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Many geosciences data are imprecise due to various limitations and uncertainties in the measuring process. One way to preserve this imprecision in a geostatistical mapping framework is to characterize the measurements as intervals rather…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-22 Brennan Bean , Yan Sun , Marc Maguire

Modern signal processing (SP) methods rely very heavily on probability and statistics to solve challenging SP problems. SP methods are now expected to deal with ever more complex models, requiring ever more sophisticated computational…

Operations research practitioners frequently want to model complicated functions that are are difficult to encode in their underlying optimisation framework. A common approach is to solve an approximate model, and to use a simulation to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-06 Michael Forbes , Mitchell Harris , Marijn Jansen , Femke van der Schoot , Thomas Taimre

This paper studies covariate adjusted estimation of the average treatment effect in stratified experiments. We work in a general framework that includes matched tuples designs, coarse stratification, and complete randomization as special…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-23 Max Cytrynbaum

As machine learning models become increasingly prevalent in critical decision-making models and systems in fields like finance, healthcare, etc., ensuring their robustness against adversarial attacks and changes in the input data is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Arun Prakash R , Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

Online decision making aims to learn the optimal decision rule by making personalized decisions and updating the decision rule recursively. It has become easier than before with the help of big data, but new challenges also come along.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-16 Haoyu Chen , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

Efficient management of spare parts inventory is crucial in the automotive aftermarket, where demand is highly intermittent and uncertainty drives substantial cost and service risks. Forecasting is therefore central, but the quality of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 So Fukuhara , Abdallah Alabdallah , Nuwan Gunasekara , Slawomir Nowaczyk

This tutorial focuses on kriging-based simulation optimization, emphasizing the importance of data efficiency in optimization problems involving expensive simulation models. It discusses how kriging models contribute to developing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Sasan Amini , Inneke Van Nieuwenhuyse

In this article, we consider a stochastic numerical simulator to assess the impact of some factors on a phenomenon. The simulator is seen as a black box with inputs and outputs. The quality of a simulation, hereafter referred to as…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-27 Rémi Stroh , Séverine Demeyer , Nicolas Fischer , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

Simulation offers a simple and flexible way to estimate the power of a clinical trial when analytic formulae are not available. The computational burden of using simulation has, however, restricted its application to only the simplest of…

Increasingly demanding performance requirements for dynamical systems motivates the adoption of nonlinear and adaptive control techniques. One challenge is the nonlinearity of the resulting closed-loop system complicates verification that…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-10-03 John F. Quindlen , Ufuk Topcu , Girish Chowdhary , Jonathan P. How

This paper studies inference in two-stage randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization. In the initial stage of this experimental design, clusters (e.g., households, schools, or graph partitions) are stratified and randomly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Jizhou Liu

Spatial models are used in a variety research areas, such as environmental sciences, epidemiology, or physics. A common phenomenon in many spatial regression models is spatial confounding. This phenomenon takes place when spatially indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-08 Isa Marques , Thomas Kneib , Nadja Klein

We consider in this paper the problem of optimal experiment design where a decision maker can choose which points to sample to obtain an estimate $\hat{\beta}$ of the hidden parameter $\beta^{\star}$ of an underlying linear model. The key…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-01 Xavier Fontaine , Pierre Perrault , Michal Valko , Vianney Perchet

We propose an computational framework for real-time risk assessment and prioritizing for random outcomes without prior information on probability distributions. The basic model is built based on satisficing measure (SM) which yields a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-07-03 Wenjie Huang

We study the regimes in which Hamiltonian simulation benefits from randomization. We introduce a sparse-QSVT construction based on composite stochastic decompositions, where dominant terms are treated deterministically and smaller…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-10 Francesco Paganelli , Michele Grossi , Andrea Giachero , Thomas E. O'Brien , Oriel Kiss

In performative prediction, the choice of a model influences the distribution of future data, typically through actions taken based on the model's predictions. We initiate the study of stochastic optimization for performative prediction.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-22 Celestine Mendler-Dünner , Juan C. Perdomo , Tijana Zrnic , Moritz Hardt

There is a growing need for flexible general frameworks that integrate individual-level data with external summary information for improved statistical inference. External information relevant for a risk prediction model may come in…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Tian Gu , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Bhramar Mukherjee

Stochastic gradient descent algorithms for training linear and kernel predictors are gaining more and more importance, thanks to their scalability. While various methods have been proposed to speed up their convergence, the model selection…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-06-17 Francesco Orabona

Frailty models are often the model of choice for heterogeneous survival data. A frailty model contains both random effects and fixed effects, with the random effects accommodating for the correlation in the data. Different estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-17 Oodally Ajmal , Luc Duchateau , Estelle Kuhn
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