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We explore the class of exchangeable Bernoulli distributions building on their geometrical structure. Exchangeable Bernoulli probability mass functions are points in a convex polytope and we have found analytical expressions for their…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

This paper provides a statistical method to test whether a system that performs a binary sequential hypothesis test is optimal in the sense of minimizing the average decision times while taking decisions with given reliabilities. The…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2018-01-08 Meik Dörpinghaus , Izaak Neri , Édgar Roldán , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

Effects of immune delay on symmetric dynamics are investigated within a model of antigenic variation in malaria. Using isotypic decomposition of the phase space, stability problem is reduced to the analysis of a cubic transcendental…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2012-09-21 K. B. Blyuss , Y. N. Kyrychko

This paper provides conditions under which subsampling and the bootstrap can be used to construct estimators of the quantiles of the distribution of a root that behave well uniformly over a large class of distributions $\mathbf{P}$. These…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-19 Joseph P. Romano , Azeem M. Shaikh

Time-of-flight measurements such as the OPERA and MINOS experiments rely crucially on statistical analysis (as well as many other ingredients) for their conclusions. The nature of these experiments leads to a simple class of statistical…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-11-02 Oliver Riordan , Alex Selby

This paper analyzes effects of time-dependence in the Bell inequality. A generalized inequality is derived for the case when coincidence and non-coincidence [and hence whether or not a pair contributes to the actual data] is controlled by…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-16 Jan-Åke Larsson , Richard Gill

Recently Khmaladze has shown how to `rotate' one empirical process to another. This paper is the first to apply this transform when successive data points are generated by a single distributional family, but with covariates varying over the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-15 Leigh A Roberts

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Derivation and experimental violation of Bell-like inequalities involve the measurement of in-compatible observables. Simple complementarity forbids the existence of such joint probabilitydistribution. Moreover, the measurement of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-06-18 Elisa Masa , Laura Ares , Alfredo Luis

Inequality in human success may emerge through endogenous success-breeds-success dynamics but may also originate in pre-existing differences in talent. It is widely recognized that the skew in static frequency distributions of success…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-06 Alexandros Gelastopoulos , Lucas Sage , Arnout van de Rijt

A convenient framework for dealing with asymptotic limit problems of probabilistic nature is provided. These problems include questions such as finding the asymptotic proportion of terms of a sequence falling inside a given interval, or the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Michaël Bensimhoun

We develop large sample theory for merged data from multiple sources. Main statistical issues treated in this paper are (1) the same unit potentially appears in multiple datasets from overlapping data sources, (2) duplicated items are not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Takumi Saegusa

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

A probability distribution over the Boolean cube is monotone if flipping the value of a coordinate from zero to one can only increase the probability of an element. Given samples of an unknown monotone distribution over the Boolean cube, we…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-02-11 Ronitt Rubinfeld , Arsen Vasilyan

Let $X$, $B$ and $Y$ be three Dirichlet, Bernoulli and beta independent random variables such that $X\sim \mathcal{D}(a_0,...,a_d),$ such that $\Pr(B=(0,...,0,1,0,...,0))=a_i/a$ with $a=\sum_{i=0}^da_i$ and such that $Y\sim \beta(1,a).$ We…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-12 Pawel Hitczenko , Gerard Letac

This note reports on some attempts to examine if and under which conditions the naturally scaled probability measures associated to an orthonormal basis of a classical Paley-Wiener space converge to a uniform distribution (on a compact set…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2014-06-27 Kurt Pagani

In this article we study the problem of quantifying the uncertainty in an experiment with a technical system. We propose new density estimates which combine observed data of the technical system and simulated data from an (imperfect)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-21 Sebastian Kersting , Michael Kohler

We first review existing sequential methods for estimating a binomial proportion. Afterward, we propose a new family of group sequential sampling schemes for estimating a binomial proportion with prescribed margin of error and confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Zhengjia Chen , Xinjia Chen

In this paper, we study the asymptotic behavior of the tail probability of the number of customers in the steady-state $M/G/1$ retrial queue with Bernoulli schedule, under the assumption that the service time distribution has a regularly…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-16 Bin Liu , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

Instrumental variable methods allow for inference about the treatment effect by controlling for unmeasured confounding in randomized experiments with noncompliance. However, many studies do not consider the observed compliance behavior in…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-15 Kwonsang Lee , Bhaswar B. Bhattacharya , Jing Qin , Dylan S. Small