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Recently, cryptocurrencies have attracted a growing interest from investors, practitioners and researchers. Nevertheless, few studies have focused on the predictability of them. In this paper we propose a new and comprehensive study about…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-27 Roy Cerqueti , Massimiliano Giacalone , Raffaele Mattera

Cryptocurrency introduces usability challenges by requiring users to manage signing keys. Popular signing key management services (e.g., custodial wallets), however, either introduce a trusted party or burden users with managing signing key…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-07-24 Lulu Zhou , Zeyu Liu , Fan Zhang , Michael K. Reiter

The cryptocurrency market is volatile, non-stationary and non-continuous. Together with liquid derivatives markets, this poses a unique opportunity to study risk management, especially the hedging of options, in a turbulent market. We study…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-05 Jovanka Lili Matic , Natalie Packham , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

In recent years, the tendency of the number of financial institutions including cryptocurrencies in their portfolios has accelerated. Cryptocurrencies are the first pure digital assets to be included by asset managers. Although they have…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-31 Fan Fang , Carmine Ventre , Michail Basios , Leslie Kanthan , Lingbo Li , David Martinez-Regoband , Fan Wu

Cryptocurrency markets have attracted many interest for global investors because of their novelty, wide online availability, increasing capitalization and potential profits. In the econophysics tradition we show that many of the most…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-11-23 Noe Rodriguez-Rodriguez , Octavio Miramontes

The rise of Ethereum and other blockchains that support smart contracts has led to the creation of decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as Uniswap, Balancer, Curve, mStable, and SushiSwap, which enable agents to trade cryptocurrencies…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-07-28 Guillermo Angeris , Akshay Agrawal , Alex Evans , Tarun Chitra , Stephen Boyd

Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2008, cryptocurrencies have played an increasing role in the world of e-commerce, but the recent turbulence in the cryptocurrency market in 2018 has raised some concerns about their stability and associated…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-14 Yan Gong , Raphaël Huser

This paper investigates the temporal patterns of activity in the cryptocurrency market with a focus on Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and WINkLink from January 2020 to December 2022. Market activity measures - logarithmic returns, volume, and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-22 Marcin Wątorek , Maria Skupień , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have attracted growing attention from both private investors and institutions. Among them, Bitcoin stands out for its impressive volatility and widespread influence. This paper explores the predictability…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-29 Grégory Bournassenko

The S&P 500 index is considered the most popular trading instrument in financial markets. With the rise of cryptocurrencies over the past years, Bitcoin has also grown in popularity and adoption. The paper aims to analyze the daily return…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-11 A. H. Nzokem

Asymmetric relationship between price and volatility is a prominent feature of the financial market time series. This paper explores the price-volatility nexus in cryptocurrency markets and investigates the presence of asymmetric volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-09 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Blockchain has received much attention in recent years. This immense popularity has raised a number of concerns, scalability of blockchain systems being a common one. In this paper, we seek to understand how Ethereum, a well-established…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2018-05-10 Enrique Fynn , Fernando Pedone

The number of blockchain interoperability protocols for transferring data and assets between blockchains has grown significantly. However, no open dataset of cross-chain transactions exists to study interoperability protocols in operation.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-03-19 André Augusto , André Vasconcelos , Miguel Correia , Luyao Zhang

The cryptocurrency market presents both significant investment opportunities and higher risks relative to traditional financial assets. This study examines the tail behavior of daily returns for two leading cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 A. H. Nzokem

Gold and bitcoin are not new to us, but with limited cash and time, given only the past stream of the daily price of gold and bitcoin, it is a kind of new problem for us to develop a certain model and determine the best strategy to get the…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Yueying Ma , Yan Mi , Yujing Bian

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

While Indices, Index tracking funds and ETFs have grown in popularity during then last ten years, there are many structural problems inherent in Index calculation methodologies and the legal/economic structure of ETFs. These problems raise…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Michael C. Nwogugu

This paper investigates the cryptocurrency network of the FTX exchange during the collapse of its native token, FTT, to understand how network structures adapt to significant financial disruptions, by exploiting vertex centrality measures.…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-20 Riccardo De Blasis , Luca Galati , Rosanna Grassi , Giorgio Rizzini

The paper analyzes the cryptocurrency ecosystem at both the aggregate and individual levels to understand the factors that impact future volatility. The study uses high-frequency panel data from 2020 to 2022 to examine the relationship…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Alessio Brini , Jimmie Lenz

This paper estimates the carry embedded in listed IBIT options and compares it with the carry embedded in matched CME bitcoin futures. Put-call parity recovers an implied forward on the ETF; BlackRock's daily holdings file maps each ETF…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-29 Mindy L. Mallory