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Let $X_1,X_2,...$ be a sequence of random variables satisfying the distributional recursion $X_1=0$ and $X_n= X_{n-I_n}+1$ for $n=2,3,...$, where $I_n$ is a random variable with values in $\{1,...,n-1\}$ which is independent of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-01 Alex Iksanov , Martin Möhle

We study quantitative recurrence to rare events in Countable Markov Shifts with recurrent potentials, focusing on return-time statistics to natural target sets for every point. In the positive recurrent case, return-time processes…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Dylan Bansard-Tresse

We propose a new multivariate time series model in which we assume that each component has a tendency to revert to the minimum of all components. Such a specification is useful to describe phenomena where each member in a population which…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-06 Torsten Kleinow , Michel Vellekoop

This paper introduces a cure rate survival model by assuming that the time to the event of interest follows a beta prime distribution and that the number of competing causes of the event of interest follows a negative binomial distribution.…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Jeremias Leão , Marcelo Bourguignon , Manoel Santos-Neto , Helton Saulo

We consider a critical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We are interested in the event $\mathcal{A}_i(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-04 Charline Smadi , Vladimir A. Vatutin

We are interested in the random walk in random environment on an infinite tree. Lyons and Pemantle [11] give a precise recurrence/transience criterion. Our paper focuses on the almost sure asymptotic behaviours of a recurrent random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Yueyun Hu , Zhan Shi

We study a Markov chain on $\mathbb{R}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{R}_+$ is the non-negative real numbers and $S$ is a finite set, in which when the $\mathbb{R}_+$-coordinate is large, the $S$-coordinate of the process is approximately…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-14 Chak Hei Lo , Andrew R. Wade

In this paper we study the recurrence and transience of the $\mathbb{Z}^d$-valued branching random walk in random environment indexed by a critical Bienaym\'e-Galton-Watson tree, conditioned to survive. The environment is made either of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-03 Alexandre Legrand , Christophe Sabot , Bruno Schapira

We give a closed form of the discrete-time evolution of a recombination transformation in population genetics. This decomposition allows to define a Markov chain in a natural way. We describe the geometric decay rate to the limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-24 Servet Martinez

Let $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$ be a regular one-dimensional diffusion that models a biological population. If one assumes that the population goes extinct in finite time it is natural to study the $Q$-process associated to $(X_t)_{t\geq 0}$. This is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-01 Alexandru Hening

We consider the branching process in random environment $\{Z_n\}_{n\geq 0}$, which is a~population growth process where individuals reproduce independently of each other with the reproduction law randomly picked at each generation. We focus…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Dariusz Buraczewski , Ewa Damek

We give criteria for ergodicity, transience and null recurrence for the random walk in random environment on {0,1,2,...}, with reflection at the origin, where the random environment is subject to a vanishing perturbation. Our results…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-18 M. V. Menshikov , Andrew R. Wade

We study the parking process on the random recursive tree. We first prove that although the random recursive tree has a non-degenerate Benjamini--Schramm limit, the phase transition for the parking process appears at density $0$. We then…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-07 Alice Contat , Lucile Laulin

We study the asymptotic behaviour of Markov chains $(X_n,\eta_n)$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+ \times S$, where $\mathbb{Z}_+$ is the non-negative integers and $S$ is a finite set. Neither coordinate is assumed to be Markov. We assume a moments bound…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-18 Nicholas Georgiou , Andrew R. Wade

A time-dependent finite-state Markov chain that uses doubly stochastic transition matrices, is considered. Entropic quantities that describe the randomness of the probability vectors, and also the randomness of the discrete paths, are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2022-03-18 A. Vourdas

A simulation model of a population having internal (genetic) structure is presented. The population is subject to selection pressure coming from the environment which is the same in the whole system but changes in time. Reproduction has a…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2012-08-31 Andrzej Pekalski , Marcel Ausloos

We consider a non-attractive three state contact process on $\mathbb Z$ and prove that there exists a regime of survival as well as a regime of extinction. In more detail, the process can be regarded as an infection process in a dynamic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-27 Marinus Gottschau , Markus Heydenreich , Kilian Matzke , Cristina Toninelli

Let $Z_{n}$ be the number of individuals in a subcritical BPRE evolving in the environment generated by iid probability distributions. Let $X$ be the logarithm of the expected offspring size per individual given the environment. Assuming…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-20 Vincent Bansaye , Vladimir Vatutin

Motivated by applications in telecommunications, computer scienceand physics, we consider a discrete-time Markov process withrestart. At each step the process eitherwith a positive probability restarts from a given distribution, orwith the…

Performance · Computer Science 2017-03-13 Konstantin Avrachenkov , Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

We consider immigration processes with binomial catastrophes and random survival parameters. Two sources of randomness are analyzed. In the first model, the survival parameter is independently resampled at each catastrophe. In the second…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-26 Sandro Gallo , Alejandro Roldán-Correa