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Time-parallel methods can reduce the wall clock time required for the accurate numerical solution of differential equations by parallelizing across the time-dimension. In this paper, we present and test the convergence behavior of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-03 Ignace Bossuyt , Giovanni Samaey , Stefan Vandewalle

To model subsurface flow in uncertain heterogeneous\ fractured media an elliptic equation with a discontinuous stochastic diffusion coefficient - also called random field - may be used. In case of a one-dimensional parameter space, L\'evy…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-08-26 Andrea Barth , Robin Merkle

This paper investigates the approximation of stochastic delay differential equations (SDDEs) via the backward Euler-Maruyama (BEM) method under generalized monotonicity and Khasminskii-type conditions in the infinite horizon. First, by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-20 Yudong Wang , Hongjiong Tian

We develop a data-driven methodology based on parametric It\^{o}'s Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) to capture the real asymmetric dynamics of forecast errors. Our SDE framework features time-derivative tracking of the forecast,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-11 Renzo Caballero , Ahmed Kebaier , Marco Scavino , Raúl Tempone

Stochastic simulation methods can be applied successfully to model exact spatio-temporally resolved reaction-diffusion systems. However, in many cases, these methods can quickly become extremely computationally intensive with increasing…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-29 Jonathan U. Harrison , Christian A. Yates

Statistical inference for discrete time observations of an affine stochastic delay differential equation is considered. The main focus is on maximum pseudo-likelihood estimators, which are easy to calculate in practice. A more general class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-21 Uwe Küchler , Michael Sørensen

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

This paper tackles the challenge of parameter calibration in stochastic models, particularly in scenarios where the likelihood function is unavailable in an analytical form. We introduce a gradient-based simulated parameter estimation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-25 Zehao Li , Yijie Peng

We present a Bayesian non-parametric way of inferring stochastic differential equations for both regression tasks and continuous-time dynamical modelling. The work has high emphasis on the stochastic part of the differential equation, also…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-29 Martin Jørgensen , Marc Peter Deisenroth , Hugh Salimbeni

We study statistical inference for small-noise-perturbed multiscale dynamical systems under the assumption that we observe a single time series from the slow process only. We construct estimators for both averaging and homogenization…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Siragan Gailus , Konstantinos Spiliopoulos

The challenges posed by complex stochastic models used in computational ecology, biology and genetics have stimulated the development of approximate approaches to statistical inference. Here we focus on Synthetic Likelihood (SL), a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-06-09 Matteo Fasiolo , Simon N. Wood , Florian Hartig , Mark V. Bravington

We consider the numerical approximation of general semilinear parabolic stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) driven by additive space-time noise. In contrast to the standard time stepping methods which uses basic increments of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2010-05-31 Gabriel J. Lord , Antoine Tambue

The existence and consistency of a maximum likelihood estimator for the joint probability distribution of random parameters in discrete-time abstract parabolic systems are established by taking a nonparametric approach in the context of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-26 Lernik Asserian , Susan E. Luczak , I. G. Rosen

We propose a new scheme for the long time approximation of a diffusion when the drift vector field is not globally Lipschitz. Under this assumption, regular explicit Euler scheme --with constant or decreasing step-- may explode and implicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-20 Vincent Lemaire

We present a new algorithm to optimize distributions defined implicitly by parameterized stochastic diffusions. Doing so allows us to modify the outcome distribution of sampling processes by optimizing over their parameters. We introduce a…

Diffusion approximation provides weak approximation for stochastic gradient descent algorithms in a finite time horizon. In this paper, we introduce new tools motivated by the backward error analysis of numerical stochastic differential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Yuanyuan Feng , Tingran Gao , Lei Li , Jian-Guo Liu , Yulong Lu

This paper provides an elementary, self-contained analysis of diffusion-based sampling methods for generative modeling. In contrast to existing approaches that rely on continuous-time processes and then discretize, our treatment works…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-25 Galen Reeves , Henry D. Pfister

This paper introduces a family of recursively defined estimators of the parameters of a diffusion process. We use ideas of stochastic algorithms for the construction of the estimators. Asymptotic consistency of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Jaime A. Londoño

Smoothed particle hydrodynamics (SPH) has been extensively used to model high and low Reynolds number flows, free surface flows and collapse of dams, study pore-scale flow and dispersion, elasticity, and thermal problems. In different…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Alexander A. Lukyanov , Kees Vuik

A multilevel adaptive refinement strategy for solving linear elliptic partial differential equations with random data is recalled in this work. The strategy extends the a posteriori error estimation framework introduced by Guignard and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Alex Bespalov , David J. Silvester