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Missing data is an universal problem in statistics. We develop a unified framework for estimating parameters defined by general estimating equations under a missing-at-random (MAR) mechanism, based on generalized entropy calibration…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Mst Moushumi Pervin , Hengfang Wang , Jae Kwang Kim

We examine entropy production in reduced descriptions of collisionless plasmas. Introducing a closure dependent entropy hierarchy, we show that non-conservative moment closures generate a residual entropy associated with irreversible…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2026-02-03 Alexander G. Tevzadze

Observing how long a dynamical system takes to return to some state is one of the most simple ways to model and quantify its dynamics from data series. This work proposes two formulas to estimate the KS entropy and a lower bound of it, a…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-14 M. S. Baptista , E. J. Ngamga , Paulo R. F. Pinto , Margarida Brito , J. Kurths

We study the convergence to equilibrium of a class of nonlinear recombination models. In analogy with Boltzmann's H theorem from kinetic theory, and in contrast with previous analysis of these models, convergence is measured in terms of…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-24 Pietro Caputo , Alistair Sinclair

Many statistical estimators are defined as the fixed point of a data-dependent operator, with estimators based on minimizing a cost function being an important special case. The limiting performance of such estimators depends on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Nhat Ho , Koulik Khamaru , Raaz Dwivedi , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan , Bin Yu

The study considers advantages of the introduced measure of time based on the entropy change under irreversible processes (entropy production). Using the example of non-equilibrium expansion of an ideal gas in vacuum, such a measure is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-24 Leonid M. Martyushev , Evgenii V. Shaiapin

We introduce a new information-theoretic formulation of quantum measurement uncertainty relations, based on the notion of relative entropy between measurement probabilities. In the case of a finite-dimensional system and for any approximate…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2018-03-02 Alberto Barchielli , Matteo Gregoratti , Alessandro Toigo

A new method is proposed which allows a reconstruction of time series based on higher order multiscale statistics given by a hierarchical process. This method is able to model the time series not only on a specific scale but for a range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-13 A. P. Nawroth , J. Peinke

Time-reversal symmetry of microscopic laws dictates that the equilibrium distribution of a stochastic process must obey the detailed balance. On the other hand, cyclic Markov processes that do not admit equilibrium distributions with…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-03-21 Julian Lee

The evaluation of time series models has traditionally focused on four canonical tasks: forecasting, imputation, anomaly detection, and classification. While these tasks have driven significant progress, they primarily assess task-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Meng Wan , Benxi Tian , Jue Wang , Cui Hui , Ningming Nie , Tiantian Liu , Zongguo Wang , Cao Rongqiang , Peng Shi , Yangang Wang

In this paper, we present the asymptotic properties of the moment estimator for autoregressive (AR for short) models subject to Markovian changes in regime under the assumption that the errors are uncorrelated but not necessarily…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-06 Yacouba Boubacar Mainassara , Landy Rabehasaina , Armel Bra

Inferring models, predicting the future, and estimating the entropy rate of discrete-time, discrete-event processes is well-worn ground. However, a much broader class of discrete-event processes operates in continuous-time. Here, we provide…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-11 S. E. Marzen , J. P. Crutchfield

The emergence of a direction of time in statistical mechanics from an underlying time-reversal-invariant dynamics is explained by examining a simple model. The manner in which time-reversal symmetry is preserved and the role of initial…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Vinay Ambegaokar , Aashish Clerk

We discuss entropy production in nonequilibrium steady states by focusing on paths obtained by sampling at regular (small) intervals, instead of sampling on each change of the system's state. This allows us to study directly entropy…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2011-09-07 Daniel ben-Avraham , Sven Dorosz , Michel Pleimling

Several studies demonstrate that there are critical differences between real wireless networks and simulation models. This finding has permitted to extract spatial and temporal properties for links and to provide efficient methods as biased…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2012-07-12 Mohamed-Haykel Zayani , Vincent Gauthier , Djamal Zeghlache

Observational entropy is interpreted as the uncertainty an observer making measurements associates with a system. So far, properties that make such an interpretation possible rely on the assumption of ideal projective measurements. We show…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-12-11 Dominik Šafránek , Juzar Thingna

A time series represents a set of observations collected over time. Typically, these observations are captured with a uniform sampling frequency (e.g. daily). When data points are observed in uneven time intervals the time series is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-03 Pedro Costa , Vitor Cerqueira , João Vinagre

Thermodynamic uncertainty relations reveal a fundamental trade-off between the precision of a trajectory observable and entropy production, where the uncertainty of the observable is quantified by its variance. In information theory,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-11-25 Yoshihiko Hasegawa , Tomohiro Nishiyama

The intuition that the precision of observables is constrained by thermodynamic costs has recently been formalized through thermodynamic and kinetic uncertainty relations. While such trade-offs have been extensively studied in Markovian…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-05-13 Tan Van Vu , Ryotaro Honma , Keiji Saito

In various disordered systems or non-equilibrium dynamical models, the large deviations of some observables have been found to display different scalings for rare values bigger or smaller than the typical value. In the present paper, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-12 Cecile Monthus