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We prove a law of large numbers and functional central limit theorem for a class of multivariate Hawkes processes with time-dependent reproduction rate. We address the difficulties induced by the use of non-convolutive Volterra processes by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-30 Thomas Deschatre , Pierre Gruet , Antoine Lotz

We derive new bounds of the remainder in a combinatorial central limit theorem without assumptions on independence and existence of moments of summands. For independent random variables our theorems imply Esseen and Berry-Esseen type…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-08 Andrei N. Frolov

This is a draft of an article to appear in the October 2022 issue of the Notices of the AMS. In this survey article we explore a fascinating area called descriptive combinatorics and its recently discovered connections to distributed…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2022-08-08 Anton Bernshteyn

We present new, exceptionally efficient proofs of Poisson--Dirichlet limit theorems for the scaled sizes of irreducible components of random elements in the classic combinatorial contexts of arbitrary assemblies, multisets, and selections,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-09 Richard Arratia , Fred Kochman

We give a simple proof of a central limit theorem for linear statistics of the Circular beta-ensembles which is valid at almost arbitrary mesoscopic scale and for functions of class C^3. As a consequence, using a coupling introduced by…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-19 Gaultier Lambert

We study statistical properties of the optimal value and optimal solutions of the Sample Average Approximation of risk averse stochastic problems. Central Limit Theorem type results are derived for the optimal value and optimal solutions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-03-25 Vincent Guigues , Volker Krätschmer , Alexander Shapiro

Virtual, make-on-demand chemical libraries have transformed early-stage drug discovery by unlocking vast, synthetically accessible regions of chemical space. Recent years have witnessed rapid growth in these libraries from millions to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-11-10 Aryan Pedawi , Pawel Gniewek , Chaoyi Chang , Brandon M. Anderson , Henry van den Bedem

We provide a complete asymptotic distribution theory for clustered data with a large number of independent groups, generalizing the classic laws of large numbers, uniform laws, central limit theory, and clustered covariance matrix…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-02-03 Bruce E. Hansen , Seojeong Lee

Ensemble calculations are essential for systems with uncertain data but require substantial increase in computational resources. This increase severely limits ensemble size. To reach beyond current limits, we present a first-order…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-12-19 Joseph A. Fiordilino , Michael McLaughlin

Let F be the quotient of an analytic function with a product of linear functions. Working in the framework of analytic combinatorics in several variables, we compute asymptotic formulae for the Taylor coefficients of F using multivariate…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Yuliy Baryshnikov , Stephen Melczer , Robin Pemantle

Consider a general machine learning setting where the output is a set of labels or sequences. This output set is unordered and its size varies with the input. Whereas multi-label classification methods seem a natural first resort, they are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-14 Tian Gao , Jie Chen , Vijil Chenthamarakshan , Michael Witbrock

We derive theorems which outline explicit mechanisms by which anomalous scaling for the probability density function of the sum of many correlated random variables asymptotically prevails. The results characterize general anomalous scaling…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-14 Attilio L. Stella , Fulvio Baldovin

The martingale posterior framework is a generalization of Bayesian inference where one elicits a sequence of one-step ahead predictive densities instead of the likelihood and prior. Posterior sampling then involves the imputation of unseen…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Edwin Fong , Andrew Yiu

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive reasoning capabilities, yet their direct application to NP-hard combinatorial problems (CPs) remains underexplored. In this work, we systematically investigate the reasoning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Henrik Abgaryan , Tristan Cazenave , Ararat Harutyunyan

This paper analyzes the approximate control variate (ACV) approach to multifidelity uncertainty quantification in the case where weighted estimators are combined to form the components of the ACV. The weighted estimators enable one to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-23 Alex A. Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred

Using methods from Analytic Combinatorics, we study the families of perfect matchings, partitions, chord diagrams, and hyperchord diagrams on a disk with a prescribed number of crossings. For each family, we express the generating function…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Vincent Pilaud , Juanjo Rué

This paper is concerned with the limiting spectral behaviors of large dimensional Kendall's rank correlation matrices generated by samples with independent and continuous components. We do not require the components to be identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-16 Zeng Li , Qinwen Wang , Runze Li

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

The Algorithm Selection Problem is concerned with selecting the best algorithm to solve a given problem on a case-by-case basis. It has become especially relevant in the last decade, as researchers are increasingly investigating how to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-10-31 Lars Kotthoff

We introduce a general class of regular weight functions on finite abelian groups, and study the combinatorics, the duality theory, and the metric properties of codes endowed with such functions. The weights are obtained by composing a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-01 Alberto Ravagnani
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