Combination of several anti-cancer treatments has typically been presumed to have enhanced drug activity. Motivated by a real clinical trial, this paper considers phase I-II dose finding designs for dual-agent combinations, where one main…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-09 José L. Jiménez , Haiyan Zheng

Dynamic prediction of causal effects under different treatment regimes conditional on an individual's characteristics and longitudinal history is an essential problem in precision medicine. This is challenging in practice because outcomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-07 Yizhen Xu , Jisoo Kim , Laura K. Hummers , Ami A. Shah , Scott Zeger

Human exposure to chemicals commonly arises from multiple sources, yet traditional assessments often treat these sources in isolation, overlooking their combined impact. We introduce a Bayesian framework for aggregated chemical exposure…