Related papers: Most probable paths for developed processes
We consider the problem to identify the most likely flow in phase space, of (inertial) particles under stochastic forcing, that is in agreement with spatial (marginal) distributions that are specified at a set of points in time. The…
For the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, the asymptotic behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter is totally different in the stable, unstable, and explosive cases. Notwithstanding of this trichotomy, we investigate…
We present a new computational approach, Action-CSA, to sample multiple reaction pathways with fixed initial and final states through global optimization of the Onsager-Machlup action using the conformational space annealing method. This…
We investigate large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood drift parameter estimator for Ornstein--Uhlenbeck process driven by mixed fractional Brownian motion.
A path integral formalism for non-equilibrium systems is proposed based on a manifold of quasi-equilibrium densities. A generalized Boltzmann principle is used to weight manifold paths with the exponential of minus the information…
Stochastic computational models in the form of pure jump processes occur frequently in the description of chemical reactive processes, of ion channel dynamics, and of the spread of infections in populations. For spatially extended models,…
The indefinite integral of the homogenized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is a well-known model for physical Brownian motion, modelling the behaviour of an object subject to random impulses [L. S. Ornstein, G. E. Uhlenbeck: On the theory of…
In this work, we present a novel approach for solving stochastic shape optimization problems. Our method is the extension of the classical stochastic gradient method to infinite-dimensional shape manifolds. We prove convergence of the…
Recent experiments have probed the relative likelihoods of trajectories in stochastic systems by observing survival probabilities within a tube of radius $R$ in spacetime. We measure such probabilities here for a colloidal particle in a…
This paper deals with the question of conditional sampling and prediction for the class of stationary max-stable processes which allow for a mixed moving maxima representation. We develop an exact procedure for conditional sampling using…
The path probability of stochastic motion of non dissipative or quasi-Hamiltonian systems is investigated by numerical experiment. The simulation model generates ideal one-dimensional motion of particles subject only to conservative forces…
Bayesian analysis for Markov jump processes is a non-trivial and challenging problem. Although exact inference is theoretically possible, it is computationally demanding thus its applicability is limited to a small class of problems. In…
In this paper, we compute the Onsager-Machlup functional for distribution dependent SDEs driven by fractional Brownian motions with Hurst parameter $H\in (\frac{1}{4},1)$. In the case $ \frac{1}{4} < H < \frac{1}{2} $, the norm can be…
We examine most-likely paths between initial and final states for diffusive quantum trajectories in continuously monitored pure-state qubits, obtained as extrema of a stochastic path integral. We demonstrate the possibility of "multipaths"…
An American option grants the holder the right to select the time at which to exercise the option, so pricing an American option entails solving an optimal stopping problem. Difficulties in applying standard numerical methods to complex…
We present a method to infer the arbitrary space-dependent drift and diffusion of a nonlinear stochastic model driven by multiplicative fractional Gaussian noise from a single trajectory. Our method, fractional Onsager-Machlup optimisation…
This paper is devoted to deriving the Onsager-Machlup action functional for Mckean-Vlasov stochastic differential equations in a class of norms that dominate $L^2([0,1], \mathbb{R}^d)$, such as supremum norm $\|\cdot\|_{\infty}$,…
In order to approximate the exit time of a one-dimensional diffusion process, we propose an algorithm based on a random walk. Such an algorithm so-called Walk on Moving Spheres was already introduced in the Brownian context. The aim is…
Irreversible drift-diffusion processes are very common in biochemical reactions. They have a non-equilibrium stationary state (invariant measure) which does not satisfy detailed balance. For the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation on a…
This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…