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A conventional wisdom in statistical learning is that large models require strong regularization to prevent overfitting. Here we show that this rule can be violated by linear regression in the underdetermined $n\ll p$ situation under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-06 Dmitry Kobak , Jonathan Lomond , Benoit Sanchez

Modern data analysis depends increasingly on estimating models via flexible high-dimensional or nonparametric machine learning methods, where the identification of structural parameters is often challenging and untestable. In linear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Andrii Babii , Jean-Pierre Florens

We argue that in fully-connected networks a phase transition delimits the over- and under-parametrized regimes where fitting can or cannot be achieved. Under some general conditions, we show that this transition is sharp for the hinge loss.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-08 Stefano Spigler , Mario Geiger , Stéphane d'Ascoli , Levent Sagun , Giulio Biroli , Matthieu Wyart

Deep neural networks are widely used prediction algorithms whose performance often improves as the number of weights increases, leading to over-parametrization. We consider a two-layered neural network whose first layer is frozen while the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-10 Roman Worschech , Bernd Rosenow

Uncertainty quantification is a central challenge in reliable and trustworthy machine learning. Naive measures such as last-layer scores are well-known to yield overconfident estimates in the context of overparametrized neural networks.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-24 Lucas Clarté , Bruno Loureiro , Florent Krzakala , Lenka Zdeborová

This paper characterizes the conditional distribution properties of the finite sample ridge regression estimator and uses that result to evaluate total regression and generalization errors that incorporate the inaccuracies committed at the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-31 Lyudmila Grigoryeva , Juan-Pablo Ortega

Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-03 Alberto Abadie , Maximilian Kasy

Ensemble methods that average over a collection of independent predictors that are each limited to a subsampling of both the examples and features of the training data command a significant presence in machine learning, such as the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-26 Daniel LeJeune , Hamid Javadi , Richard G. Baraniuk

This paper aims at analyzing the regularization effect that data augmentation induces on supervised regression methods in the proportional regime, where the number of covariates grows proportionally to the number of samples. We provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Lucas Morisset , Alain Durmus , Adrien Hardy

We study the implicit regularization effects induced by (observation) weighting of pretrained features. For weight and feature matrices of bounded operator norms that are infinitesimally free with respect to (normalized) trace functionals,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-29 Jin-Hong Du , Pratik Patil

The empirical success of machine learning models with many more parameters than measurements has generated an interest in the theory of overparameterisation, i.e., underdetermined models. This paradigm has recently been studied in domains…

The widely observed 'benign overfitting phenomenon' in the neural network literature raises the challenge to the 'bias-variance trade-off' doctrine in the statistical learning theory. Since the generalization ability of the 'lazy trained'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yicheng Li , Haobo Zhang , Qian Lin

In this paper, we leverage over-parameterization to design regularization-free algorithms for the high-dimensional single index model and provide theoretical guarantees for the induced implicit regularization phenomenon. Specifically, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-18 Jianqing Fan , Zhuoran Yang , Mengxin Yu

Classic ensembles generalize better than any single component model. In contrast, recent empirical studies find that modern ensembles of (overparameterized) neural networks may not provide any inherent generalization advantage over single…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-10 Niclas Dern , John P. Cunningham , Geoff Pleiss

Overparametrization often helps improve the generalization performance. This paper presents a dual view of overparametrization suggesting that downsampling may also help generalize. Focusing on the proportional regime $m\asymp n \asymp p$,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Xin Chen , Yicheng Zeng , Siyue Yang , Qiang Sun

Generalization is a central problem in Machine Learning. Indeed most prediction methods require careful calibration of hyperparameters usually carried out on a hold-out \textit{validation} dataset to achieve generalization. The main goal of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-18 Karim Lounici , Katia Meziani , Benjamin Riu

We consider the linear model $\mathbf{y} = \mathbf{X} \mathbf{\beta}_\star + \mathbf{\epsilon}$ with $\mathbf{X}\in \mathbb{R}^{n\times p}$ in the overparameterized regime $p>n$. We estimate $\mathbf{\beta}_\star$ via generalized (weighted)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-04 Denny Wu , Ji Xu

Model collapse occurs when generative models degrade after repeatedly training on their own synthetic outputs. We study this effect in overparameterized linear regression in a setting where each iteration mixes fresh real labels with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Anvit Garg , Sohom Bhattacharya , Pragya Sur

We propose semi-random features for nonlinear function approximation. The flexibility of semi-random feature lies between the fully adjustable units in deep learning and the random features used in kernel methods. For one hidden layer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Kenji Kawaguchi , Bo Xie , Vikas Verma , Le Song

Many statistical estimators for high-dimensional linear regression are M-estimators, formed through minimizing a data-dependent square loss function plus a regularizer. This work considers a new class of estimators implicitly defined…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-02-15 Peng Zhao , Yun Yang , Qiao-Chu He