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In this work, a variant of the birth and death chain with constant intensities, originally introduced by Bruno de Finetti way back in 1957, is revisited. This fact is also underlined by the choice of the title, which is clearly a literal…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-21 Eugenio Regazzini

We consider a random walk with catastrophes which was introduced to model population biology. It is known that this Markov chain gets eventually absorbed at $0$ for all parameter values. Recently, it has been shown that this chain exhibits…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-12 Luiz Renato Fontes , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

Given an autoregressive process X of order p (i.e. X_n = a_1 X_{n-1} + ...+ a_p X_{n_p} + Y_n where the random variables Y_1, Y_2, ... are i.i.d.), we study the asymptotic behaviour of the probability that the process does not exceed a…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-07-17 Christoph Baumgarten

We consider a random forest $\mathcal{F}^*$, defined as a sequence of i.i.d. birth-death (BD) trees, each started at time 0 from a single ancestor, stopped at the first tree having survived up to a fixed time $T$. We denote by…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-24 Miraine Dávila Felipe , Amaury Lambert

We consider a continuous time Markov process on $\mathbb{N}_0$ which can be interpreted as generalized alternating birth-death process in a non-autonomous random environment. Depending on the status of the environment the process either…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-13 Hans Daduna

Let $\mathcal{K}\subset R^d$, $d\ge2$, be a smooth, bounded domain satisfying $0\in\mathcal{K}$, and let $f(t),\ t\ge0$, be a smooth, continuous, nondecreasing function satisfying $f(0)>1$. Define $D_t=f(t)\mathcal{K}\subset R^d$. Consider…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-01-13 Ross G. Pinsky

We solve an adaptive search model where a random walker or L\'evy flight stochastically resets to previously visited sites on a $d$-dimensional lattice containing one trapping site. Due to reinforcement, a phase transition occurs when the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Andrea Falcón-Cortés , Denis Boyer , Luca Giuggioli , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

We consider transient random walks in random environment on $\z$ with zero asymptotic speed. A classical result of Kesten, Kozlov and Spitzer says that the hitting time of the level $n$ converges in law, after a proper normalization,…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-04-09 Nathanaël Enriquez , Christophe Sabot , Olivier Zindy

Consider a discrete-time optimal selection problem where one observes a sequence of independent Bernoulli trials and receives a nonnegative reward upon stopping on a success. The aim is to find a single-choice strategy that maximises the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-30 Zakaria Derbazi

We consider a sequence of random variables $(R_n)$ defined by the recurrence $R_n=Q_n+M_nR_{n-1}$, $n\ge1$, where $R_0$ is arbitrary and $(Q_n,M_n)$, $n\ge1$, are i.i.d. copies of a two-dimensional random vector $(Q,M)$, and $(Q_n,M_n)$ is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Paweł Hitczenko , Jacek Wesołowski

We identify a new universality class of phase transitions that arises in non-normal systems, challenging the classical view that transitions require eigenvalue instabilities. In traditional bifurcation theory, critical phenomena emerge when…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-10-10 Virgile Troude , Didier Sornette

In this paper, we investigate random walk based token circulation in dynamic environments subject to failures. We describe hypotheses on the dynamic environment that allow random walks to meet the important property that the token visits…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2011-09-19 Thibault Bernard , Alain Bui , Devan Sohier

We consider Markov chains on partially ordered sets that generalize the success-runs and remaining life chains in reliability theory. We find conditions for recurrence and transience and give simple expressions for the invariant…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-04-08 Kyle Siegrist

We investigate the probability that a random polynomial with independent, mean-zero and finite variance coefficients has no real zeros. Specifically, we consider a random polynomial of degree $2n$ with coefficients given by an i.i.d.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-29 Promit Ghosal , Sumit Mukherjee

We consider the accumulation of deleterious mutations in an asexual population, a phenomenon known as Muller's ratchet, using the continuous time model proposed in Etheridge et all. \cite{epw}. We show that for any parameter $\lambda>0$…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-22 Julien Audiffren , Etienne Pardoux

Let $(M,d,\mu)$ be a uniformly discrete metric measure space satisfying space homogeneous volume doubling condition. We consider discrete time Markov chains on $M$ symmetric with respect to $\mu$ and whose one-step transition density is…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-03 Mathav Murugan , Laurent Saloff-Coste

We consider a two dimensional reflecting random walk on the nonnegative integer quadrant. It is assumed that this reflecting random walk has skip free transitions. We are concerned with its time reversed process assuming that the stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Masahiro Kobayashi , Masakiyo Miyazawa , Hiroshi Shimizu

We study the extinction of epidemics in a generalized susceptible-infected-susceptible model, where a susceptible individual becomes infected with the rate $\lambda$ when contacting $m$ infective individual(s) simultaneously, and an…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-08-08 Hanshuang Chen , Feng Huang , Haifeng Zhang , Guofeng Li

We consider reversible random walks in random environment obtained from symmetric long--range jump rates on a random point process. We prove almost sure transience and recurrence results under suitable assumptions on the point process and…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-30 P. Caputo , A. Faggionato , A. Gaudilliere