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In the context of control and estimation under information constraints, restoration entropy measures the minimal required data rate above which the state of a system can be estimated so that the estimation quality does not degrade over time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 C. Kawan , A. Matveev , A. Pogromsky

For a network of discrete states with a periodically driven Markovian dynamics, we develop an inference scheme for an external observer who has access to some transitions. Based on waiting-time distributions between these transitions, the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-12 Alexander M. Maier , Julius Degünther , Jann van der Meer , Udo Seifert

Motivated by entropic optimal transport, time reversal of diffusion processes is revisited. An integration by parts formula is derived for the carr\'e du champ of a Markov process in an abstract space. It leads to a time reversal formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-05 Patrick Cattiaux , Giovanni Conforti , Ivan Gentil , Christian Léonard

In this paper, we obtain generic bounds on the variances of estimation and prediction errors in time series analysis via an information-theoretic approach. It is seen in general that the error bounds are determined by the conditional…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-12 Song Fang , Mikael Skoglund , Karl Henrik Johansson , Hideaki Ishii , Quanyan Zhu

We present a new algorithm for the statistical model checking of Markov chains with respect to unbounded temporal properties, such as reachability and full linear temporal logic. The main idea is that we monitor each simulation run on the…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2016-03-04 Przemysław Daca , Thomas A. Henzinger , Jan Křetínský , Tatjana Petrov

We introduce an ambidextrous view of stochastic dynamical systems, comparing their forward-time and reverse-time representations and then integrating them into a single time-symmetric representation. The perspective is useful theoretically,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-13 Christopher J. Ellison , John R. Mahoney , James P. Crutchfield

Entropy production is arguably the most universally applicable measure of non-equilibrium behavior, particularly for systems coupled to a heat bath. This setting encompasses driven soft matter as well as biomolecular, biochemical, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-09 Udo Seifert

We discuss how maximum entropy methods may be applied to the reconstruction of Markov processes underlying empirical time series and compare this approach to usual frequency sampling. It is shown that, at least in low dimension, there…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-23 Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard , Anton Golub

This paper studies time-inhomogeneous nonequilibrium diffusion processes, including both Brownian dynamics and Langevin dynamics. We derive upper bounds of the relative entropy production of the time-inhomogeneous process with respect to…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-20 Wei Zhang

The growing study of time series, especially those related to nonlinear systems, has challenged the methodologies to characterize and classify dynamical structures of a signal. Here we conceive a new diagnostic tool for time series based on…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-05 G. Corso , T. L. Prado , G. Z. dos S. Lima , S. R. Lopes

Estimating entropy production in continuous systems that can only be observed with a limited resolution remains an open problem in stochastic thermodynamics. Extant estimators based on the measurement of waiting-time distributions require…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-03-06 Jonas H. Fritz , Udo Seifert

All of the basic microsopic physical laws are time reversible. In contrast, the second law of thermodynamics, which is a macroscopic physical representation of the world, is able to describe irreversible processes in an isolated system…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2015-06-19 Roland Riek

Typically, the entropy of an isolated system in equilibrium is calculated by counting the number of accessible microstates, or in more general cases by using the Gibbs formula. In irreversible processes entropy spontaneously increases and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-16 Taha A Malik , Rafael Lopez-Mobilia

Nowadays many tools, e.g. fluctuation relations, are available to characterize the statistical properties of non-equilibrium systems. However, most of these tools rely on the assumption that the driving noise is normally distributed. Here…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-29 Dario Lucente , Andrea Puglisi , Massimiliano Viale , Angelo Vulpiani

The total entropy production fluctuations are studied in some exactly solvable models. For these systems, the detailed fluctuation theorem holds even in the transient state, provided initially the system is prepared in thermal equilibrium.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-08-08 Arnab Saha , Sourabh Lahiri , A. M. Jayannavar

This paper presents a synthesis approach aiming to guarantee a minimum upper-bound for the time taken to reach a target set of non-zero measure that encompasses the origin, while taking into account uncertainties and input and state…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Víctor Costa da Silva Campos , Mariella Maia Quadros , Luciano Frezzato , Leonardo Mozelli , Anh-Tu Nguyen

We study the estimation of the value function for continuous-time Markov diffusion processes using a single, discretely observed ergodic trajectory. Our work provides non-asymptotic statistical guarantees for the least-squares…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-07 Wenlong Mou

In Monte-Carlo methods the Markov processes used to sample a given target distribution usually satisfy detailed balance, i.e. they are time-reversible. However, relatively recent results have demonstrated that appropriate reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Luc Rey-Bellet , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

The concept of entropy in nonequilibrium macroscopic systems is investigated in the light of an extended equation of motion for the density matrix obtained in a previous study. It is found that a time-dependent information entropy can be…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 W. T. Grandy
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