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Forming a microgrid on a distribution system with large scale outage after a severe weather event is emerging as a viable solution to improve resiliency at the distribution level. This option becomes more attractive when the distribution…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-24 Valliappan Muthukaruppan , Ashwin Shirsat , Rongxing Hu , Victor Paduani , Bei Xu , Yiyan Li , Mesut Baran , Ning Lu , David Lubkeman , Wenyuan Tang

The accuracy of probability distributions inferred using machine-learning algorithms heavily depends on data availability and quality. In practical applications it is therefore fundamental to investigate the robustness of a statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-01 Christiane Goergen , Manuele Leonelli

This paper introduces the $f$-sensitivity model, a new sensitivity model that characterizes the violation of unconfoundedness in causal inference. It assumes the selection bias due to unmeasured confounding is bounded "on average"; compared…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Zhengyuan Zhou

Mainstream approximate action-value iteration reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms suffer from overestimation bias, leading to suboptimal policies in high-variance stochastic environments. Quantile-based action-value iteration methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Clinton Enwerem , Aniruddh G. Puranic , John S. Baras , Calin Belta

In this study, we introduce a sensitivity analysis methodology for stochastic systems in chemistry, where dynamics are often governed by random processes. Our approach is based on gradient estimation via finite differences, averaging…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Erika M. Herrera Machado , Jakob L. Andersen , Rolf Fagerberg , Daniel Merkle

In real-world scenarios, risk-averse learning is valuable for mitigating potential adverse outcomes. However, the delayed feedback makes it challenging to assess and manage risk effectively. In this paper, we investigate risk-averse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-06 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl Henrik Johansson , Sandra Hirche

To address deviations from expected performance in stochastic systems, we propose a risk-sensitive control synthesis method to minimize certain risk measures over the limiting stationary distribution. Specifically, we extend Worst-case…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-24 Yang Hu , Shahriar Talebi , Na Li

Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is a popular measure for quantifying portfolio risk. Sensitivity analysis of CVaR is very useful in risk management and gradient-based optimization algorithms. In this paper, we study the infinitesimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Zhijian He

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

In this paper, a two-step strategy for parametric sensitivity analysis for such systems is proposed, exploiting advantages and synergies between two recently proposed sensitivity analysis methodologies for stochastic dynamics. The first…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Georgios Arampatzis , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Yannis Pantazis

This paper investigates the problem of designing data-driven stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) for linear time-invariant systems under additive stochastic disturbance, whose probability distribution is unknown but can be partially…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-29 Chao Ning , Fengqi You

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem considering storage units under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby short- and long-term…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-19 Álvaro García-Cerezo , Luis Baringo , Raquel García-Bertrand

Dynamic contingency screening is a challenging task in dynamic security assessment, when traditional numerical approaches are computationally intensive and often not able to repeatedly solve full AC power flow for all possible contingencies…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-29 Quan Tran , Suresh S. Muknahallipatna , Dongliang Duan , Nga Nguyen

The popular systemic risk measure CoVaR (conditional Value-at-Risk) and its variants are widely used in economics and finance. In this article, we propose joint dynamic forecasting models for the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and CoVaR. The CoVaR…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Timo Dimitriadis , Yannick Hoga

We tackle here a specific, still not widely addressed aspect, of AI robustness, which consists of seeking invariance / insensitivity of model performance to hidden factors of variations in the data. Towards this end, we employ a two step…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-04 William Paul , Philippe Burlina

This paper conducts sensitivity analysis of random constraint and variational systems related to stochastic optimization and variational inequalities. We establish efficient conditions for well-posedness, in the sense of robust Lipschitzian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-12-13 Boris S. Mordukhovich , Pedro Pérez-Aros

Toward a multi-objective optimization robust problem, the variations in design variables and design environment pa-rameters include the small variations and the large varia-tions. The former have small effect on the performance func-tions…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-12-04 Weijun Wang , Stéphane Caro , Fouad Bennis , Ricardo Soto , Broderick Crawford

Safe operation of autonomous systems requires robustness to both model uncertainty and uncertainty in the environment. We propose DRP-$\mathcal{L}_1$AC, a hierarchical framework for stochastic nonlinear systems that integrates…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-24 Astghik Hakobyan , Amaras Nazarians , Aditya Gahlawat , Naira Hovakimyan , Ilya Kolmanovsky

A high number of electric vehicles (EVs) in the transportation sector necessitates an advanced scheduling framework for e-mobility ecosystem operation as a whole in order to overcome range anxiety and create a viable business model for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-26 Mahsa Bagheri Tookanlou , S. Ali Pourmousavi , Mousa Marzband

We develop a new methodology to select scenarios of DER adoption most critical for distribution grids. Anticipating risks of future voltage and line flow violations due to additional PV adopters is central for utility investment planning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Olivier Mulkin , Miguel Heleno , Mike Ludkovski