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The paper develops a Transformer architecture for estimating dynamic factors from multivariate time series data under flexible identification assumptions. Performance on small datasets is improved substantially by using a conventional…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-21 Oliver Snellman

Current wind turbine simulations successfully use turbulence generating tools for modeling behavior. However, they lack the ability to reproduce variabilities in wind dynamics and inherent stochastic structures (like temporal and spatial…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-03-29 Qiang Guo , Daniel Rajewski , Eugene Takle , Baskar Ganapathysubramanian

Building on the phase reduction theory formulated for reaction-diffusion systems with spatial translational symmetry, we develop a data-driven method that reconstructs the spatiotemporal phase dynamics of traveling and oscillating patterns.…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2026-04-28 Takahiro Arai , Toshio Aoyagi , Yoji Kawamura

High-dimensional time series data appear in many scientific areas in the current data-rich environment. Analysis of such data poses new challenges to data analysts because of not only the complicated dynamic dependence between the series,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Di Wang , Ruey S. Tsay

Sparse regression has recently emerged as an attractive approach for discovering models of spatiotemporally complex dynamics directly from data. In many instances, such models are in the form of nonlinear partial differential equations…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-29 Patrick A. K. Reinbold , Daniel R. Gurevich , Roman O. Grigoriev

This paper explores potential improvements to the Spatial-Temporal Matching algorithm for aligning the GPS trajectories to road networks. While this algorithm is effective, it presents some limitations in computational efficiency and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Ali Yousefian , Arianna Burzacchi , Simone Vantini

We study the problem of learning the support of transition matrix between random processes in a Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model from samples when a subset of the processes are latent. It is well known that ignoring the effect of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-11-13 Saber Salehkaleybar , Jalal Etesami , Negar Kiyavash , Kun Zhang

Multiple time scale stochastic dynamical systems are ubiquitous in science and engineering, and the reduction of such systems and their models to only their slow components is often essential for scientific computation and further analysis.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-01-22 Carmeline J. Dsilva , Ronen Talmon , C. William Gear , Ronald R. Coifman , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

The vector autoregression (VAR) has been widely used in system identification, econometrics, natural science, and many other areas. However, when the state dimension becomes large the parameter dimension explodes. So rank reduced modelling…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-04 Xinhui Rong , Victor Solo

While inference-time scaling has significantly enhanced generative quality in large language and diffusion models, its application to vector-quantized (VQ) visual autoregressive modeling (VAR) remains unexplored. We introduce VAR-Scaling,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Weidong Tang , Xinyan Wan , Siyu Li , Xiumei Wang

Spatial-temporal data modeling aims to mine the underlying spatial relationships and temporal dependencies of objects in a system. However, most existing methods focus on the modeling of spatial-temporal data in a single mode, lacking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Zihang Liu , Le Yu , Tongyu Zhu , Leiei Sun

How best to model structurally heterogeneous processes is a foundational question in the social, health and behavioral sciences. Recently, Fisher et al., (2022) introduced the multi-VAR approach for simultaneously estimating…

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

We introduce a dynamic spatiotemporal volatility model that extends traditional approaches by incorporating spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal spillover effects, along with volatility-specific observed and latent factors. The model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-23 Osman Doğan , Raffaele Mattera , Philipp Otto , Süleyman Taşpınar

Extracting coherent patterns is one of the standard approaches towards understanding spatio-temporal data. Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a powerful tool for extracting coherent patterns, but the original DMD and most of its variants…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Naoya Takeishi , Keisuke Fujii , Koh Takeuchi , Yoshinobu Kawahara

All neuroimaging modalities have their own strengths and limitations. A current trend is toward interdisciplinary approaches that use multiple imaging methods to overcome limitations of each method in isolation. At the same time…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-30 Pratim Guha Niyogi , Martin A. Lindquist , Tapabrata Maiti

The ability to discover physical laws and governing equations from data is one of humankind's greatest intellectual achievements. A quantitative understanding of dynamic constraints and balances in nature has facilitated rapid development…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

The focus is on the statistical analysis of matrix-valued time series, where data is collected over a network of sensors, typically at spatial locations, over time. Each sensor records a vector of features at each time point, creating a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Yiye Jiang , Jérémie Bigot , Sofian Maabout

We develop a dynamic factor stochastic volatility-in-mean (SVM) specification for vector autoregressions (VARs) that embeds an SVM component within a dynamic factor stochastic volatility structure. A small number of latent volatility…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Daichi Hiraki , Siddhartha Chib , Yasuhiro Omori
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