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Drifts of asset returns are notoriously difficult to model accurately and, yet, trading strategies obtained from portfolio optimization are very sensitive to them. To mitigate this well-known phenomenon we study robust growth-optimization…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Balint Binkert , David Itkin , Paul Mangers Bastian , Josef Teichmann

We consider the problem of robustly maximizing the growth rate of investor wealth in the presence of model uncertainty. Possible models are all those under which the assets' region $E$ and instantaneous covariation $c$ are known, and where…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-22 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

This paper resolves a question proposed in Kardaras and Robertson [Ann. Appl. Probab. 22 (2012) 1576-1610]: how to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where precise knowledge of the covariance structure of the underlying…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-09-09 Erhan Bayraktar , Yu-Jui Huang

This paper addresses the question of how to invest in a robust growth-optimal way in a market where the instantaneous expected return of the underlying process is unknown. The optimal investment strategy is identified using a generalized…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-22 Constantinos Kardaras , Scott Robertson

For a stochastic factor model we maximize the long-term growth rate of robust expected power utility with parameter $\lambda\in(0,1)$. Using duality methods the problem is reformulated as an infinite time horizon, risk-sensitive control…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-07 Thomas Knispel

This paper studies an optimal forward investment problem in an incomplete market with model uncertainty, in which the underlying stocks depend on the correlated stochastic factors. The uncertainty stems from the probability measure chosen…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Juan Li , Wenqiang Li , Gechun Liang

We consider the problem of maximizing the asymptotic growth rate of an investor under drift uncertainty in the setting of stochastic portfolio theory (SPT). As in the work of Kardaras and Robertson we take as inputs (i) a Markovian…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-12 David Itkin , Martin Larsson

In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic process X, at each time n a decision u_n is made as a function of past observations X_0,...,X_{n-1}, and a loss l(u_n,X_n) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Ramon van Handel

Given data generated by an observable stochastic process, we study how to construct statistically optimal decisions for general stochastic optimization problems. Our setting encompasses non-standard data structures, including data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-01 Radek Salač , Michael Kupper , Tobias Sutter

This paper studies a robust portfolio optimization problem under the multi-factor volatility model introduced by Christoffersen et al. (2009). The optimal strategy is derived analytically under the worst-case scenario with or without…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-16 Ben-Zhang Yang , Xiaoping Lu , Guiyuan Ma , Song-Ping Zhu

We develop an asymptotic theory for the jump robust measurement of covariations in the context of stochastic evolution equation in infinite dimensions. Namely, we identify scaling limits for realized covariations of solution processes with…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Dennis Schroers

Optimal B-robust estimate is constructed for multidimensional parameter in drift coefficient of diffusion type process with small noise. Optimal mean-variance robust (optimal V -robust) trading strategy is find to hedge in mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 N. Lazrieva , T. Toronjadze

In this paper, we study the portfolio optimization problem with general utility functions and when the return and volatility of underlying asset are slowly varying. An asymptotic optimal strategy is provided within a specific class of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

We consider the harvesting of a population in a stochastic environment whose dynamics in the absence of harvesting is described by a one dimensional diffusion. Using ergodic optimal control, we find the optimal harvesting strategy which…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-04-02 Alexandru Hening , Dang H. Nguyen , Sergiu C. Ungureanu , Tak Kwong Wong

The problem of portfolio optimization when stochastic factors drive returns and volatilities has been studied in previous works by the authors. In particular, they proposed asymptotic approximations for value functions and optimal…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-15 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu , Ronnie Sircar

We consider the problem of dynamic buying and selling of shares from a collection of $N$ stocks with random price fluctuations. To limit investment risk, we place an upper bound on the total number of shares kept at any time. Assuming that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-23 Michael J. Neely

In ergodic singular stochastic control problems, a decision-maker can instantaneously adjust the evolution of a state variable using a control of bounded variation, with the goal of minimizing a long-term average cost functional. The cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Alessandro Calvia , Federico Cannerozzi , Giorgio Ferrari

Growth models with internal habit formation have been studied in various settings under the assumption of deterministic dynamics. The purpose of this paper is to explore a stochastic version of the model in Carroll et al. [1997, 2000], one…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Michele Aleandri , Alessandro Bondi , Fausto Gozzi

We study a utility maximization problem in a financial market with a stochastic drift process, combining a worst-case approach with filtering techniques. Drift processes are difficult to estimate from asset prices, and at the same time…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-04 Jörn Sass , Dorothee Westphal

We investigate the ergodic problem of growth-rate maximization under a class of risk constraints in the context of incomplete, It\^{o}-process models of financial markets with random ergodic coefficients. Including {\em value-at-risk}…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Traian A. Pirvu , Gordan Zitkovic
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