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Probabilistic forecasts are essential for various downstream applications such as business development, traffic planning, and electrical grid balancing. Many of these probabilistic forecasts are performed on time series data that contain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Benedikt Heidrich , Kaleb Phipps , Oliver Neumann , Marian Turowski , Ralf Mikut , Veit Hagenmeyer

Greater direct electrification of end-use sectors with a higher share of renewables is one of the pillars to power a carbon-neutral society by 2050. However, in contrast to conventional power plants, renewable energy is subject to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-22 Jonathan Dumas , Antoine Wehenkel Damien Lanaspeze , Bertrand Cornélusse , Antonio Sutera

Many scientific and engineering problems require accurate models of dynamical systems with rare and extreme events. Such problems present a challenging task for data-driven modelling, with many naive machine learning methods failing to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Samuel Rudy , Themistoklis Sapsis

Wind hazards such as tornadoes and straight-line winds frequently affect vulnerable communities in the Great Plains of the United States, where limited infrastructure and sparse data coverage hinder effective emergency response. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-21 Mahmuda Akhter Nishu , Chenyu Huang , Milad Roohi , Xin Zhong

We focus on wind power modeling using machine learning techniques. We show on real data provided by the wind energy company Ma{\"i}a Eolis, that parametric models, even following closely the physical equation relating wind production to…

Applications · Statistics 2019-04-22 Aurélie Fischer , Lucie Montuelle , Mathilde Mougeot , Dominique Picard

This paper improves wind power prediction via weather forecast-contextualized Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) models. Initially, only wind power data was fed to a generic LSTM, but this model performed poorly, with erratic and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Maximilian Du

Purpose: Trading on electricity markets occurs such that the price settlement takes place before delivery, often day-ahead. In practice, these prices are highly volatile as they largely depend upon a range of variables such as electricity…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Christof Naumzik , Stefan Feuerriegel

Accurate projections of wind energy potential under climate change are critical for effective long-term energy planning. While previous studies have highlighted the value of multi-model ensembles, they often fall short in capturing the full…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-06-02 Andrea Lira-Loarca , Francesco Ferrari , Andrea Mazzino

Load forecasts have become an integral part of energy security. Due to the various influencing factors that can be considered in such a forecast, there is also a wide range of models that attempt to integrate these parameters into a system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-19 Philipp Giese

Mitigating climate change demands a transition towards renewable electricity generation, with wind power being a particularly promising technology. Long periods either of high or of low wind therefore essentially define the necessary amount…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-07 Juliane Weber , Mark Reyers , Christian Beck , Marc Timme , Joaquim G. Pinto , Dirk Witthaut , Benjamin Schäfer

An effective way to oppose global warming and mitigate climate change is to electrify our energy sectors and supply their electric power from renewable wind and solar. Spatio-temporal predictions of electric load become increasingly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-23 Arsam Aryandoust , Anthony Patt , Stefan Pfenninger

Wind energy makes a significant contribution to global power generation. Predicting wind turbine capacity is becoming increasingly crucial for cleaner production. For this purpose, a new information priority accumulated grey model with time…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-22 Jie Xia , Xin Ma , Wenqing Wu , Baolian Huang , Wanpeng Li

Quantum Neural Networks (QNNs), a prominent approach in Quantum Machine Learning (QML), are emerging as a powerful alternative to classical machine learning methods. Recent studies have focused on the applicability of QNNs to various tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-01 Batuhan Hangun , Oguz Altun , Onder Eyecioglu

To quantify the uncertainty in numerical weather prediction (NWP) forecasts, ensemble prediction systems are utilized. Although NWP forecasts continuously improve, they suffer from systematic bias and dispersion errors. To obtain well…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-30 Ferdinand Buchner , David Jobst , Annette Möller , Claudia Czado

Machine learning methods are widely and successfully used for probabilistic wind power forecasting, yet the pervasive issue of missing values (e.g., due to sensor faults or communication outages) has received limited attention. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Honglin Wen , Pierre Pinson , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

This paper presents a method for probabilistic wind power forecasting that quantifies and integrates uncertainties from weather forecasts and weather-to-power conversion. By addressing both uncertainty sources, the method achieves…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Gabriel Dantas , Jethro Browell

With the growing number of wind farms over the last decades and the availability of large datasets, research in wind-farm flow modeling - one of the key components in optimizing the design and operation of wind farms - is shifting towards…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-04-06 Navid Zehtabiyan-Rezaie , Alexandros Iosifidis , Mahdi Abkar

Rinne et al. conduct an interesting analysis of the impact of wind turbine technology and land-use on wind power potentials, which allows profound insights into each factors contribution to overall potentials. The paper presents a detailed…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-30 Claude Klöckl , Katharina Gruber , Peter Regner , Sebastian Wehrle , Johannes Schmidt

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

The transition to sustainable energy is a key challenge of our time, requiring modifications in the entire pipeline of energy production, storage, transmission, and consumption. At every stage, new sequential decision-making challenges…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-29 Koen Ponse , Felix Kleuker , Márton Fejér , Álvaro Serra-Gómez , Aske Plaat , Thomas Moerland