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Time series forecasting plays an increasingly important role in modern business decisions. In today's data-rich environment, people often aim to choose the optimal forecasting model for their data. However, identifying the optimal model…

Applications · Statistics 2021-12-17 Xixi Li , Fotios Petropoulos , Yanfei Kang

Weather prediction today is performed with numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. These are deterministic simulation models describing the dynamics of the atmosphere, and evolving the current conditions forward in time to obtain a…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-18 Annette Möller , Jürgen Groß

Enhancing the robustness and accuracy of time series forecasting models is an active area of research. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) have found extensive applications in many practical forecasting problems. However, the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2013-02-27 Ratnadip Adhikari , R. K. Agrawal

Time series forecasting is one of the most active research topics. Machine learning methods have been increasingly adopted to solve these predictive tasks. However, in a recent work, these were shown to systematically present a lower…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-01 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Carlos Soares

Approximate message passing (AMP) type algorithms have been widely used in the signal reconstruction of certain large random linear systems. A key feature of the AMP-type algorithms is that their dynamics can be correctly described by state…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-03 Lei Liu , Shunqi Huang , YuZhi Yang , Zhaoyang Zhang , Brian M. Kurkoski

The development of mechanistic models of physical systems is essential for understanding their behavior and formulating predictions that can be validated experimentally. Calibration of these models, especially for complex systems, requires…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-04 Jakob Huhle , Jakob Kaiser , Eric Müller , Johannes Schemmel

Self-supervised learning has seen great success recently in unsupervised representation learning, enabling breakthroughs in natural language and image processing. However, these methods often rely on autoregressive and masked modeling,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Sofiane Ennadir , Siavash Golkar , Leopoldo Sarra

Masked image modeling (MIM) is a highly popular and effective self-supervised learning method for image understanding. Existing MIM-based methods mostly focus on spatial feature modeling, neglecting spectral feature modeling. Meanwhile,…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-09 Junyan Lin , Feng Gao , Xiaocheng Shi , Junyu Dong , Qian Du

Autoencoding is a popular method in representation learning. Conventional autoencoders employ symmetric encoding-decoding procedures and a simple Euclidean latent space to detect hidden low-dimensional structures in an unsupervised way.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-07 Stefan C. Schonsheck , Scott Mahan , Timo Klock , Alexander Cloninger , Rongjie Lai

Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) models are widely used for analyzing time series data. However, standard likelihood-based inference methodology for ARMA models has avoidable limitations. We show that currently accepted standards for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-28 Jesse Wheeler , Edward L. Ionides

Anomaly detection plays a crucial role in industrial settings, particularly in maintaining the reliability and optimal performance of cooling systems. Traditional anomaly detection methods often face challenges in handling diverse data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-26 Sarala Naidu , Ning Xiong

Integrated sensing and communication and millimeter wave (mmWave) have emerged as pivotal technologies for 6G networks. However, the narrow nature of mmWave beams requires precise alignments that typically necessitate large training…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-25 Ahmad A. Aziz El-Banna , Octavia A. Dobre

Due to the limited availability of anomalous samples for training, video anomaly detection is commonly viewed as a one-class classification problem. Many prevalent methods investigate the reconstruction difference produced by AutoEncoders…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-10 Xiangyu Huang , Caidan Zhao , Chenxing Gao , Lvdong Chen , Zhiqiang Wu

Intermittent demand, a pattern characterized by long sequences of zero sales punctuated by sporadic, non-zero values, poses a persistent challenge in retail and supply chain forecasting. Both traditional methods, such as ARIMA, exponential…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Fabian Muşat , Simona Căbuz

Predicting future behavior of the surrounding vehicles is crucial for self-driving platforms to safely navigate through other traffic. This is critical when making decisions like crossing an unsignalized intersection. We address the problem…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-23 Mohamed Hasan , Evangelos Paschalidis , Albert Solernou , He Wang , Gustav Markkula , Richard Romano

Despite impressive advancements in Autonomous Driving Systems (ADS), navigation in complex road conditions remains a challenging problem. There is considerable evidence that evaluating the subjective risk level of various decisions can…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Shih-Yuan Yu , Arnav V. Malawade , Deepan Muthirayan , Pramod P. Khargonekar , Mohammad A. Al Faruque

A difficulty in MSE estimation occurs because we do not specify a full distribution for the survey weights. This obfuscates the use of fully parametric bootstrap procedures. To overcome this challenge, we develop a novel MSE estimator. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Yanghyeon Cho , Emily Berg

Visual object tracking aims to precisely estimate the bounding box for the given target, which is a challenging problem due to factors such as deformation and occlusion. Many recent trackers adopt the multiple-stage tracking strategy to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Bin Yan , Xinyu Zhang , Dong Wang , Huchuan Lu , Xiaoyun Yang

We focus on a specific use case in anomaly detection where the distribution of normal samples is supported by a lower-dimensional manifold. Here, regularized autoencoders provide a popular approach by learning the identity mapping on the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-14 Alexander Bauer , Shinichi Nakajima , Klaus-Robert Müller

Deep learning-based trajectory prediction models for autonomous driving often struggle with generalization to out-of-distribution (OOD) scenarios, sometimes performing worse than simple rule-based models. To address this limitation, we…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Jinning Li , Jiachen Li , Sangjae Bae , David Isele