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Miscalibration - a mismatch between a model's confidence and its correctness - of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) makes their predictions hard to rely on. Ideally, we want networks to be accurate, calibrated and confident. We show that, as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Jishnu Mukhoti , Viveka Kulharia , Amartya Sanyal , Stuart Golodetz , Philip H. S. Torr , Puneet K. Dokania

Undoubtedly, several countries worldwide endure to experience a continuous increase in life expectancy, extending the challenges of life actuaries and demographers in forecasting mortality. Although several stochastic mortality models have…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mario Marino , Susanna Levantesi , Andrea Nigri

In this paper, we present the Difference- Based Causality Learner (DBCL), an algorithm for learning a class of discrete-time dynamic models that represents all causation across time by means of difference equations driving change in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Mark Voortman , Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

Detecting the emergence of abrupt property changes in time series is a challenging problem. Kernel two-sample test has been studied for this task which makes fewer assumptions on the distributions than traditional parametric approaches.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-21 Wei-Cheng Chang , Chun-Liang Li , Yiming Yang , Barnabás Póczos

Deterministic neural nets have been shown to learn effective predictors on a wide range of machine learning problems. However, as the standard approach is to train the network to minimize a prediction loss, the resultant model remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Melih Kandemir

Increasingly sophisticated mathematical modelling processes from Machine Learning are being used to analyse complex data. However, the performance and explainability of these models within practical critical systems requires a rigorous and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Xingyu Zhao , Alec Banks , James Sharp , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Michael Fisher , Xiaowei Huang

Although Gaussian processes (GPs) with deep kernels have been successfully used for meta-learning in regression tasks, its uncertainty estimation performance can be poor. We propose a meta-learning method for calibrating deep kernel GPs for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-14 Tomoharu Iwata , Atsutoshi Kumagai

Decision-focused learning (DFL) integrates predictive models with downstream optimization, directly training machine learning models to minimize decision errors. While DFL has been shown to provide substantial advantages when compared to a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Prince Zizhuang Wang , Shuyi Chen , Jinhao Liang , Ferdinando Fioretto , Shixiang Zhu

Effectively stratifying patient risk in chronic diseases like glaucoma is a major clinical challenge. Clinicians need tools to identify patients at high risk of progression from sparse and irregularly-sampled electronic health records…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Bruce Rushing , Angela Danquah , Alireza Namazi , Arjun Dirghangi , Heman Shakeri

Kernel-based subspace clustering, which addresses the nonlinear structures in data, is an evolving area of research. Despite noteworthy progressions, prevailing methodologies predominantly grapple with limitations relating to (i) the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Kunpeng Xu , Lifei Chen , Shengrui Wang

Deep neural networks are powerful tools to detect hidden patterns in data and leverage them to make predictions, but they are not designed to understand uncertainty and estimate reliable probabilities. In particular, they tend to be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-10 Bat-Sheva Einbinder , Yaniv Romano , Matteo Sesia , Yanfei Zhou

The need for scalable and expressive models in machine learning is paramount, particularly in applications requiring both structural depth and flexibility. Traditional deep learning methods, such as multilayer perceptrons (MLP), offer depth…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-01 Shrenik Zinage , Sudeepta Mondal , Soumalya Sarkar

Complex deep learning models show high prediction tasks in various clinical prediction tasks but their inherent complexity makes it more challenging to explain model predictions for clinicians and healthcare providers. Existing research on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Sayantan Kumar , Sean C. Yu , Thomas Kannampallil , Zachary Abrams , Andrew Michelson , Philip R. O. Payne

The use of machine learning methods helps to improve decision making in different fields. In particular, the idea of bridging predictions (machine learning models) and prescriptions (optimization problems) is gaining attention within the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-22 Antonio Alcántara , Carlos Ruiz

Clinical abnormality grounding for rare diseases is often hindered by data scarcity, making supervised fine-tuning impractical and single-pass inference highly unstable. We propose Dynamic Decision Learning (DDL), a framework that enables…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Jun Li , Mingxuan Liu , Jiazhen Pan , Che Liu , Wenjia Bai , Cosmin I. Bercea , Julia A. Schnabel

Contrastive learning is an efficient approach to self-supervised representation learning. Although recent studies have made progress in the theoretical understanding of contrastive learning, the investigation of how to characterize the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Hiroki Waida , Yuichiro Wada , Léo Andéol , Takumi Nakagawa , Yuhui Zhang , Takafumi Kanamori

Generalization performance of classifiers in deep learning has recently become a subject of intense study. Deep models, typically over-parametrized, tend to fit the training data exactly. Despite this "overfitting", they perform well on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-18 Mikhail Belkin , Siyuan Ma , Soumik Mandal

Neural networks in safety-critical applications face increasing safety and security concerns due to their susceptibility to little disturbance. In this paper, we propose DeepCDCL, a novel neural network verification framework based on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Zongxin Liu , Pengfei Yang , Lijun Zhang , Xiaowei Huang

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki