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With model trustworthiness being crucial for sensitive real-world applications, practitioners are putting more and more focus on improving the uncertainty calibration of deep neural networks. Calibration errors are designed to quantify the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Sebastian G. Gruber , Florian Buettner

Making statements about the performance of trained models on tasks involving new data is one of the primary goals of machine learning, i.e., to understand the generalization power of a model. Various capacity measures try to capture this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Amira Abbas , David Sutter , Alessio Figalli , Stefan Woerner

Error bound analysis, which estimates the distance of a point to the solution set of an optimization problem using the optimality residual, is a powerful tool for the analysis of first-order optimization algorithms. In this paper, we use…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Jiawei Zhang , Zhiquan Luo

In the setting of high-dimensional linear models with Gaussian noise, we investigate the possibility of confidence statements connected to model selection. Although there exist numerous procedures for adaptive point estimation, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-10-07 Angelika Rohde , Lutz Duembgen

The primary objective of learning methods is generalization. Classic uniform generalization bounds, which rely on VC-dimension or Rademacher complexity, fail to explain the significant attribute that over-parameterized models in deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-07 Lijia Yu , Yibo Miao , Yifan Zhu , Xiao-Shan Gao , Lijun Zhang

Generalization error bounds are essential for comprehending how well machine learning models work. In this work, we suggest a novel method, i.e., the Auxiliary Distribution Method, that leads to new upper bounds on expected generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-18 Gholamali Aminian , Saeed Masiha , Laura Toni , Miguel R. D. Rodrigues

In certain applications involving the solution of a Bayesian inverse problem, it may not be possible or desirable to evaluate the full posterior, e.g. due to the high computational cost of doing so. This problem motivates the use of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-27 Han Cheng Lie , T. J. Sullivan , Aretha Teckentrup

We consider the problem of finding confidence intervals for the risk of forecasting the future of a stationary, ergodic stochastic process, using a model estimated from the past of the process. We show that a bootstrap procedure provides…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Robert Lunde , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

In this paper, we explore bounds on the expected risk when using deep neural networks for supervised classification from an information theoretic perspective. Firstly, we introduce model risk and fitting error, which are derived from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Binchuan Qi

Data-driven models analyze power grids under incomplete physical information, and their accuracy has been mostly validated empirically using certain training and testing datasets. This paper explores error bounds for data-driven models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Yuxiao Liu , Bolun Xu , Audun Botterud , Ning Zhang , Chongqing Kang

Time series forecasting has become a critical task due to its high practicality in real-world applications such as traffic, energy consumption, economics and finance, and disease analysis. Recent deep-learning-based approaches have shown…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Youngin Cho , Daejin Kim , Dongmin Kim , Mohammad Azam Khan , Jaegul Choo

Polytopes are the basic finite data structures for convex sets: they appear as feasible regions in linear optimization, as geometric summaries in algorithms, and as random objects in stochastic geometry. A natural geometric question is…

Metric Geometry · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Steven Hoehner

Inspired by recent strides in empirical efficacy of implicit learning in many robotics tasks, we seek to understand the theoretical benefits of implicit formulations in the face of nearly discontinuous functions, common characteristics for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-08 Bibit Bianchini , Mathew Halm , Nikolai Matni , Michael Posa

We consider the problem of modulation and estimation of a random parameter $U$ to be conveyed across a discrete memoryless channel. Upper and lower bounds are derived for the best achievable exponential decay rate of a general moment of the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Neri Merhav

We present a novel set of rigorous and computationally efficient topology-based complexity notions that exhibit a strong correlation with the generalization gap in modern deep neural networks (DNNs). DNNs show remarkable generalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Rayna Andreeva , Benjamin Dupuis , Rik Sarkar , Tolga Birdal , Umut Şimşekli

Cyclic boundaries are used in many branches of physics and mathematics, typically to assist the approximation of a large space. We show that when determining the performance of planar, fault-tolerant, topological quantum error correction,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2013-06-20 Austin G. Fowler

An energy-based a posteriori error bound is proposed for the physics-informed neural network solutions of elasticity problems. An admissible displacement-stress solution pair is obtained from a mixed form of physics-informed neural…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-31 Mengwu Guo , Ehsan Haghighat

In the present paper, some aspects of the finite-dimensional theory of set-inclusive generalized equations are studied. Set-inclusive generalized equations are problems arising in several contexts of optimization and variational analysis,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-11-26 Amos Uderzo

By a map we mean a $2$-cell decomposition of a closed compact surface, i.e., an embedding of a graph such that every face is homeomorphic to an open disc. Automorphism of a map can be thought of as a permutation of the vertices which…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2021-01-08 Ken-ichi Kawarabayashi , Bojan Mohar , Roman Nedela , Peter Zeman

We consider linear problems in the worst case setting. That is, given a linear operator and a pool of admissible linear measurements, we want to approximate the values of the operator uniformly on a convex and balanced set by means of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-03-05 David Krieg , Peter Kritzer