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We study risk-sharing economies where heterogenous agents trade subject to quadratic transaction costs. The corresponding equilibrium asset prices and trading strategies are characterised by a system of nonlinear, fully-coupled…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-01 Martin Herdegen , Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Dylan Possamaï

We study a dynamic model of Bayesian persuasion in sequential decision-making settings. An informed principal observes an external parameter of the world and advises an uninformed agent about actions to take over time. The agent takes…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-25 Jiarui Gan , Rupak Majumdar , Goran Radanovic , Adish Singla

We simulate behaviour of two independent reinforcement learning algorithms playing the Crawford and Sobel (1982) game of strategic information transmission. We adopt memoryless algorithms to capture learning in a static game where a large…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-02 Daniele Condorelli , Massimiliano Furlan

We study a variant of the principal-agent problem in which the principal does not directly observe the agent's effort outcome; rather, she gets a signal about the agent's action according to a variable information structure designed by a…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Yakov Babichenko , Inbal Talgam-Cohen , Haifeng Xu , Konstantin Zabarnyi

This work investigates a dynamic variant of Bayesian persuasion, in which a strategic sender seeks to influence a receiver's belief over time through controlling the timing of the information disclosure, under resource constraints. We…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2025-12-05 Ahmet Bugra Gundogan , Melih Bastopcu

We study a large economy in which firms cannot compute exact solutions to the non-linear equations that characterize the equilibrium price at which they can sell future output. Instead, firms use polynomial expansions to approximate prices.…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-08 Wolfgang Kuhle

We study the robustness of cheap-talk equilibria to infinitesimal private information of the receiver in a model with a binary state-space and state-independent sender-preferences. We show that the sender-optimal equilibrium is robust if…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-02 Itai Arieli , Ronen Gradwohl , Rann Smorodinsky

Interacting agents receive public information at no cost and flexibly acquire private information at a cost proportional to entropy reduction. When a policymaker provides more public information, agents acquire less private information,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-04-28 Takashi Ui

We study dynamic mechanism design in a pure-exchange economy with privately observed idiosyncratic income. In the standard infinitely lived hidden-income benchmark of Green (1987) and Thomas-Worrall (1990), constrained-efficient allocations…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-18 Michiko Ogaku

We study a model of binary decision making when a certain population of agents is initially seeded with two different opinions, `$+$' and `$-$', with fractions $p_1$ and $p_2$ respectively, $p_1+p_2=1$. Individuals can reverse their initial…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-10-16 Amitava Datta

Two agents trade an item in a simultaneous offer setting, where the exchange takes place if and only if the buyer's bid price weakly exceeds the seller's ask price. Each agent is randomly assigned the buyer or seller role. Both agents are…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-29 José Ignacio Rivero-Wildemauwe

We consider a continuous-time linear-quadratic Gaussian control problem with partial observations and costly information acquisition. More precisely, we assume the drift of the state process to be governed by an unobservable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-20 Christoph Knochenhauer , Alexander Merkel , Yufei Zhang

We present a novel, game theoretic representation of a multi-agent prediction market using a partially observable stochastic game with information (POSGI). We then describe a correlated equilibrium (CE)-based solution strategy for this game…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2012-03-28 Janyl Jumadinova , Prithviraj Dasgupta

We consider a financial market model which consists of a financial asset and a large number of interacting agents classified into many types. Different types of agents are heterogeneous in their price expectations. Each agent can change its…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Biao Wu

Motivated by growing evidence of agents' mistakes in strategically simple environments, we propose a solution concept -- robust equilibrium -- that requires only an asymptotically optimal behavior. We use it to study large random matching…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-09-26 Georgy Artemov , Yeon-Koo Che , YingHua He

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of some common opinion dynamic models in a continuum of agents. We show that as long as the interactions among the agents are symmetric, the distribution of the agents' opinion converges. We…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Julien M. Hendrickx , Alex Olshevsky

We consider the problem of minimizing a certainty equivalent of the total or discounted cost over a finite and an infinite time horizon which is generated by a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The certainty equivalent…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Nicole Bäuerle , Ulrich Rieder

We study the pricing of credit derivatives with asymmetric information. The managers have complete information on the value process of the firm and on the default threshold, while the investors on the market have only partial observations,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-02-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao

We consider a revenue optimizing seller selling a single item to a buyer, on whose private value the seller has a noisy signal. We show that, when the signal is kept private, arbitrarily more revenue could potentially be extracted than if…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-20 Hu Fu , Chris Liaw , Pinyan Lu , Zhihao Gavin Tang

This paper studies the equilibrium price of an asset that is traded in continuous time between N agents who have heterogeneous beliefs about the state process underlying the asset's payoff. We propose a tractable model where agents maximize…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-26 Johannes Muhle-Karbe , Marcel Nutz , Xiaowei Tan
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